New Mexico at San José State - 2026 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo

New Mexico Lobos at San José State Spartans

San José State logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - San Jose, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#40)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
SJSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico -13  (SP+ UNM -15)

Projected Score: UNM: 33 - SJSU: 20 (53)
UNM Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
UNM Travel: 863 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (10 - 15)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 8.7 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
New Mexico's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5New Mexico vs Central Michigan-10.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/19New Mexico at Oklahoma+24.5
Sat 9/26New Mexico at New Mexico State-13.5
Sat 10/3New Mexico vs UTEP-17.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17New Mexico at Hawai'i+1
Sat 10/24New Mexico vs North Dakota State-3.5
Sat 10/31New Mexico at San José State-13
Sat 11/7New Mexico at Nevada-14
Sat 11/14New Mexico vs UNLV-0.5
Sat 11/21New Mexico at Wyoming-6.5
Sat 11/28New Mexico vs Air Force-10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
San José State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29San José State at USC+38.5
Fri 9/4San José State at Eastern Michigan+7.5
Sat 9/12San José State vs Cal Poly-8.5
Sat 9/19San José State vs Fresno State+12.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3San José State at Hawai'i+16.5
Sat 10/10San José State vs Wyoming+4
Sat 10/17San José State at UTEP+3
Sat 10/24San José State at Nevada+1.5
Sat 10/31San José State vs New Mexico+13
Sat 11/7San José State vs Northern Illinois-3
Sat 11/14San José State at Air Force+10
Sat 11/21San José State vs UNLV+14.5
Sat 11/28San José State vs North Dakota State+12

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#65 (.18)42% (78)27.143% (77)3.15 (32)15242% (69)2053.96 (44)#47 (.11)40% (50)22.340% (49)40% (58)3.12 (24)48.51.81.3
SJSU#67 (.18)44% (54)21.447% (28)3.06 (46)12041% (72)2832.77 (130)#98 (.2)42% (77)32.542% (67)43% (81)4.04 (107)54.82.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1327.127.541.8%3.961.8193571522054.353%45%43%42%14%.18
SJSU Defense1232.529.542.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 54%44%42%43%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1322.326.340%3.121.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%40%17%.11
SJSU Offense1221.425.843.5%2.772.3204031202834.638%60%47%41%15%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1330:0319.439%66%5.848.51.81.35.92.8328.4
San José State1227:4720.143%26%5.854.82.31.24.31.5127.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1353% (41)43% (77)35.7152.44.322 (49).14 (54)3.15 (32)75% (45)9% (67)0.99 (59)
SJSU Defense1254% (117)42% (67) - - - - .11 (70)3.02 (97)80% (121)8% (123)0.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1347% (35)40% (49) - - - - .04 (36)2.63 (21)83% (128)11% (32)0.97 (74)
SJSU Offense1238% (132)47% (28)26.1120.14.614 (107).12 (65)3.06 (46)71% (78)6% (2)0.94 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1345% (97)42% (69)17.526.9204.87.611.717 (61)10 (119).27 (63)1.6 (50)30% (50)30% (71).33 (59)5% (22)1.9 (112)
SJSU Defense1244% (21)43% (81) - - - - - - 7 (38).34 (109)1.8 (128)31% (85)28% (55).32 (84)5% (118)2.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1352% (108)40% (58) - - - - - - 9 (100).24 (64)1.5 (42)34% (33)28% (42).27 (59)6% (52)1.9 (38)
SJSU Offense1260% (5)41% (72)22.840.6283.2712.517 (30)17 (34).22 (81)1.5 (106)32% (86)32% (48).29 (72)9% (135)1.8 (125)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -0.44  #78
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 12.81  #70
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 18.25  #85
2026 Talent Rating: 526.00  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #64
New Mexico's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9  #73
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -0.44   San José State: -12.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: 0.9   San José State: -14.3




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -12.685  #133
San José State's Offense Rating: 4.30  #120
San José State's Defense Rating: 25.37  #132
2026 Talent Rating: 478.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #73
San José State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.3 - 8.7
San José State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #118
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 33
San José State 20


Projected Total Points: 53
San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/03San José State35New Mexico28San José State -1.5San José State58.5Over
202310/14New Mexico24San José State52San José State -6.5San José State55.0Over
202010/31New Mexico21San José State38San José State -9.5San José State0
201910/04San José State32New Mexico21San José State -6.5San José State70.0Under
201610/01New Mexico48San José State41New Mexico -4.5New Mexico51.5Over
201510/24San José State31New Mexico21San José State -7.5San José State56.0Under
200612/23San José State20New Mexico12
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State653 Overs
New Mexico112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 24 - 24 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 52 - 42 - 00 - 4

(#78) UNM at (#133) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMSJSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #78 #133
SP+SP+ #73 #118
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #122
Blue ChipsBC% #64 #73
New Mexico Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Eck a fast rising HC, have talent, lack exp
(3/3) OL has 4 solid starters returning, depth is light
(3/3) DL looks OK, 5 with exp + 3 portals. Big DTs
(3/3) DBs have good exp, 4 portal adds. Lack dudes
(3/3) Big crootin class of 25, solid future foundation
(3/3) QB Jack Layne back, decent LY but TD/TO is ?
(3/3) RB rebuild, have 2 w exp but not a lot of prod
(3/3) WR Williams (FCS) + Omeire portals help rebuild
New Mexico Injury Report
San José State Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Bad, this roster is really awful on paper
(3/3) Def awful LY, DC fired. Off went fast to protect OL
(3/3) QB Weaver (Haw) most exp'd, Amisone is mobile
(3/3) RB + WR pretty bleak. Need depth to rise
(3/3) OL likely bad again, only 2 starters, 3 portals
(3/3) DL is small, has 5 w exp, could they be avg?
(3/3) DBs look pretty awful, lack bodies, exp, talent
(3/3) Finished 1-6 last year, going south quickly
San José State Injury Report
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffSJSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #78 #77
ExplosiveExp #55 #98
PPAPPA #65 #98
PowerPwr #70 #132
SP+SP+ #82 #115
Pts POPPO #44 #107
HavocHav #45 #129
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #77 #67
Run ExplRExp #59 #37
PPAExp #54 #70
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #32 #97
Stuff RateStuff #11 #128
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #69 #81
Pass ExplPExl #50 #128
PPAExp #63 #109
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #123
DB HavocDB #22 #118
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #54 #50
ExplosiveExp #58 #58
PPAPPA #67 #47
PowerPwr #120 #85
SP+SP+ #108 #66
Pts POPPO #130 #24
HavocHav #67 #36
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #49
Run ExplRExp #78 #74
PPAExp #65 #36
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #46 #21
Stuff RateStuff #85 #18
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #58
Pass ExplPExl #106 #42
PPAExp #81 #64
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #2 #32
DB HavocDB #135 #52
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
San José State beat New Mexico last year (35-28)
San José State beat New Mexico in 2023 (52-24)

  
UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne21332765%248613107.6
Luke Moga (Tr)3560%580011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey7734954.561
Kiefer Sibley4527456.145
Jack Layne8715241.754
Luke Moga (Tr)349016.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Miles Williams (Tr)41524212.846
Troy Omeire (Tr)32521516.368
Cade Keith20253312.745
Shawn Miller15199113.342

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck1287232
Tavian Combs721103
Mercury Swaim527212
Frankie Edwards471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mercury Swaim527212
Darren Agu304221
Jaxton Eck1287232
Jalen McIver103211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech100008
Kevin Longstreet40004
Ormanie Arnold (Tr)150003

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver (Tr)6310560%628636.0
Tama Amisone265052%205034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Tama Amisone3416014.723
Luke Weaver (Tr)277302.713
Viliami Teu177014.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Anderson24361015.052
Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa98409.329
Cooper Hoch54308.613
Jabari Bates112012.012

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Bojay Filimoeatu (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Powell373020
Justin Stearns253110
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aizik Mahuka (Tr)72100
Etu Finau52111
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Buxton (Tr)110002
Runye Norton00001
Etu Finau52111