Missouri State Team Profile
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Missouri State Bears (@MOStateFootball)
Ryan Beard (3rd year) (19-17)
Record: 7 - 6 (5 - 3)  |  Proj: 8 - 6 (#61)  |  SOS: (#98)
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Missouri State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Missouri State at USC+34.559.5L 13 - 73ON
Sat 9/6 Missouri State at Marshall+7.053.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 9/13 Missouri State vs SMU+29.560.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/20 Missouri State vs UT Martin-14.055.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Missouri State vs Western Kentucky+3.559.5L 22 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Missouri State at Middle Tennessee-2.552.5W 22 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Missouri State at New Mexico State-2.551.5W 24 - 17UY
Wed 10/29 Missouri State vs Florida International-3.050.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Missouri State at Liberty+7.551.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/15 Missouri State vs UTEP-6.547.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 Missouri State at Kennesaw State+6.554.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 11/29 Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech-2.545.0L 30 - 42ON
Thu 12/18 Missouri State vs Arkansas State+1.555.5L 28 - 34ON

Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5  #61
Schedule Rating:  #98
Record: 7 - 6( CUSA: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 7 - 6 - 0 | O/U 5 - 8
Future 2026 Schedule

Missouri State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7 Missouri State at Ball State+2.550.5L 34 - 42ON

2024 Schedule Rating: NR
2024 Record: 0 - 1 (CUSA: 0 - 0)
Spread Record 0 - 1 - 0 | O/U 1 - 0


Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 7 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 6 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 1Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 116 points   #127
2025 class: 53 points   #136
2024 class: 0 points   #202
2023 class: 0 points   #181
2022 class: 14 points   #168

Average Class Ranking:   #163
Average Recruiting Points: 37

Four Year Crootin Profile
Improving Poor G5
4 Year Class:  #170 - Best:  #136 Worst:  #202



CFB Crootin Averages
Conference USA Class: 114  #113
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2022 class: 14 points   #164
2020 class: 39 points   #164
2019 class: 21 points   #207
2018 class: 18 points   #183
2017 class: 32 points   #182

Average Class Ranking:   #180
Average Recruiting Points: 25
 

2025 Portal Class  #136 - 7 players, 84 Avg
2024 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2023 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Nick Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacob Clark24737666%324428118.6
Deuce Bailey234749%335207.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)199102175.170
Ramone Green Jr.5227815.345
Deuce Bailey278113.020
Ronnel Johnson138038.038
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alred Luke43640514.959
Jmariyae Robinson44632714.452
Tristian Gardner30465615.542
Ronnel Johnson35463213.235
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator L.D. Scott (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kanye Young776154
Jared Lloyd764222
Maguire Neal631005
Thomas Anderson602105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Wesolak (Tr)306452
Caleb Dietlin193362
Mitchell Toney235362
Cooper Roy114220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)2110011
Maguire Neal631005
Thomas Anderson602105
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 66%  #15
Offense Returning Production: 76%  #8
Defense Returning Production: 56%  #59

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #136
7 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
27% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 19% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00  #131
Offense Talent  #130 | Defense Talent  #133
2024 NR | 2023  #133 | 2022  #128 | 2021  #128


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 7 - 6
2025 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2024 Record: 0 - 1
2024 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 1 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 0

2023 Record: 0 - 1
2023 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 1 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 0

2022 Record: 0 - 1
2022 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 1 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 0

Four Year Record: 7 - 9
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 9 - 7 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 5 - 3
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 0 - 1
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 1 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 1

2020 Record: 0 - 1
2020 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 1 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 1

2019 Record: 0 - 1
2019 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 1 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 0

2018 Record: 0 - 1
2018 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 1 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 0

Eight Year Record: 7 - 13
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 12 - 8 - 0
Eight Year Conference Record: 5 - 3

Missouri State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Xbox Bowl Missouri State vs Arkansas State+1.555.5L 28 - 34
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.18 (69)1.5 (1)39% (105)3.69 (68)29.5 (54)36%62%.23 (114)1.31 (101)43% (84)3.89 (88)29.3 (81)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
202400%01000%0%00%0100



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251331:2020.536%62%7.666.51.41.24.11.80
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
202410:0000%0%0000000



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1325.628.322.539.3% (105)3.69 (68)1.4203931142803.642% (124)56% (17)37% (124)42% (59)24% (136).18 (69)
2025 Defense1328.825.331.342.7% (84)3.89 (88)1.2 - - - - - 48% (48)50% (87)43% (72)43% (92)15% (83).23 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1340340%00000000%0%0%0%0%
2024 Defense1420420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1342% (124)37% (124)31.6113.73.612 (122).03 (113)2.49 (131)61% (126)16% (135)1.07 (29)
2025 Defense1348% (48)43% (72) - - - - .16 (102)2.76 (47)83% (129)8% (119)1.03 (102)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense10%0%000000%0%0
2024 Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1356% (17)42% (59)21.333.5279.78.413.130 (75)11 (88).34 (41)1.8 (8)36% (128)30% (77).27 (84)9% (130)2.2 (16)
2025 Defense1350% (87)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).33 (107)1.6 (69)30% (90)27% (30).33 (88)7% (19)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
2024 Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0




Overall
Power Rating  #99 | SP+ Rating  #99
Performance Grade  #100
Special Teams Grade  #135
Record Prediction 7.5 - 5.5  #61
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8

5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Offense
Power  #79 | SP+  #80 | Grade  #67
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
Off Success  #105 | Explosivness  #1
Rush Grade  #98 | Pass Grade  #24
Rush Success  #124 | Explosiveness  #29
Pass Success  #59 | Explosiveness  #8
Run Block  #134 | Pass Block  #34
OL YDS  #131 | Stuff Rate  #135
Scoring Zone Off:  #68

Defense
Power  #115 | SP+  #108 | Grade  #100
Def Success  #84 | Explosivness  #101
Rush Success  #72 | Explosiveness  #102
Tackling  #107 | Run Def  #101
Pass Success  #92 | Explosiveness  #69
Pass Rush  #70 | Coverage  #69
F7 Havoc  #119 | DB Havoc  #19
DL YDS  #47 | Def Stuff Rate  #60
Scoring Zone Def  #88


Roster
Team Talent  #131 Blue Chips: 11%  #38
Offense Talent  #130 Defense Talent  #133
Crootin: '25 Class  #127 - 4 YR Class:  #170
Profile: Improving Poor G5
Portal Class  #136 - 7 players, 84 Avg
27% of Roster from Portal, 19% TY
54 New Players, 67% of '25 Roster  #34

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 25.6 - 28.8 | Scoring Margin: (-3.2)
Home: 28 - 25 (3) | Road: 23 - 31 (-8.8)
OC: Nick Petrino - in his second season
DC: L.D. Scott - in his second season

2025 Record: 7 - 6 (7 - 6 - 0) (CUSA: 5 - 3)
2024 Record: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0) (CUSA: 0 - 0)
2023 Record: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0) (CUSA: 0 - 0)
4 Yr Record: (7 - 9) | 8 Yr Record: (7 - 13)


Notes
Hired Casey Woods (SMU OC) as new HC
Off Success #'s awful but leaders in Expl? Odd
RB Shomari Lawrence can scoot. Decent RB
QB Jacob Clark is back from inj vs Delaware (10/22)
OL is the worst in CFB in Sacks/TFL allowed (week 9)
QB Bailey is tiny, 6' 170 lbs. Young but has some skills
QB2 is true Fr Deuce Bailey w/ Clark out, mobile
QB Jacob Clark has been good, Run Off bad
Off all or nothing, Success awful, Expl great
Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
 
'25 Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 65%
Bad when off Schedule 29%

'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Bad Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 28%

Returning Prod
HC Beard, OC Petrino & QB all back
'24 QB Jacob Clark returns
Returning Production: 66%  #15
Offense: 76%  #8 | Defense: 56%  #59
OL Prod: 73%  #31, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2658  #84 | From Portal: 10  #97
Rush Prod: 19%  #130 | Rec Prod: 34%  #104
Def Front Seven: 69% - Secondary: 35%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 4.5 - 7.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #99 - Power Rating:  #99
2024 SP+ Overall: NR - Power Rating: NR
2023 SP+ Overall: NR - Power Rating: NR
2022 SP+ Overall: NR

#0 #0 #0 #99

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #80 - Power Rating:  #79
2024 SP+ Offense: NR - Power Rating: NR
2023 SP+ Offense: NR - Power Rating: NR
2022 SP+ Offense: NR

#0 #0 #0 #80

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #108 - Power Rating:  #115
2024 SP+ Defense: NR - Power Rating: NR
2023 SP+ Defense: NR - Power Rating: NR
2022 SP+ Defense: NR

#0 #0 #0 #112