Georgia State at UCF - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Georgia State Panthers at UCF Knights

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Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL

 
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: UCF -25  (SP+ UCF -23)
Projected Score: GAST: 15 - UCF: 40 (54)
UCF Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 401 miles
Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (24 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Georgia State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Georgia State at UCF+25

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
UCF's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-27.5
Sat 9/12 UCF at Pittsburgh+8
Sat 9/19 UCF vs Georgia State-25
Sat 9/26 UCF vs TCU+2.5
Sat 10/3 UCF at Houston+6
Sat 10/10 UCF at Oklahoma State-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 UCF vs BYU+10.5
Sat 10/31 UCF vs Baylor-2.5
Sat 11/7 UCF at Kansas+2
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Arizona State-0.5
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Iowa State+0.5
Sat 11/28 UCF at Colorado-3

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#86 (.14)41% (90)19.843% (73)2.89 (76)12440% (88)2543.39 (101)#126 (.27)46% (122)37.845% (103)47% (122)4.45 (130)67.91.40.5
UCF#88 (.14)39% (107)24.339% (111)2.61 (126)15840% (93)2213.49 (94)#51 (.12)44% (95)23.647% (116)40% (54)3.52 (55)57.21.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1219.81841%3.391.4203781242544.143%56%43%40%16%.14
UCF Defense1223.615.743.7%3.521.2 - - - - - 54%45%47%40%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1237.845.345.5%4.450.5 - - - - - 56%42%45%47%13%.27
UCF Offense1224.332.639.1%3.491.5183791582214.945%53%39%40%17%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1230:1019.639%44%8.667.91.40.54.81.5025.8
UCF1229:5518.234%56%7.657.21.51.25.62.1228.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1243% (120)43% (73)30.5123.84.19 (122).06 (95)2.89 (76)63% (119)9% (67)0.87 (112)
UCF Defense1254% (110)47% (116) - - - - .12 (84)3.06 (101)85% (132)10% (46)0.88 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1256% (128)45% (103) - - - - .18 (112)3.17 (114)77% (112)8% (120)0.97 (76)
UCF Offense1245% (106)39% (111)32.3158.24.919 (26).11 (68)2.61 (126)62% (123)11% (107)1.25 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1256% (16)40% (88)2439.6254.46.410.622 (42)11 (60).24 (72)1.6 (58)33% (106)32% (51).32 (61)7% (102)2 (75)
UCF Defense1245% (28)40% (54) - - - - - - 9 (55).16 (28)1.4 (19)31% (81)25% (16).11 (7)6% (62)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1242% (8)47% (122) - - - - - - 3 (123).43 (130)1.6 (109)28% (124)37% (134).48 (131)5% (102)2 (71)
UCF Offense1253% (30)40% (93)20.833.6220.86.610.612 (114)12 (34).18 (104)1.5 (102)33% (105)24% (126).19 (116)7% (92)2.3 (9)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -12.46  #122
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 6.01  #113
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 23.47  #125
2026 Talent Rating: 606.00  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Georgia State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Georgia State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.5  #133
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #116
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #134

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 538.15
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -12.46   UCF: 6.66

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -24.5   UCF: -1.2




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 6.66  #38
UCF's Offense Rating: 14.40  #62
UCF's Defense Rating: 9.88  #31
2026 Talent Rating: 706.00  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #53
UCF's 2026 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #98
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 40
Georgia State 15

Projected Total Points: 54
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF000 Overs
Georgia State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#122) GAST at (#38) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASTUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #122 #38
SP+SP+ #133 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #94 #74
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #53
Georgia State Notes
(2/25) QB Brown was PT starter LY, Pereira (FCS) add
(2/25) RB has 4 portals, Hart (FCS) by far most exp'd
(2/25) GSU going wrong way under HC McGee so far
(2/25) WR has a lot of bodies and even more questions
(2/25) OL has 3 starters, needs OTs. 7 portals will help
(2/25) Def F7 very little exp, DBs clear strength on paper
Georgia State Injury Report
UCF Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Hopeful w portals, yr 2 of Frost era #2
(2/9) QB Barnett (JMU) great add, dynamic 3 yr starter
(2/9) RB Duke Watson (Lou) also great add, inj LY
(2/9) RB L Chambers (FCS CA) an intriguing add
(2/9) WR avg at best, Derry (FCS Mon) could be weapon
(2/9) TE Dylan Wade helps route tree, depth?
(2/9) OL awful LY, 4 portals. Has 6 w good exp & prod.
(2/9) F7: 11 portals will fix a terrible Run Def this yr
(2/9) DBs look good too, decent duo of CBs, good S
(2/9) Love what UCF has added. Could really improve
UCF Injury Report
Georgia State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
GAST OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #90 #95
ExplosiveExp #66 #5
PPAPPA #86 #51
PowerPwr #113 #31
SP+SP+ #116 #51
Pts POPPO #101 #55
HavocHav #80 #54
Georgia State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
GAST OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #73 #116
Run ExplRExp #112 #28
PPAExp #95 #84
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #76 #101
Stuff RateStuff #96 #112
TackleTak - NR
Georgia State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
GAST OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #88 #54
Pass ExplPExl #58 #19
PPAExp #72 #28
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #46
DB HavocDB #102 #62
UCF on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUCF OffGAST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #107 #122
ExplosiveExp #11 #79
PPAPPA #88 #126
PowerPwr #62 #125
SP+SP+ #98 #134
Pts POPPO #94 #130
HavocHav #106 #121
UCF Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UCF OffGAST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #111 #103
Run ExplRExp #1 #76
PPAExp #68 #112
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #126 #114
Stuff RateStuff #128 #127
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUCF OffGAST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #93 #122
Pass ExplPExl #102 #109
PPAExp #104 #130
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #107 #120
DB HavocDB #92 #102
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
GAST's OC Hue Jackson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ayden Pereira (Tr)15931051%1846976.0
Cameran Brown11918465%12591316.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayden Pereira (Tr)19385674.432
Savion Hart (Tr)175816104.769
Cameran Brown6128444.722
Keith Adams Jr. (Tr)147115.112
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Grant Hollier21288413.752
Savion Hart (Tr)15225215.073
DJ Riles16176111.032
DJ Murray Jr.139917.652

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Travis Pearson (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson415230
Deuce Walker332001
Coby Owens261000
Kelan Butler241001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Richard Kramer132200
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson415230
Alex Mullings81100
Tyson McCrary221102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrick Maxey III170004
Tyson McCrary221102
Deuce Walker332001

UCF's OC Steve Cooper (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21637058%28062387.6
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)16426362%1742966.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landen Chambers (Tr)2421273105.353
Alonza Barnett127589154.658
Duke Watson (Tr)4915813.215
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)5211452.242
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Derry (Tr)7311011315.175
Duane Thomas Jr.53528010.041
Dylan Wade43523512.283
Jonathan Bibbs (Tr)26383314.768

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lewis Carter954211
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)7110330
Demari Henderson613101
Rashad Henry (Tr)513010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bruno Dall (Tr)448466
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)7110330
Lewis Carter954211
R.J. Jackson243202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy270008
Bruno Dall (Tr)448466
DJ Bell170004