Central Michigan at Miami - 2026 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Miami Hurricanes

Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL

Chippewas (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#64)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIAMI is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami -35.5 (SP+ MIAMI -30)
Projected Score: CMU: 6 - MIAMI: 41 (47)
MIAMI Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
CMU Travel: 1244 miles

Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (35 - 19)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (36 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	Central Michigan at Miami	+35.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Miami's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/4	Miami at Stanford	-26
Thu 9/10	Miami vs Florida A&M	-47
Fri 9/18	Miami at Wake Forest	-15
Sat 9/26	Miami vs Central Michigan	-35.5
Sat 10/3	Miami at Clemson	-12
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Miami vs Florida State	-18
Sat 10/24	Miami vs Pittsburgh	-17.5
Sat 10/31	Miami at North Carolina	-22
Sat 11/7	Miami at Notre Dame	+6
Sat 11/14	Miami vs Duke	-21.5
Fri 11/20	Miami vs Virginia Tech	-28
Sat 11/28	Miami vs Boston College	-30.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#71 (.17)	41% (89)	22.5	40% (102)	2.79 (103)	165	44% (42)	167	3.6 (80)	#36 (.1)	40% (47)	23.5	41% (56)	39% (43)	3.14 (26)	48.7	1.2	1.6
MIAMI	#35 (.22)	46% (23)	30.9	45% (58)	3.13 (35)	145	49% (10)	239	4.36 (24)	#14 (.05)	37% (15)	14.8	36% (10)	38% (28)	2.51 (5)	53.5	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	13	22.5	19.1	41.1%	3.6	1.2	17	332	165	167	4	63%	35%	40%	44%	16%	.17
MIAMI Defense	16	14.8	11.8	36.6%	2.51	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	43%	55%	36%	38%	19%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	13	23.5	28	39.6%	3.14	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	41%	39%	17%	.1
MIAMI Offense	16	30.9	36.1	46.4%	4.36	0.9	21	384	145	239	4.3	50%	48%	45%	49%	12%	.22

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	13	32:06	16.9	34%	58%	6	48.7	1.2	1.6	5.3	2.2	2	29
Miami	16	31:35	20.9	48%	67%	6.6	53.5	0.9	1.6	6	2.9	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	13	63% (7)	40% (102)	41.4	165.1	4	17 (78)	.07 (91)	2.79 (103)	75% (47)	12% (120)	0.92 (84)
MIAMI Defense	16	43% (4)	36% (10)	-	-	-	-	.01 (16)	2.58 (14)	73% (80)	12% (15)	1.01 (94)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	13	47% (40)	41% (56)	-	-	-	-	.04 (34)	2.83 (55)	62% (12)	10% (62)	0.9 (38)
MIAMI Offense	16	50% (62)	45% (58)	33.9	144.9	4.3	26 (40)	.09 (76)	3.13 (35)	83% (4)	6% (4)	0.8 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	13	35% (130)	44% (42)	13.5	19.5	167.1	8.6	12.3	16 (106)	7 (3)	.4 (22)	1.6 (40)	32% (73)	26% (117)	.31 (67)	4% (15)	2.1 (36)
MIAMI Defense	16	55% (131)	38% (28)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (55)	.13 (21)	1.5 (29)	36% (13)	28% (50)	.21 (29)	7% (15)	1.9 (29)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	13	51% (96)	39% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (12)	.19 (46)	1.5 (63)	32% (61)	27% (32)	.26 (55)	7% (22)	2 (73)
MIAMI Offense	16	48% (79)	49% (10)	21	29	238.7	8.2	11.4	31 (61)	11 (108)	.43 (13)	1.5 (88)	26% (8)	32% (44)	.37 (42)	6% (65)	2.1 (59)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -10.85 #97
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 4.84 #104
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 20.69 #92
2026 Talent Rating: 526.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Central Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Central Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #100
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #120
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 524
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -10.85 Miami: 25.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -8.8 Miami: 20.7

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.855 #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 22.96 #9
Miami's Defense Rating: 1.95 #6
2026 Talent Rating: 1036.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 55 #9
Miami's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 41
Central Michigan 6

Projected Total Points: 47

Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Miami's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/21	Miami	17	Central Michigan	12	Miami -30.5	Central Michigan	48.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	1	0	0 Overs
Central Michigan	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#97) CMU at (#5) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#97	#5
SP+SP+	#100	#9
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#105	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#9

Central Michigan Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#89	#15
ExplosiveExp	#109	#81
PPAPPA	#71	#14
PowerPwr	#104	#6
SP+SP+	#120	#7
Pts POPPO	#80	#5
HavocHav	#70	#13

Central Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#102	#10
Run ExplRExp	#84	#94
PPAExp	#91	#16
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#103	#14
Stuff RateStuff	#80	#49
TackleTak	-	NR

Central Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	#28
Pass ExplPExl	#40	#29
PPAExp	#22	#21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#120	#15
DB HavocDB	#15	#15

Miami on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	CMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#23	#47
ExplosiveExp	#126	#55
PPAPPA	#35	#36
PowerPwr	#9	#92
SP+SP+	#22	#65
Pts POPPO	#24	#26
HavocHav	#13	#42

Miami Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#58	#56
Run ExplRExp	#128	#38
PPAExp	#76	#34
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#35	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#16	#28
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#10	#43
Pass ExplPExl	#88	#63
PPAExp	#13	#46
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#4	#62
DB HavocDB	#65	#22

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Angel H Flores	19	28	68%	195	2	1	7.0
Jadyn Glasser	7	9	78%	78	0	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Angel H Flores	107	527	8	4.9	37
Brock Townsend	82	418	4	5.1	46
Vaughn Blue (Tr)	47	234	2	5.0	22
Marcus Beamon	33	88	1	2.7	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Langston Lewis	43	596	3	13.9	77
Tommy Mcintosh	31	422	3	13.6	47
Brock Townsend	13	145	4	11.2	51
Vaughn Blue (Tr)	8	119	1	14.9	59

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7
Korver Demma	28	9	4	5	1
Xavier White	26	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Korver Demma	28	9	4	5	1
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
JJ Douglas	23	2	2	2	1
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Dylan Fisher	6	1	0	0	2

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darian Mensah	334	500	67%	3973	34	6	7.9
Malachi Toney	4	7	57%	82	2	0	11.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.	216	1192	12	5.5	57
CharMar Brown	122	460	7	3.8	13
Girard Pringle Jr.	62	375	4	6.0	38
Malachi Toney	23	113	1	4.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Toney	109	1211	10	11.1	61
Vandrevious Jacobs	32	548	4	17.1	74
Cam Vaughn (Tr)	35	540	4	15.4	46
Elija Lofton	23	218	3	9.5	29

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	84	3	2	1	6
Omar Thornton (Tr)	82	8	2	1	1
Zechariah Poyser	68	3	1	1	5
Xavier Lucas	45	2	1	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	9	9	13	2
Ahmad Moten	31	9	5	4	0
Marquise Lightfoot	25	6	3	6	1
Armondo Blount	17	3	3	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Lucas	45	2	1	1	8
OJ Frederique Jr.	19	0	0	0	7
Mohamed Toure	84	3	2	1	6