Miami at Wake Forest - 2026 Matchup Preview

Miami Hurricanes at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Friday, September 18th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
BB&T Field - Winston-Salem, NC

Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (35 - 19)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Miami -15 (SP+ MIAMI -15)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 31 - WAKE: 16 (46)
MIAMI Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
MIAMI Travel: 703 miles

Demon Deacons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIAMI Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/4	Miami at Stanford	-26
Thu 9/10	Miami vs Florida A&M	-47
Fri 9/18	Miami at Wake Forest	-15
Sat 9/26	Miami vs Central Michigan	-35.5
Sat 10/3	Miami at Clemson	-12
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Miami vs Florida State	-18
Sat 10/24	Miami vs Pittsburgh	-17.5
Sat 10/31	Miami at North Carolina	-22
Sat 11/7	Miami at Notre Dame	+6
Sat 11/14	Miami vs Duke	-21.5
Fri 11/20	Miami vs Virginia Tech	-28
Sat 11/28	Miami vs Boston College	-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Wake Forest vs Akron	-24
Sat 9/12	Wake Forest at Purdue	-7
Fri 9/18	Wake Forest vs Miami	+15
Sat 9/26	Wake Forest at Louisville	+7
Sat 10/3	Wake Forest vs Stanford	-13.5
Sat 10/10	Wake Forest at NC State	+3.5
Sat 10/17	Wake Forest at California	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Wake Forest vs Virginia	-0
Sat 11/7	Wake Forest vs Merrimack	-29.5
Sat 11/14	Wake Forest at SMU	+8
Sat 11/21	Wake Forest at Georgia Tech	+3.5
Sat 11/28	Wake Forest vs Duke	-4.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI	#35 (.22)	46% (23)	30.9	45% (58)	3.13 (35)	145	49% (10)	239	4.36 (24)	#14 (.05)	37% (15)	14.8	36% (10)	38% (28)	2.51 (5)	53.5	0.9	1.6
WAKE	#82 (.15)	38% (112)	28.1	40% (100)	2.79 (101)	156	37% (115)	238	3.23 (113)	#6 (.03)	35% (8)	22.1	37% (12)	33% (7)	3.24 (31)	69.5	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Offense	16	30.9	26	46.4%	4.36	0.9	21	384	145	239	4.3	50%	48%	45%	49%	12%	.22
WAKE Defense	13	22.1	17.3	35.1%	3.24	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	37%	33%	18%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Defense	16	14.8	15	36.6%	2.51	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	43%	55%	36%	38%	19%	.05
WAKE Offense	13	28.1	28.3	38.4%	3.23	1.6	19	394	156	238	4.5	50%	49%	40%	37%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami	16	31:35	20.9	48%	67%	6.6	53.5	0.9	1.6	6	2.9	3	30.2
Wake Forest	13	29:04	19	40%	55%	7.4	69.5	1.6	1.2	7.4	2.3	3	30.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense	16	50% (62)	45% (58)	33.9	144.9	4.3	26 (40)	.09 (76)	3.13 (35)	83% (4)	6% (4)	0.8 (128)
WAKE Defense	13	47% (34)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (10)	2.49 (9)	64% (22)	12% (11)	0.88 (27)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense	16	43% (4)	36% (10)	-	-	-	-	.01 (16)	2.58 (14)	73% (80)	12% (15)	1.01 (94)
WAKE Offense	13	50% (61)	40% (100)	34.8	156.2	4.5	23 (49)	.11 (67)	2.79 (101)	79% (21)	9% (71)	1.12 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense	16	48% (79)	49% (10)	21	29	238.7	8.2	11.4	31 (61)	11 (108)	.43 (13)	1.5 (88)	26% (8)	32% (44)	.37 (42)	6% (65)	2.1 (59)
WAKE Defense	13	51% (102)	33% (7)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (100)	.1 (12)	1.5 (56)	36% (10)	25% (13)	.13 (13)	6% (62)	2 (60)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense	16	55% (131)	38% (28)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (55)	.13 (21)	1.5 (29)	36% (13)	28% (50)	.21 (29)	7% (15)	1.9 (29)
WAKE Offense	13	49% (73)	37% (115)	17.8	31.2	237.7	7.6	13.3	18 (106)	11 (34)	.25 (69)	1.7 (12)	33% (93)	28% (95)	.33 (60)	6% (78)	2.3 (8)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 26.01 #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 22.96 #9
Miami's Defense Rating: 1.95 #6
2026 Talent Rating: 1036.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Miami's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 26.01 Wake Forest: 8.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 20.7 Wake Forest: 5.7

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 8.58 #36
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 8.68 #80
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 7.22 #16
2026 Talent Rating: 854.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Wake Forest's 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Wake Forest's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #52
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #34

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 31
Wake Forest 16

Projected Total Points: 46

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Miami	42	Wake Forest	14	Miami -23.5	Miami	67.0	Under
2013	10/26	Miami	24	Wake Forest	21	Miami -22	Wake Forest	0
2009	10/31	Wake Forest	27	Miami	28
2008	10/25	Miami	16	Wake Forest	10
2005	11/12	Wake Forest	17	Miami	47
2004	11/20	Miami	52	Wake Forest	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	0	1	0 Overs
Miami	6	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#5) MIAMI at (#36) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIAMI	WAKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#5	#36
SP+SP+	#9	#52
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#7	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	#9	#65

Miami Injury Report

Wake Forest Injury Report

Miami on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	WAKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#23	#8
ExplosiveExp	#126	#43
PPAPPA	#35	#6
PowerPwr	#9	#16
SP+SP+	#22	#34
Pts POPPO	#24	#31
HavocHav	#13	#21

Miami Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#58	#12
Run ExplRExp	#128	#27
PPAExp	#76	#10
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#35	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#16	#4
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#10	#7
Pass ExplPExl	#88	#56
PPAExp	#13	#12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#4	#11
DB HavocDB	#65	#62

Wake Forest on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	WAKE Off	MIAMI Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#112	#15
ExplosiveExp	#5	#81
PPAPPA	#82	#14
PowerPwr	#80	#6
SP+SP+	#70	#7
Pts POPPO	#113	#5
HavocHav	#70	#13

Wake Forest Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	WAKE Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#100	#10
Run ExplRExp	#11	#94
PPAExp	#67	#16
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#14
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#49
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	WAKE Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#28
Pass ExplPExl	#12	#29
PPAExp	#69	#21
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#71	#15
DB HavocDB	#78	#15

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Wake Forest in 2024 (42-14)

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darian Mensah	334	500	67%	3973	34	6	7.9
Malachi Toney	4	7	57%	82	2	0	11.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.	216	1192	12	5.5	57
CharMar Brown	122	460	7	3.8	13
Girard Pringle Jr.	62	375	4	6.0	38
Malachi Toney	23	113	1	4.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Toney	109	1211	10	11.1	61
Vandrevious Jacobs	32	548	4	17.1	74
Cam Vaughn (Tr)	35	540	4	15.4	46
Elija Lofton	23	218	3	9.5	29

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	84	3	2	1	6
Omar Thornton (Tr)	82	8	2	1	1
Zechariah Poyser	68	3	1	1	5
Xavier Lucas	45	2	1	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	9	9	13	2
Ahmad Moten	31	9	5	4	0
Marquise Lightfoot	25	6	3	6	1
Armondo Blount	17	3	3	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Lucas	45	2	1	1	8
OJ Frederique Jr.	19	0	0	0	7
Mohamed Toure	84	3	2	1	6

WAKE's OC Rob Ezell (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Giovanni Lopez	170	261	65%	1747	10	5	6.7
Wondame Davis Jr. (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ty Clark III	75	323	3	4.3	15
Giovanni Lopez	86	133	3	1.5	17
KD Daniels (Tr)	28	120	1	4.3	16
JaMario Clements	22	63	0	2.9	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carlos Hernandez	40	611	3	15.3	93
Wondame Davis Jr. (Tr)	25	604	6	24.2	75
Drayden Dickmann (Tr)	37	323	3	8.7	46
Ty Clark III	17	209	1	12.3	62

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davaughn Patterson	80	4	0	4	9
Aiden Hall	73	8	0	2	3
Langston Hardy	65	15	7	9	0
Quincy Bryant	57	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Langston Hardy	65	15	7	9	0
Gabe Kirschke	37	9	5	4	0
Dallas Afalava	33	6	4	8	1
Bernard Causey III (Tr)	19	2	1	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davaughn Patterson	80	4	0	4	9
Bernard Causey III (Tr)	19	2	1	0	6
Braylon Johnson	38	1	1	1	4