Navy at Notre Dame - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Gillette Stadium - Foxborough, MA

 
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (26 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 3.9 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
ND coming off BYE
NAVY is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -28.5  (SP+ ND -25)

Projected Score: NAVY: 15 - ND: 44 (59)
ND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
NAVY Travel: 349 miles
Fighting Irish (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (43 - 12)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.4 - 0.6 (#2)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
 
Navy's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Navy vs Towson-23.5
Sat 9/12Navy at Florida Atlantic-4.5
— Bye Week —
Fri 9/25Navy at UAB-14.5
Sat 10/3Navy at Air Force-1
Sat 10/10Navy vs Tulsa-6
Sat 10/17Navy at UTSA+1.5
Sat 10/24Navy vs North Texas-10
Sat 10/31Navy at Notre Dame+28.5
Sat 11/7Navy vs Temple-9
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/21Navy vs Memphis-1.5
Sat 11/28Navy at Charlotte-23.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/6Notre Dame vs Wisconsin-16.546.5
Sat 9/12Notre Dame vs Rice-35
Sat 9/19Notre Dame vs Michigan State-29
Sat 9/26Notre Dame at Purdue-28
Sat 10/3Notre Dame at North Carolina-23
Sat 10/10Notre Dame vs Stanford-30
Sat 10/17Notre Dame at BYU-9.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Notre Dame vs Navy-28.5
Sat 11/7Notre Dame vs Miami-7
Sat 11/14Notre Dame vs Boston College-30
Sat 11/21Notre Dame vs SMU-16.5
Sat 11/28Notre Dame at Syracuse-26

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#16 (.3)49% (9)31.552% (4)3.45 (5)28642% (58)1304.23 (28)#103 (.21)41% (57)2539% (26)44% (102)4.2 (115)48.31.11.2
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.849%4.231.1204162861305.875%23%52%42%9%.3
ND Defense1217.61836.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.240.7%4.21.2 - - - - - 52%46%39%44%13%.21
ND Offense124244.749%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1332:3620.452%68%5.748.31.11.24.52.1131.7
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1375% (3)52% (4)49.4286.15.841 (4).28 (6)3.45 (5)81% (13)7% (11)1.06 (32)
ND Defense1243% (7)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1352% (97)39% (26) - - - - .11 (76)2.85 (59)76% (103)8% (111)1.06 (114)
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1323% (134)42% (58)8.2141309.315.912 (106)6 (20).46 (9)2 (3)23% (1)34% (27).52 (8)2% (2)2.3 (6)
ND Defense1256% (133)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1346% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 7 (100).37 (119)1.6 (104)31% (75)29% (71).3 (71)4% (129)2 (63)
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -1.04  #78
Navy's Offense Rating: 15.71  #67
Navy's Defense Rating: 16.75  #83
2026 Talent Rating: 157.00  #137
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Navy's 2026 Expected Record: 7.1 - 3.9
Navy's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #63
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #58
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #77

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 515.36
Average Power Five Talent: 872.57
Average FBS Talent: 676.83

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -1.04   Notre Dame: 29.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 1.1   Notre Dame: 25.8




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 29.525  #2
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 29.00  #3
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 0.00  #1
2026 Talent Rating: 1210.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 81  #2
Notre Dame's 2026 Expected Record: 11.4 - 0.6
Notre Dame's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.8  #3
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.2  #3
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #9

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 916.5
Average Power Five Talent: 872.57
Average FBS Talent: 676.83


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 44
Navy 15


Projected Total Points: 59
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Notre Dame49Navy10Notre Dame -30.5Notre Dame54.5Over
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27Navy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame2186 Overs
Navy444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#78) NAVY at (#2) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYND
Game ControlGC #36 #5
Momentum ControlMC #82 #9
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #78 #2
SP+SP+ #63 #3
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #137 #2
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #2
Navy Notes
(2/10) DC PJ Volker left to coach Ravens DBs
Navy Injury Report
Notre Dame Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Highest, dominant Def, primed for CFP run
(4/6) WR J. Faison (leader LY) dropped lacrosse, focused on fball
(4/6) DB's may be best in CFB. LBs/DL top 10 as well
(4/2) WR Mylan Graham twitchy, a diff level than ND WRs
(4/2) OT Will Black starting, Knapp to OG (PFF top 10 OT)
(4/2) QB Carr true leader of team. Best ND QB in 20+ yrs
(4/1) DE Traore + DT Brewu both top 10 via PFF
(2/10) 16 starters back, 2nd in CFB, 8 exp'd depth too
(2/2) Hired Ill DC Henry as DB/CoDC to replace Mickens
(1/29) DEs talented but need more, DT portals big adds
(1/29) OL great pieces, expecting a lot. RBs inexp'd
(1/28) ? at skill but loaded w talent. Portal WR's help
Notre Dame Injury Report
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Game ControlGC #41 #2
Momentum ControlMC #76 #19
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #9 #13
ExplosiveExp #71 #85
PPAPPA #16 #12
PowerPwr #67 #1
SP+SP+ #58 #9
Pts POPPO #28 #6
HavocHav #3 #19
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #20
Run ExplRExp #32 #32
PPAExp #6 #37
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #5 #39
Stuff RateStuff #1 #74
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #16
Pass ExplPExl #3 #93
PPAExp #9 #8
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #77
DB HavocDB #2 #3
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
Game ControlGC #9 #44
Momentum ControlMC #10 #87
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #10 #57
ExplosiveExp #3 #115
PPAPPA #4 #103
PowerPwr #3 #83
SP+SP+ #3 #77
Pts POPPO #6 #115
HavocHav #36 #124
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #26
Run ExplRExp #8 #114
PPAExp #11 #76
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #50 #59
Stuff RateStuff #101 #80
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #102
Pass ExplPExl #25 #104
PPAExp #10 #119
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #111
DB HavocDB #35 #129
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (49-10)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2024 (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)

  
NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Jackson Gutierrez030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braxton Woodson4441469.474
Jackson Gutierrez2817206.123
Charles Robinson103303.37
Vic Listorti31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Hutchison5134326.863
Joshua Guerin360020.035
Jake Norris123023.023
Charles Robinson221010.511

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Giuseppe Sessi811000
Coleman Cauley783030
Phillip Hamilton490002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Griffen Willis487331
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Marcus Bleazard112100
Xavyer Arrington41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Phillip Hamilton490002
Bryce Allen130002

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Jordan Faison11100%400040.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Nolan James Jr.143702.615
C.J. Carr413330.828
Jordan Faison1-80-8.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Micah Gilbert993110.326
Mylan Graham (Tr)693015.523
Luke Talich184184.084

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Jaylen Sneed355330
Keon Keeley (Tr)133311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125