Memphis at Navy - 2026 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo   Memphis Tigers at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
MEM 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
Our Line: Memphis -3  (SP+ MEM -1.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 30 - NAVY: 27 (57)
MEM Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MEM Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (26 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 4 (#48)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Memphis's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Memphis at UNLV-1.5
Sat 9/5 Memphis vs Arkansas State-25
Sat 9/12 Memphis at Boise State+0.5
Sat 9/19 Memphis vs UT Martin-29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Memphis at Charlotte-24
Sat 10/10 Memphis vs UAB-24
Fri 10/16 Memphis at Tulane-2
Thu 10/22 Memphis vs East Carolina-5.5
Sat 10/31 Memphis vs Army-10.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/12 Memphis at South Florida+4.5
Sat 11/21 Memphis at Navy-3
Sat 11/28 Memphis vs Temple-13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Navy's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Towson-24
Sat 9/12 Navy at Florida Atlantic-6
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/25 Navy at UAB-13.5
Sat 10/3 Navy at Air Force-5.5
Sat 10/10 Navy vs Tulsa-9
Sat 10/17 Navy at UTSA+2.5
Sat 10/24 Navy vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 10/31 Navy at Notre Dame+29
Sat 11/7 Navy vs Temple-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Navy vs Memphis+3
Sat 11/28 Navy at Charlotte-18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#24 (.26)45% (40)32.549% (12)3.33 (11)18342% (70)2284.41 (23)#92 (.19)42% (66)23.239% (32)45% (110)4 (100)48.10.91.5
NAVY#16 (.3)49% (9)31.552% (4)3.45 (5)28642% (58)1304.23 (28)#103 (.21)41% (57)2539% (26)44% (102)4.2 (115)48.31.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1332.53544.9%4.410.9234121832285.148%50%49%42%14%.26
NAVY Defense132524.240.7%4.21.2 - - - - - 52%46%39%44%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.220.841.6%41.5 - - - - - 50%49%39%45%17%.19
NAVY Offense1331.53849%4.231.1204162861305.875%23%52%42%9%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1331:3822.742%56%5.548.10.91.561.6329.4
Navy1332:3620.452%68%5.748.31.11.24.52.1131.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1348% (79)49% (12)36.2183.25.134 (1).3 (5)3.33 (11)75% (47)10% (98)1.17 (7)
NAVY Defense1352% (97)39% (26) - - - - .11 (76)2.85 (59)76% (103)8% (111)1.06 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1350% (71)39% (32) - - - - .04 (32)2.57 (13)73% (87)11% (28)0.98 (81)
NAVY Offense1375% (3)52% (4)49.4286.15.841 (4).28 (6)3.45 (5)81% (13)7% (11)1.06 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1350% (60)42% (70)21.431.7228.47.210.717 (86)9 (88).23 (80)1.5 (95)32% (83)32% (42).34 (55)4% (14)2.1 (43)
NAVY Defense1346% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 7 (100).37 (119)1.6 (104)31% (75)29% (71).3 (71)4% (129)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1349% (72)45% (110) - - - - - - 12 (6).37 (118)1.6 (105)32% (62)30% (77).37 (105)6% (47)2.1 (113)
NAVY Offense1323% (134)42% (58)8.2141309.315.912 (106)6 (20).46 (9)2 (3)23% (1)34% (27).52 (8)2% (2)2.3 (6)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.06  #58
Memphis's Offense Rating: 15.50  #46
Memphis's Defense Rating: 16.44  #74
2026 Talent Rating: 848.00  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #72
Memphis's 2026 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Memphis's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #39
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #21
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.06   Navy: 2.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.6   Navy: 6.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.795  #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 11.21  #79
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.82  #114
2026 Talent Rating: 138.00  #137
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Navy's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 4.0
Navy's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #26
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 30
Navy 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/27Memphis17Navy28Memphis -3.5Navy57.5Under
202409/21Navy56Memphis44Memphis -9.5Navy47.0Over
202309/14Memphis28Navy24Memphis -12.5Navy47.0Over
202209/10Navy13Memphis37Memphis -4.5Memphis47.5Over
202110/14Memphis35Navy17Memphis -11Memphis55.5Under
202011/28Navy7Memphis10Memphis -13.5Navy62.5Under
201909/26Memphis35Navy23Memphis -11Memphis53.5Over
201809/08Navy22Memphis21Memphis -7Navy67.0Under
201710/14Memphis30Navy27Memphis -3.5Navy73.0Under
201610/22Navy42Memphis28Memphis -2Navy57.0Over
201511/07Memphis20Navy45Memphis -8.5Navy62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy586 Overs
Memphis635 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 52 - 44 - 1
Road Teams4 - 75 - 61 - 44 - 2

(#58) MEM at (#90) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #58 #90
SP+SP+ #39 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #49 #137
Blue ChipsBC% #72 #103
Memphis Notes
(2/2) HC Huff good hire, OC Decker (ODU) great hire
Memphis Injury Report
Navy Notes
(2/10) DC PJ Volker left to coach Ravens DBs
Navy Injury Report
Memphis on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #40 #57
ExplosiveExp #31 #115
PPAPPA #24 #103
PowerPwr #46 #114
SP+SP+ #21 #72
Pts POPPO #23 #115
HavocHav #49 #124
Memphis Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #26
Run ExplRExp #7 #114
PPAExp #5 #76
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #11 #59
Stuff RateStuff #75 #80
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #102
Pass ExplPExl #95 #104
PPAExp #80 #119
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #111
DB HavocDB #14 #129
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #9 #66
ExplosiveExp #71 #104
PPAPPA #16 #92
PowerPwr #79 #74
SP+SP+ #26 #75
Pts POPPO #28 #100
HavocHav #3 #30
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #32
Run ExplRExp #32 #81
PPAExp #6 #32
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #5 #13
Stuff RateStuff #1 #29
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #110
Pass ExplPExl #3 #105
PPAExp #9 #118
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #28
DB HavocDB #2 #47
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Navy beat Memphis last year (28-17)
Navy beat Memphis in 2024 (56-44)
Memphis beat Navy in 2023 (28-24)

  
MEM's OC Kevin Decker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Air Noland (Tr)2367%13004.3
Brady Kluse11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dallan Hayden (Tr)7032614.742
Manny Covey (Tr)2719417.236
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)112012.012
Air Noland (Tr)1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)24444318.550
Hunter Tipton (Tr)39411210.537
Brady Kluse22240210.925
Justin Hughes9132014.733

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Lance Guidry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Ahmere Foster (Tr)471012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Taylor Burton112112
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Richard271008
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Jackson Gutierrez030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braxton Woodson4441469.474
Jackson Gutierrez2817206.123
Charles Robinson103303.37
Vic Listorti31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Hutchison5134326.863
Joshua Guerin360020.035
Jake Norris123023.023
Charles Robinson221010.511

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Giuseppe Sessi811000
Coleman Cauley783030
Phillip Hamilton490002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Moutome428423
Griffen Willis487331
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Marcus Bleazard112100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Julian Moutome428423
Phillip Hamilton490002