San José State at Nevada - 2026 Matchup Preview
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San José State Spartans at Nevada Wolf Pack

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Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mackay Stadium - Reno, NV  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (10 - 15)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 8.7 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
SJSU 2nd straight Road Game
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Nevada -1.5  (SP+ NEV -1)
Projected Score: SJSU: 24 - NEV: 25 (49)
NEV Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SJSU Travel: 190 miles
Wolf Pack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (6 - 19)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#91)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
San José State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29San José State at USC+38.5————
Fri 9/4San José State at Eastern Michigan+7.5————
Sat 9/12San José State vs Cal Poly-8.5————
Sat 9/19San José State vs Fresno State+12.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3San José State at Hawai'i+16.5————
Sat 10/10San José State vs Wyoming+4————
Sat 10/17San José State at UTEP+3————
Sat 10/24San José State at Nevada+1.5————
Sat 10/31San José State vs New Mexico+13————
Sat 11/7San José State vs Northern Illinois-3————
Sat 11/14San José State at Air Force+10————
Sat 11/21San José State vs UNLV+14.5————
Sat 11/28San José State vs North Dakota State+12————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Nevada's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Nevada vs Western Kentucky+12.5————
Sat 9/12Nevada vs Montana State-7.5————
Sat 9/19Nevada at Middle Tennessee+1.5————
Sat 9/26Nevada vs Air Force+6————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Nevada at UTEP+4————
Sat 10/17Nevada at North Dakota State+18————
Sat 10/24Nevada vs San José State-1.5————
Sat 10/31Nevada at UCLA+22————
Sat 11/7Nevada vs New Mexico+14————
Sat 11/14Nevada at Northern Illinois+3————
Sat 11/21Nevada vs Hawai'i+12.5————
Sat 11/28Nevada at UNLV+20.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#67 (.18)44% (54)21.447% (28)3.06 (46)12041% (72)2832.77 (130)#98 (.2)42% (77)32.542% (67)43% (81)4.04 (107)54.82.31.2
NEV#129 (.02)37% (124)17.637% (123)2.83 (86)15536% (118)1472.67 (133)#94 (.19)44% (93)27.544% (85)43% (96)4.15 (112)45.22.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1221.41743.5%2.772.3204031202834.638%60%47%41%15%.18
NEV Defense1227.525.243.5%4.151.3 - - - - - 50%48%44%43%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1232.535.542.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 54%44%42%43%12%.2
NEV Offense1217.619.736.6%2.672.3173021551474.556%42%37%36%17%.02

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1227:4720.143%26%5.854.82.31.24.31.5127.2
Nevada1230:1917.332%54%5.345.22.31.35.31.6330.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1238% (132)47% (28)26.1120.14.614 (107).12 (65)3.06 (46)71% (78)6% (2)0.94 (78)
NEV Defense1250% (66)44% (85) - - - - .22 (126)3.08 (104)72% (77)9% (93)1.05 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1254% (117)42% (67) - - - - .11 (70)3.02 (97)80% (121)8% (123)0.9 (37)
NEV Offense1256% (23)37% (123)34.6155.34.59 (132).07 (92)2.83 (86)72% (68)11% (114)1.04 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1260% (5)41% (72)22.840.6283.2712.517 (30)17 (34).22 (81)1.5 (106)32% (86)32% (48).29 (72)9% (135)1.8 (125)
NEV Defense1248% (71)43% (96) - - - - - - 11 (75).18 (38)1.3 (2)32% (65)28% (38).26 (56)6% (86)1.8 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1244% (21)43% (81) - - - - - - 7 (38).34 (109)1.8 (128)31% (85)28% (55).32 (84)5% (118)2.1 (114)
NEV Offense1242% (114)36% (118)15.225.7147.25.79.710 (121)17 (134)-.02 (135)1.4 (124)34% (109)24% (130)-.05 (136)6% (86)1.6 (136)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -16.07  #133
San José State's Offense Rating: 4.30  #120
San José State's Defense Rating: 25.37  #132
2026 Talent Rating: 478.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #73
San José State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.3 - 8.7
San José State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #118
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -16.07   Nevada: -13.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -14.3   Nevada: -13.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -13.655  #136
Nevada's Offense Rating: 0.88  #132
Nevada's Defense Rating: 24.79  #131
2026 Talent Rating: 492.00  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #64
Nevada's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Nevada's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4  #116
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #133
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #81

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Nevada 25
San José State 24

Projected Total Points: 49
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Nevada55San José State10San José State -10Nevada49.5Over
202410/05San José State35Nevada31San José State -7Nevada51.5Over
202210/29San José State35Nevada28San José State -24.5Nevada44.5Over
202111/06Nevada27San José State24Nevada -11.5San José State55.5Under
202012/11San José State30Nevada20Nevada -1.5San José State60.5Under
201910/12Nevada41San José State38Nevada -3Push60.5Over
201811/17San José State12Nevada21Nevada -14.5San José State59.5Under
201711/11Nevada59San José State14Nevada -17.5Nevada67.5Over
201610/15San José State14Nevada10San José State -5Nevada56.0Under
201511/14Nevada37San José State34Nevada -1Nevada52.5Over
201409/27San José State10Nevada21Nevada -3Nevada0
201311/16Nevada38San José State16San José State -7Nevada0
201109/17San José State14Nevada17
201010/09Nevada35San José State13
200911/08San José State7Nevada62
200811/15Nevada41San José State17
200711/24San José State27Nevada24
200610/21Nevada23San José State7
200510/01San José State23Nevada30
200411/06Nevada42San José State24
200309/18San José State30Nevada42
200210/19Nevada52San José State24
200111/10San José State64Nevada45
200010/20Nevada30San José State49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada1786 Overs
San José State734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 76 - 52 - 44 - 1
Road Teams7 - 175 - 61 - 44 - 2

(#133) SJSU at (#136) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSJSUNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #133 #136
SP+SP+ #118 #116
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #122 #120
Blue ChipsBC% #73 #64
San José State Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Bad, this roster is really awful on paper
(3/3) Def awful LY, DC fired. Off went fast to protect OL
(3/3) QB Weaver (Haw) most exp'd, Amisone is mobile
(3/3) RB + WR pretty bleak. Need depth to rise
(3/3) OL likely bad again, only 2 starters, 3 portals
(3/3) DL is small, has 5 w exp, could they be avg?
(3/3) DBs look pretty awful, lack bodies, exp, talent
(3/3) Finished 1-6 last year, going south quickly
San José State Injury Report
Nevada Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Not sure what we're doing here or why
(3/3) Off a tire fire LY, OC fired, QB benched. Ugly
(3/3) QB Jones played LY as Fr but not well. Is he #1?
(3/3) RB are small and below avg. Anyone emerge?
(3/3) WR added 2 prod FCS (Cheers + Doss) could help
(3/3) OL surprisingly good on paper, 3 starters, depth
(3/3) DE Dylan Labarbera a monster, why still here?
(3/3) DL unit could be Avg, DT's have size, LB are ?
(3/3) DBs have 2 good Safeties, 3 exp'd CBs.
Nevada Injury Report
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #54 #93
ExplosiveExp #58 #39
PPAPPA #67 #94
PowerPwr #120 #131
SP+SP+ #108 #81
Pts POPPO #130 #112
HavocHav #67 #100
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #85
Run ExplRExp #78 #109
PPAExp #65 #126
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #46 #104
Stuff RateStuff #85 #110
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #96
Pass ExplPExl #106 #2
PPAExp #81 #38
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #2 #93
DB HavocDB #135 #86
Nevada on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatNEV OffSJSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #124 #77
ExplosiveExp #102 #98
PPAPPA #129 #98
PowerPwr #132 #132
SP+SP+ #133 #115
Pts POPPO #133 #107
HavocHav #107 #129
Nevada Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
NEV OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #123 #67
Run ExplRExp #36 #37
PPAExp #92 #70
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #86 #97
Stuff RateStuff #79 #128
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatNEV OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #118 #81
Pass ExplPExl #124 #128
PPAExp #135 #109
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #114 #123
DB HavocDB #86 #118
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Nevada beat San José State last year (55-10)
San José State beat Nevada in 2024 (35-31)

  
SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver (Tr)6310560%628636.0
Tama Amisone265052%205034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Tama Amisone3416014.723
Luke Weaver (Tr)277302.713
Viliami Teu177014.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Anderson24361015.052
Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa98409.329
Cooper Hoch54308.613
Jabari Bates112012.012

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Bojay Filimoeatu (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Powell373020
Justin Stearns253110
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aizik Mahuka (Tr)72100
Etu Finau52111
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Buxton (Tr)110002
Runye Norton00001
Etu Finau52111

NEV's OC Bret Bartalone (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carter Jones11117364%1001685.8
AJ Bianco274560%188114.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Herschel Turner6935305.164
Ky Woods1910305.428
Dominic Kelley236012.610
Carter Jackson84105.110
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaceon Doss (Tr)29657522.784
Donnie Cheers (Tr)44585513.367
Marshaun Brown16164110.322
Gary Givens III12145112.131

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kane Ioane (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Labarbera8817730
Jeremy Naborne354220
Joshua Scott (Tr)290004
Larry Turner-Gooden280001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Labarbera8817730
Jeremy Naborne354220
Poasa Utu (Tr)82210
Myles Williams31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Snelling140004
Joshua Scott (Tr)290004
Bishop Turner211002