Arizona State at UCF - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL

Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UCF is playing their 4th straight game
ASU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -3.5 (SP+ ASU -5)
Projected Score: ASU: 26 - UCF: 23 (49)
ASU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 1844 miles, 2 hrs behind

Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (24 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ASU Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arizona State vs Morgan State	-27.5
Sat 9/12	Arizona State at Texas A&M	+22
Sat 9/19	Arizona State vs Kansas	-5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Arizona State vs Baylor	-4.5
Sat 10/10	Arizona State vs Hawai'i	-12
Sat 10/17	Arizona State at Texas Tech	+25.5
Sat 10/24	Arizona State vs Kansas State	-0
Sat 10/31	Arizona State at BYU	+14
Sat 11/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	-14
Sat 11/14	Arizona State at UCF	-3.5
Sat 11/21	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	-14.5
Sat 11/28	Arizona State at Arizona	+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

UCF's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	UCF vs Bethune-Cookman	-21
Sat 9/12	UCF at Pittsburgh	+13
Sat 9/19	UCF vs Georgia State	-22
Sat 9/26	UCF vs TCU	+8
Sat 10/3	UCF at Houston	+11.5
Sat 10/10	UCF at Oklahoma State	-3.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	UCF vs BYU	+15
Sat 10/31	UCF vs Baylor	+2
Sat 11/7	UCF at Kansas	+6
Sat 11/14	UCF vs Arizona State	+3.5
Sat 11/21	UCF vs Iowa State	+4
Sat 11/28	UCF at Colorado	-3

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#91 (.14)	40% (99)	25.8	43% (75)	2.86 (82)	193	39% (101)	224	3.37 (103)	#35 (.1)	41% (58)	24.5	42% (63)	40% (51)	3.46 (51)	57.8	1.6	1.2
UCF	#88 (.14)	39% (107)	24.3	39% (111)	2.61 (126)	158	40% (93)	221	3.49 (94)	#51 (.12)	44% (95)	23.6	47% (116)	40% (54)	3.52 (55)	57.2	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Offense	13	25.8	24.6	40.2%	3.37	1.6	21	417	193	224	5.1	51%	47%	43%	39%	17%	.14
UCF Defense	12	23.6	15.7	43.7%	3.52	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	40%	16%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Defense	13	24.5	25.2	40.8%	3.46	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	42%	40%	19%	.1
UCF Offense	12	24.3	32.6	39.1%	3.49	1.5	18	379	158	221	4.9	45%	53%	39%	40%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona State	13	31:33	21.1	33%	58%	7.2	57.8	1.6	1.2	6.6	2.6	0	27.7
UCF	12	29:55	18.2	34%	56%	7.6	57.2	1.5	1.2	5.6	2.1	2	28.4

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Offense	13	51% (54)	43% (75)	38	192.9	5.1	18 (78)	.11 (72)	2.86 (82)	63% (118)	10% (87)	0.97 (63)
UCF Defense	12	54% (110)	47% (116)	-	-	-	-	.12 (84)	3.06 (101)	85% (132)	10% (46)	0.88 (28)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Defense	13	45% (16)	42% (63)	-	-	-	-	.03 (28)	2.72 (36)	71% (63)	11% (40)	0.92 (47)
UCF Offense	12	45% (106)	39% (111)	32.3	158.2	4.9	19 (26)	.11 (68)	2.61 (126)	62% (123)	11% (107)	1.25 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Offense	13	47% (89)	39% (101)	19.3	33.1	223.7	6.8	11.6	20 (86)	9 (20)	.25 (68)	1.6 (46)	32% (79)	28% (88)	.26 (86)	7% (105)	1.9 (99)
UCF Defense	12	45% (28)	40% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.16 (28)	1.4 (19)	31% (81)	25% (16)	.11 (7)	6% (62)	1.7 (5)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Defense	13	54% (123)	40% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.17 (32)	1.5 (39)	32% (58)	28% (56)	.2 (28)	8% (11)	2.1 (98)
UCF Offense	12	53% (30)	40% (93)	20.8	33.6	220.8	6.6	10.6	12 (114)	12 (34)	.18 (104)	1.5 (102)	33% (105)	24% (126)	.19 (116)	7% (92)	2.3 (9)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 3.94 #49
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 10.24 #71
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 11.30 #33
2026 Talent Rating: 822.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Arizona State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #60
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.94 UCF: 0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.9 UCF: -1.2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 0.24 #71
UCF's Offense Rating: 6.98 #88
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.30 #56
2026 Talent Rating: 616.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCF's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 26
UCF 23

Projected Total Points: 49

UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Arizona State	35	UCF	31	Arizona State -2.5	Arizona State	55.5	Over
2002	09/07	Arizona State	46	UCF	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	0	0	1 Overs
Arizona State	2	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#49) ASU at (#71) UCF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ASU	UCF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#49	#71
SP+SP+	#60	#76
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#46	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#32

Arizona State Injury Report

UCF Injury Report

Arizona State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	UCF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#99	#95
ExplosiveExp	#60	#5
PPAPPA	#91	#51
PowerPwr	#71	#56
SP+SP+	#59	#51
Pts POPPO	#103	#55
HavocHav	#99	#54

Arizona State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#116
Run ExplRExp	#63	#28
PPAExp	#72	#84
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#82	#101
Stuff RateStuff	#88	#112
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#101	#54
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#19
PPAExp	#68	#28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#87	#46
DB HavocDB	#105	#62

UCF on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	ASU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#107	#58
ExplosiveExp	#11	#53
PPAPPA	#88	#35
PowerPwr	#88	#33
SP+SP+	#98	#44
Pts POPPO	#94	#51
HavocHav	#106	#15

UCF Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#111	#63
Run ExplRExp	#1	#47
PPAExp	#68	#28
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#126	#36
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#34
TackleTak	-	NR

UCF Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#93	#51
Pass ExplPExl	#102	#39
PPAExp	#104	#32
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#107	#40
DB HavocDB	#92	#11

Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat UCF in 2024 (35-31)

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cutter Boley (Tr)	198	301	66%	2160	15	12	7.2
Kanyon Floyd	1	1	100%	19	0	0	19.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquis Gillis (Tr)	183	1145	7	6.3	75
David Avit (Tr)	125	687	8	5.5	34
Jason Brown Jr.	15	137	1	9.1	44
Kyson Brown	18	106	0	5.9	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Miller (Tr)	44	807	8	18.3	70
Reed Harris (Tr)	39	673	5	17.3	57
Derek Eusebio	22	341	2	15.5	68
Jalen Moss	16	273	1	17.1	51

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long (Tr)	148	5	2	0	5
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	0	3	7
Jessiah Mcgrew (Tr)	67	0	0	0	4
Adrian Wilson	57	1	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)	24	6	4	4	0
Jalen Thompson (Tr)	29	6	3	8	1
Owen Long (Tr)	148	5	2	0	5
Ramere Davis (Tr)	9	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Montana Warren	40	2	2	8
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	3	7
Adrian Wilson	57	1	1	6

UCF's OC Steve Cooper (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alonza Barnett	216	370	58%	2806	23	8	7.6
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)	164	263	62%	1742	9	6	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landen Chambers (Tr)	242	1273	10	5.3	53
Alonza Barnett	127	589	15	4.6	58
Duke Watson (Tr)	49	158	1	3.2	15
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)	52	114	5	2.2	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Derry	73	1101	13	15.1	75
Duane Thomas Jr.	53	528	0	10.0	41
Dylan Wade	43	523	5	12.2	83
Jonathan Bibbs (Tr)	26	383	3	14.7	68

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lewis Carter	95	4	2	1	1
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)	71	10	3	3	0
Demari Henderson	61	3	1	0	1
Rashad Henry (Tr)	51	3	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bruno Dall (Tr)	44	8	4	6	6
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)	71	10	3	3	0
Lewis Carter	95	4	2	1	1
R.J. Jackson	24	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Bellamy	27	0	0	0	8
Bruno Dall (Tr)	44	8	4	6	6
Antoine Jackson	39	1	0	0	4