Montana State at Nevada - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Montana State Bobcats at Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mackay Stadium - Reno, NV

 
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 59 (13 - 59 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ NEV -13)
MTST Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
Wolf Pack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (6 - 19)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#91)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Montana State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Montana State at Nevada-13.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Montana State's Schedule
Nevada's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Nevada vs Western Kentucky+12.5————
Sat 9/12Nevada vs Montana State-7.5————
Sat 9/19Nevada at Middle Tennessee+1.5————
Sat 9/26Nevada vs Air Force+6————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Nevada at UTEP+4————
Sat 10/17Nevada at North Dakota State+18————
Sat 10/24Nevada vs San José State-1.5————
Sat 10/31Nevada at UCLA+22————
Sat 11/7Nevada vs New Mexico+14————
Sat 11/14Nevada at Northern Illinois+3————
Sat 11/21Nevada vs Hawai'i+12.5————
Sat 11/28Nevada at UNLV+20.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTST0%130%000%000%590%0%0000
NEV#129 (.02)37% (124)17.637% (123)2.83 (86)15536% (118)1472.67 (133)#94 (.19)44% (93)27.544% (85)43% (96)4.15 (112)45.22.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTST Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NEV Defense1227.525.243.5%4.151.3 - - - - - 50%48%44%43%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTST Defense159590%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NEV Offense1217.619.736.6%2.672.3173021551474.556%42%37%36%17%.02

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Montana State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Nevada1230:1917.332%54%5.345.22.31.35.31.6330.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NEV Defense1250% (66)44% (85) - - - - .22 (126)3.08 (104)72% (77)9% (93)1.05 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NEV Offense1256% (23)37% (123)34.6155.34.59 (132).07 (92)2.83 (86)72% (68)11% (114)1.04 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NEV Defense1248% (71)43% (96) - - - - - - 11 (75).18 (38)1.3 (2)32% (65)28% (38).26 (56)6% (86)1.8 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NEV Offense1242% (114)36% (118)15.225.7147.25.79.710 (121)17 (134)-.02 (135)1.4 (124)34% (109)24% (130)-.05 (136)6% (86)1.6 (136)

Montana State's Power Ratings
Montana State's Power Rating: NR
Montana State's Offense Rating: NR
Montana State's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Montana State's 2026 Expected Record: -
Montana State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Montana State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Montana State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Montana State:    Nevada: -13.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Montana State:    Nevada: -13.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -13.655  #136
Nevada's Offense Rating: 0.88  #132
Nevada's Defense Rating: 24.79  #131
2026 Talent Rating: 492.00  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #64
Nevada's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Nevada's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4  #116
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #133
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #81

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Montana State Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 59 PPG
Defense on Road: 59

Montana State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Nevada 39
Montana State 20

Projected Total Points: 59
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada000 Overs
Montana State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) MTST at (#136) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSTNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #136
SP+SP+NR #116
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #120
Blue ChipsBC%NR #64
Nevada Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Not sure what we're doing here or why
(3/3) Off a tire fire LY, OC fired, QB benched. Ugly
(3/3) QB Jones played LY as Fr but not well. Is he #1?
(3/3) RB are small and below avg. Anyone emerge?
(3/3) WR added 2 prod FCS (Cheers + Doss) could help
(3/3) OL surprisingly good on paper, 3 starters, depth
(3/3) DE Dylan Labarbera a monster, why still here?
(3/3) DL unit could be Avg, DT's have size, LB are ?
(3/3) DBs have 2 good Safeties, 3 exp'd CBs.
Nevada Injury Report
Montana State on Offense
CategoryCat
MTST OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #93
ExplosiveExpNR #39
PPAPPANR #94
PowerPwrNR #131
SP+SP+NR #81
Pts POPPONR #112
HavocHavNR #100
Montana State Run Game
CategoryCat
MTST OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #85
Run ExplRExpNR #109
PPAExpNR #126
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #104
Stuff RateStuffNR #110
TackleTak - NR
Montana State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTST OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #96
Pass ExplPExlNR #2
PPAExpNR #38
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #93
DB HavocDBNR #86
Nevada on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatNEV OffMTST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #124NR
ExplosiveExp #102NR
PPAPPA #129NR
PowerPwr #132NR
SP+SP+ #133NR
Pts POPPO #133NR
HavocHav #107NR
Nevada Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
NEV OffMTST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #123NR
Run ExplRExp #36NR
PPAExp #92NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #86NR
Stuff RateStuff #79NR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatNEV OffMTST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #118NR
Pass ExplPExl #124NR
PPAExp #135NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #114NR
DB HavocDB #86NR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

MTST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Justin Lamson25535672%31722638.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Lamson176734164.248
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Lamson32408.012

View Montana State's Full Roster

MTST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC Bret Bartalone (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carter Jones11117364%1001685.8
AJ Bianco274560%188114.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Herschel Turner6935305.164
Ky Woods1910305.428
Dominic Kelley236012.610
Carter Jackson84105.110
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaceon Doss (Tr)29657522.784
Donnie Cheers (Tr)44585513.367
Marshaun Brown16164110.322
Gary Givens III12145112.131

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kane Ioane (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Labarbera8817730
Jeremy Naborne354220
Joshua Scott (Tr)290004
Larry Turner-Gooden280001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Labarbera8817730
Jeremy Naborne354220
Poasa Utu (Tr)82210
Myles Williams31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Snelling140004
Joshua Scott (Tr)290004
Bishop Turner211002