San Diego State at Utah State - 2016 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Utah State Aggies

Friday, October 28th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -3 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San Diego State 40 - Utah State: 13 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU 2nd straight Home Game
SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ SDSU -16)
Projected Score: SDSU: 23 - USU: 26 (49)
SDSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
SDSU Travel: 685 miles, 1 hrs behind

Aggies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San Diego State vs New Hampshire	-34.0
Sat 9/10	San Diego State vs California	-7.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/17	San Diego State at Northern Illinois	-8.0	48.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	San Diego State at South Alabama	-17.5	49.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	San Diego State vs UNLV	-17.5	53.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/14	San Diego State at Fresno State	-17.5	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Fri 10/21	San Diego State vs San José State	-22.5	48.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/28	San Diego State at Utah State	-3.0	45.0	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/5	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-19.5	50.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/12	San Diego State at Nevada	-20.5	50.5	W 46 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/19	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.5	54.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/26	San Diego State vs Colorado State	-12.5	53.5	L 31 - 63	O	N
Sat 12/3	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/17	San Diego State vs Houston	+3.0	51.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Utah State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Utah State vs Weber State	-21.0
Sat 9/10	Utah State at USC	+14.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Fri 9/16	Utah State vs Arkansas State	-8.0	56.0	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Utah State vs Air Force	+3.0	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Utah State at Boise State	+19.5	60.5	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Utah State at Colorado State	-6.0	53.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Utah State vs Fresno State	-14.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Fri 10/28	Utah State vs San Diego State	+3.0	45.0	L 13 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Utah State at Wyoming	+4.0	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/12	Utah State vs New Mexico	-2.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Utah State at Nevada	-5.0	56.5	L 37 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Utah State at BYU	+17.0	51.5	L 10 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.2	44%	26.4	44%	3.01	233	40%	142	3.78	.04	37%	15.4	37%	36%	2.39	58.1	0.9	2.4
USU	.12	41%	30.9	41%	2.63	165	39%	206	3.39	.1	39%	28.7	39%	36%	3.65	58.9	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	18.2	44.1%	3.78	0.9	19	375	233	142	4.8	69%	29%	44%	40%	3%	.2
USU Defense	13	28.7	19.5	38.6%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	39%	36%	1%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	18.3	37.1%	2.39	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	37%	36%	5%	.04
USU Offense	13	30.9	38.3	40.8%	3.39	1.8	19	371	165	206	4.5	50%	49%	41%	39%	2%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	32:41	18.6	42%	80%	6.4	58.1	0.9	2.4	0	0	8	32.9
Utah State	13	28:45	19.4	35%	50%	6.4	58.9	1.8	1.7	0	0	4	31.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	69%	44%	48.2	233.3	4.8	32	.15	3.01	72%	0%	0.98
USU Defense	13	59%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.58	67%	0%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	57%	0%	0.88
USU Offense	13	50%	41%	37	165.1	4.5	22	.1	2.63	70%	0%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	29%	40%	10.1	18	142	7.9	14.1	17	3	.34	1.8	30%	34%	.4	3%	1.9
USU Defense	13	39%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.2	1.7	34%	27%	.22	1%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	23	.12	1.7	34%	24%	.09	5%	1.9
USU Offense	13	49%	39%	17.6	31	205.5	6.6	11.7	21	10	.15	1.6	36%	30%	.26	2%	2.1

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2016 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #50
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #29

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Utah State: 0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 11.4 Utah State: -4.4

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 0.3 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #86
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #96
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #59

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 26
San Diego State 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Utah State	41	San Diego State	20	Utah State -5	Utah State	60.0	Over
2023	11/04	San Diego State	24	Utah State	32	Utah State -2.0	Utah State	56.5	Under
2021	12/04	San Diego State	13	Utah State	46	San Diego State -6.5	Utah State	49.5	Over
2020	10/31	Utah State	7	San Diego State	38	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	0
2019	09/21	San Diego State	17	Utah State	23	Utah State -4	Utah State	53.0	Under
2016	10/28	Utah State	13	San Diego State	40	San Diego State -3	San Diego State	45.0	Over
2015	10/23	San Diego State	48	Utah State	14	Utah State -5	San Diego State	44.5	Over
2010	09/25	San Diego State	41	Utah State	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	4	4	4 Overs
San Diego State	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	2 - 5	1 - 1	1 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 3	5 - 2	4 - 1	1 - 1

(#) SDSU at (#) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#86
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#74	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
San Diego State 3.0 (45.0)
San Diego State won at Utah State this year (40-13)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat San Diego State in 2024 (41-20)
Utah State beat San Diego State in 2023 (32-24)

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD