Tulsa at Navy - 2026 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#54)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Navy -9  (SP+ NAVY -16)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - NAVY: 32 (55)
NAVY Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TLSA Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (26 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 4 (#48)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Tulsa's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+0.5
Sat 9/12 Tulsa at Sam Houston-13.5
Sat 9/19 Tulsa vs East Texas A&M-17
Sat 9/26 Tulsa at Arkansas+13.5
Thu 10/1 Tulsa vs North Texas+8
Sat 10/10 Tulsa at Navy+9
Sat 10/17 Tulsa at Rice-5
Fri 10/23 Tulsa vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Tulsa at Tulane+9.5
Sat 11/14 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic-4.5
Sat 11/21 Tulsa vs Charlotte-17
Sat 11/28 Tulsa at UTSA+9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Navy's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Towson-24
Sat 9/12 Navy at Florida Atlantic-6
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/25 Navy at UAB-13.5
Sat 10/3 Navy at Air Force-5.5
Sat 10/10 Navy vs Tulsa-9
Sat 10/17 Navy at UTSA+2.5
Sat 10/24 Navy vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 10/31 Navy at Notre Dame+29
Sat 11/7 Navy vs Temple-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Navy vs Memphis+3
Sat 11/28 Navy at Charlotte-18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#105 (.11)40% (97)23.242% (88)2.87 (79)17638% (105)2233.34 (106)#60 (.15)43% (81)28.942% (65)44% (100)3.78 (77)38.21.60.9
NAVY#16 (.3)49% (9)31.552% (4)3.45 (5)28642% (58)1304.23 (28)#103 (.21)41% (57)2539% (26)44% (102)4.2 (115)48.31.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21940.4%3.341.6223991762234.451%47%42%38%17%.11
NAVY Defense132524.240.7%4.21.2 - - - - - 52%46%39%44%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.742.5%3.780.9 - - - - - 56%43%42%44%13%.15
NAVY Offense1331.53849%4.231.1204162861305.875%23%52%42%9%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:3322.238%57%5.138.21.60.95.31.9027.4
Navy1332:3620.452%68%5.748.31.11.24.52.1131.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1251% (56)42% (88)40.41764.418 (107).05 (101)2.87 (79)60% (127)11% (111)1.03 (47)
NAVY Defense1352% (97)39% (26) - - - - .11 (76)2.85 (59)76% (103)8% (111)1.06 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1256% (127)42% (65) - - - - .06 (47)2.92 (76)67% (36)9% (99)0.94 (58)
NAVY Offense1375% (3)52% (4)49.4286.15.841 (4).28 (6)3.45 (5)81% (13)7% (11)1.06 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1247% (82)38% (105)20.134.1222.56.511.115 (86)10 (108).15 (114)1.5 (104)32% (80)28% (89).26 (87)6% (78)1.9 (106)
NAVY Defense1346% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 7 (100).37 (119)1.6 (104)31% (75)29% (71).3 (71)4% (129)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1243% (14)44% (100) - - - - - - 7 (55).28 (84)1.5 (52)29% (115)31% (92).28 (65)4% (131)1.8 (15)
NAVY Offense1323% (134)42% (58)8.2141309.315.912 (106)6 (20).46 (9)2 (3)23% (1)34% (27).52 (8)2% (2)2.3 (6)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -2.51  #81
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 8.48  #95
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.99  #68
2026 Talent Rating: 622.00  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Tulsa's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Tulsa's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0  #104
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 730.33

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -2.51   Navy: 2.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.0   Navy: 6.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.795  #91
Navy's Offense Rating: 11.21  #79
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.82  #113
2026 Talent Rating: 138.00  #137
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Navy's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 4.0
Navy's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #26
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 730.33


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 32
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulsa23Navy42Navy -14Navy52.5Over
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21Tulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20Tulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19Tulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45Tulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29Navy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31Navy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40Navy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44Navy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy986 Overs
Tulsa213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 83 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#81) TLSA at (#91) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSANAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #81 #91
SP+SP+ #104 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #89 #137
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #103
Navy Notes
(2/10) DC PJ Volker left to coach Ravens DBs
Navy Injury Report
Tulsa on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #97 #57
ExplosiveExp #59 #115
PPAPPA #105 #103
PowerPwr #95 #113
SP+SP+ #105 #72
Pts POPPO #106 #115
HavocHav #104 #124
Tulsa Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #88 #26
Run ExplRExp #47 #114
PPAExp #101 #76
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #79 #59
Stuff RateStuff #125 #80
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #102
Pass ExplPExl #104 #104
PPAExp #114 #119
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #111 #111
DB HavocDB #78 #129
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #9 #81
ExplosiveExp #71 #44
PPAPPA #16 #60
PowerPwr #79 #68
SP+SP+ #26 #107
Pts POPPO #28 #77
HavocHav #3 #121
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #65
Run ExplRExp #32 #58
PPAExp #6 #47
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #5 #76
Stuff RateStuff #1 #76
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #100
Pass ExplPExl #3 #52
PPAExp #9 #84
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #99
DB HavocDB #2 #131
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa last year (42-23)

  
TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes18631659%21591266.8
Dexter Williams II (Tr)6712554%787636.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trequan Jones (Tr)10579267.593
DJ McKinney (Tr)11146474.254
Baylor Hayes9518832.024
Dexter Williams II (Tr)4115333.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Ross (Tr)50603312.179
David Wells Jr. (Tr)44466410.656
Grayson Tempest22272112.451
Josh Smith9201122.343

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
William Alexander661010
Elijah Green592007
Devin Robinson506002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis (Tr)256320
Dax Collins101100
Tai Newhouse392110
Zach Williams731007
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
Elijah Green592007
Caldra Williford (Tr)161004

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Jackson Gutierrez030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braxton Woodson4441469.474
Jackson Gutierrez2817206.123
Charles Robinson103303.37
Vic Listorti31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Hutchison5134326.863
Joshua Guerin360020.035
Jake Norris123023.023
Charles Robinson221010.511

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Giuseppe Sessi811000
Coleman Cauley783030
Phillip Hamilton490002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Moutome428423
Griffen Willis487331
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Marcus Bleazard112100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Julian Moutome428423
Phillip Hamilton490002