Miami at Notre Dame - 2026 Matchup Preview
Miami logo Miami Hurricanes at Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Notre Dame Stadium - Notre Dame, IN

 
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (35 - 19)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIAMI 2nd straight Road Game
ND coming off BYE
MIAMI is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -6  (SP+ ND -4)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 23 - ND: 29 (52)
ND Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
MIAMI Travel: 1140 miles
Fighting Irish (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (43 - 12)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#134)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Miami at Stanford-26
Thu 9/10 Miami vs Florida A&M-47
Fri 9/18 Miami at Wake Forest-15
Sat 9/26 Miami vs Central Michigan-35.5
Sat 10/3 Miami at Clemson-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Miami vs Florida State-18
Sat 10/24 Miami vs Pittsburgh-17.5
Sat 10/31 Miami at North Carolina-22
Sat 11/7 Miami at Notre Dame+6
Sat 11/14 Miami vs Duke-21.5
Fri 11/20 Miami vs Virginia Tech-28
Sat 11/28 Miami vs Boston College-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Notre Dame at North Carolina-25
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Stanford-34
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame at BYU-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame vs Miami-6
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame vs Boston College-34
Sat 11/21 Notre Dame vs SMU-17.5
Sat 11/28 Notre Dame at Syracuse-31.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#35 (.22)46% (23)30.945% (58)3.13 (35)14549% (10)2394.36 (24)#14 (.05)37% (15)14.836% (10)38% (28)2.51 (5)53.50.91.6
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1630.92646.4%4.360.9213841452394.350%48%45%49%12%.22
ND Defense1217.61836.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1614.81536.6%2.511.6 - - - - - 43%55%36%38%19%.05
ND Offense124244.749%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1631:3520.948%67%6.653.50.91.662.9330.2
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1650% (62)45% (58)33.9144.94.326 (40).09 (76)3.13 (35)83% (4)6% (4)0.8 (128)
ND Defense1243% (7)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1643% (4)36% (10) - - - - .01 (16)2.58 (14)73% (80)12% (15)1.01 (94)
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1648% (79)49% (10)2129238.78.211.431 (61)11 (108).43 (13)1.5 (88)26% (8)32% (44).37 (42)6% (65)2.1 (59)
ND Defense1256% (133)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1655% (131)38% (28) - - - - - - 16 (55).13 (21)1.5 (29)36% (13)28% (50).21 (29)7% (15)1.9 (29)
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 26.01  #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 22.96  #9
Miami's Defense Rating: 1.95  #6
2026 Talent Rating: 1036.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 55%  #9
Miami's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 26.01   Notre Dame: 29.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 20.7   Notre Dame: 24.4




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 29.205  #2
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 30.81  #2
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.34  #2
2026 Talent Rating: 1178.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 57  #8
Notre Dame's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Notre Dame's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #13

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 884
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 29
Miami 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/31Miami27Notre Dame24Notre Dame -2.5Miami53.5Under
201711/11Miami41Notre Dame8Notre Dame -3.5Miami59.5Under
201610/29Notre Dame30Miami27Notre Dame -1Notre Dame58.5Under
201210/06Notre Dame41Miami3
201012/31Miami17Notre Dame33
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame310 Overs
Miami223 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 13 - 01 - 02 - 0
Road Teams1 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1

(#5) MIAMI at (#2) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #5 #2
SP+SP+ #9 #5
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #7 #2
Blue ChipsBC% #9 #8
Notre Dame Notes
(1/25) Freeman, Denbrock, QB Carr all back. Big year.
(1/25) Losing DB coach Mickens is a big loss
Notre Dame Injury Report
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #23 #13
ExplosiveExp #126 #85
PPAPPA #35 #12
PowerPwr #9 #2
SP+SP+ #22 #13
Pts POPPO #24 #6
HavocHav #13 #19
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #20
Run ExplRExp #128 #32
PPAExp #76 #37
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #35 #39
Stuff RateStuff #16 #74
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #16
Pass ExplPExl #88 #93
PPAExp #13 #8
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #4 #77
DB HavocDB #65 #3
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #10 #15
ExplosiveExp #3 #81
PPAPPA #4 #14
PowerPwr #2 #6
SP+SP+ #4 #7
Pts POPPO #6 #5
HavocHav #36 #13
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #10
Run ExplRExp #8 #94
PPAExp #11 #16
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #50 #14
Stuff RateStuff #101 #49
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #28
Pass ExplPExl #25 #29
PPAExp #10 #21
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #15
DB HavocDB #35 #15
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Miami beat Notre Dame last year (27-24)

  
MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah33450067%39733467.9
Malachi Toney4757%822011.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.2161192125.557
CharMar Brown12246073.813
Girard Pringle Jr.6237546.038
Malachi Toney2311314.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney10912111011.161
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Elija Lofton2321839.529

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure843216
Omar Thornton (Tr)828211
Zechariah Poyser683115
Xavier Lucas452118
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Ahmad Moten319540
Marquise Lightfoot256361
Armondo Blount173361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Lucas452118
OJ Frederique Jr.190007
Mohamed Toure843216

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Jordan Faison11100%400040.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Nolan James Jr.143702.615
C.J. Carr413330.828
Jordan Faison1-80-8.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Micah Gilbert993110.326
Mylan Graham (Tr)693015.523
Luke Talich184184.084

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Jaylen Sneed355330
Keon Keeley (Tr)133311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125