Cal Poly at San José State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Cal Poly logo

Cal Poly Mustangs at San José State Spartans

San José State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - San Jose, CA

 
Mustangs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 63 (9 - 63 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ SJSU -14)
CP Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (10 - 15)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 8.7 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Cal Poly's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Cal Poly at San José State-12.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule
San José State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29San José State at USC+38.5————
Fri 9/4San José State at Eastern Michigan+7.5————
Sat 9/12San José State vs Cal Poly-8.5————
Sat 9/19San José State vs Fresno State+12.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3San José State at Hawai'i+16.5————
Sat 10/10San José State vs Wyoming+4————
Sat 10/17San José State at UTEP+3————
Sat 10/24San José State at Nevada+1.5————
Sat 10/31San José State vs New Mexico+13————
Sat 11/7San José State vs Northern Illinois-3————
Sat 11/14San José State at Air Force+10————
Sat 11/21San José State vs UNLV+14.5————
Sat 11/28San José State vs North Dakota State+12————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%90%000%000%630%0%0000
SJSU#67 (.18)44% (54)21.447% (28)3.06 (46)12041% (72)2832.77 (130)#98 (.2)42% (77)32.542% (67)43% (81)4.04 (107)54.82.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Offense1990%00000000%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Defense1232.529.542.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 54%44%42%43%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Offense1221.425.843.5%2.772.3204031202834.638%60%47%41%15%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cal Poly10:000NAN%0%0000000100
San José State1227:4720.143%26%5.854.82.31.24.31.5127.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Offense10%0%000000%0%0
SJSU Defense1254% (117)42% (67) - - - - .11 (70)3.02 (97)80% (121)8% (123)0.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
SJSU Offense1238% (132)47% (28)26.1120.14.614 (107).12 (65)3.06 (46)71% (78)6% (2)0.94 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
SJSU Defense1244% (21)43% (81) - - - - - - 7 (38).34 (109)1.8 (128)31% (85)28% (55).32 (84)5% (118)2.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
SJSU Offense1260% (5)41% (72)22.840.6283.2712.517 (30)17 (34).22 (81)1.5 (106)32% (86)32% (48).29 (72)9% (135)1.8 (125)

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2026 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    San José State: -12.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    San José State: -14.3




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -12.685  #133
San José State's Offense Rating: 4.30  #120
San José State's Defense Rating: 25.37  #132
2026 Talent Rating: 478.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #73
San José State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.3 - 8.7
San José State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #118
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Cal Poly's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 43
Cal Poly 20

Projected Total Points: 63
San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09San José State59Cal Poly3San José State -23.5San José State60.0Over
201709/02San José State34Cal Poly13San José State -11San José State0
200909/26San José State19Cal Poly9
200609/23San José State17Cal Poly7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State421 Overs
Cal Poly000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) CP at (#133) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCPSJSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #133
SP+SP+NR #118
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #122
Blue ChipsBC%NR #73
San José State Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Bad, this roster is really awful on paper
(3/3) Def awful LY, DC fired. Off went fast to protect OL
(3/3) QB Weaver (Haw) most exp'd, Amisone is mobile
(3/3) RB + WR pretty bleak. Need depth to rise
(3/3) OL likely bad again, only 2 starters, 3 portals
(3/3) DL is small, has 5 w exp, could they be avg?
(3/3) DBs look pretty awful, lack bodies, exp, talent
(3/3) Finished 1-6 last year, going south quickly
San José State Injury Report
Cal Poly on Offense
CategoryCat
CP OffSJSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #77
ExplosiveExpNR #98
PPAPPANR #98
PowerPwrNR #132
SP+SP+NR #115
Pts POPPONR #107
HavocHavNR #129
Cal Poly Run Game
CategoryCat
CP OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #67
Run ExplRExpNR #37
PPAExpNR #70
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #97
Stuff RateStuffNR #128
TackleTak - NR
Cal Poly Pass Game
CategoryCat
CP OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #81
Pass ExplPExlNR #128
PPAExpNR #109
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #123
DB HavocDBNR #118
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffCP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #54NR
ExplosiveExp #58NR
PPAPPA #67NR
PowerPwr #120NR
SP+SP+ #108NR
Pts POPPO #130NR
HavocHav #67NR
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffCP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #28NR
Run ExplRExp #78NR
PPAExp #65NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #46NR
Stuff RateStuff #85NR
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffCP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #72NR
Pass ExplPExl #106NR
PPAExp #81NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #2NR
DB HavocDB #135NR
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
San José State beat Cal Poly in 2023 (59-3)

  
CP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Grigsby Jr.448254%774649.4
Dermaricus Davis (Tr)1333%10003.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyrei Washington8034134.357
Dermaricus Davis (Tr)76709.637
Anthony Grigsby Jr.334321.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyrei Washington75007.122
Antoine Sullivan118018.018

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
RL Miller (Tr)70001
Bobby Piland30000
Anthony Grigsby Jr.10000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
RL Miller (Tr)70001
Bobby Piland30000
Anthony Grigsby Jr.10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
RL Miller (Tr)70001
Bobby Piland30000
Anthony Grigsby Jr.10000

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver (Tr)6310560%628636.0
Tama Amisone265052%205034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Tama Amisone3416014.723
Luke Weaver (Tr)277302.713
Viliami Teu177014.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Anderson24361015.052
Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa98409.329
Cooper Hoch54308.613
Jabari Bates112012.012

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Bojay Filimoeatu (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Powell373020
Justin Stearns253110
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aizik Mahuka (Tr)72100
Etu Finau52111
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Buxton (Tr)110002
Runye Norton00001
Etu Finau52111