UCF at Colorado - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Folsom Field - Boulder, CO

Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (24 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO is playing their 7th straight game
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UCF -3 (SP+ UCF -7)
Projected Score: UCF: 26 - COLO: 23 (49)
UCF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UCF Travel: 1576 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Buffaloes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (16 - 21)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCF Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCF's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	UCF vs Bethune-Cookman	-21
Sat 9/12	UCF at Pittsburgh	+13
Sat 9/19	UCF vs Georgia State	-22
Sat 9/26	UCF vs TCU	+8
Sat 10/3	UCF at Houston	+11.5
Sat 10/10	UCF at Oklahoma State	-3.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	UCF vs BYU	+15
Sat 10/31	UCF vs Baylor	+2
Sat 11/7	UCF at Kansas	+6
Sat 11/14	UCF vs Arizona State	+3.5
Sat 11/21	UCF vs Iowa State	+4
Sat 11/28	UCF at Colorado	-3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Colorado's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Colorado at Georgia Tech	+17
Sat 9/12	Colorado vs Weber State	-15.5
Sat 9/19	Colorado at Northwestern	+14
Sat 9/26	Colorado at Baylor	+12.5
Sat 10/3	Colorado vs Texas Tech	+32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Colorado vs Utah	+22
Sat 10/24	Colorado at Oklahoma State	+2
Sat 10/31	Colorado vs Kansas State	+11.5
Sat 11/7	Colorado at Arizona State	+14
Sat 11/14	Colorado vs Houston	+12
Sat 11/21	Colorado at Cincinnati	+14
Sat 11/28	Colorado vs UCF	+3

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF	#88 (.14)	39% (107)	24.3	39% (111)	2.61 (126)	158	40% (93)	221	3.49 (94)	#51 (.12)	44% (95)	23.6	47% (116)	40% (54)	3.52 (55)	57.2	1.5	1.2
COLO	#99 (.12)	35% (131)	20.9	35% (131)	2.68 (116)	127	35% (122)	203	3.48 (95)	#106 (.21)	43% (87)	30.5	44% (88)	43% (78)	4.01 (102)	49.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Offense	12	24.3	12.8	39.1%	3.49	1.5	18	379	158	221	4.9	45%	53%	39%	40%	17%	.14
COLO Defense	12	30.5	27	43%	4.01	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	44%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Defense	12	23.6	34.6	43.7%	3.52	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	40%	16%	.12
COLO Offense	12	20.9	23.9	35.2%	3.48	1.4	17	329	127	203	3.6	49%	50%	35%	35%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCF	12	29:55	18.2	34%	56%	7.6	57.2	1.5	1.2	5.6	2.1	2	28.4
Colorado	12	28:49	17.3	38%	33%	5.7	49.9	1.4	1.3	5	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Offense	12	45% (106)	39% (111)	32.3	158.2	4.9	19 (26)	.11 (68)	2.61 (126)	62% (123)	11% (107)	1.25 (1)
COLO Defense	12	60% (133)	44% (88)	-	-	-	-	.11 (72)	2.97 (81)	67% (37)	9% (80)	1.02 (97)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Defense	12	54% (110)	47% (116)	-	-	-	-	.12 (84)	3.06 (101)	85% (132)	10% (46)	0.88 (28)
COLO Offense	12	49% (75)	35% (131)	35.3	126.7	3.6	15 (70)	.05 (103)	2.68 (116)	67% (97)	14% (133)	1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Offense	12	53% (30)	40% (93)	20.8	33.6	220.8	6.6	10.6	12 (114)	12 (34)	.18 (104)	1.5 (102)	33% (105)	24% (126)	.19 (116)	7% (92)	2.3 (9)
COLO Defense	12	39% (4)	43% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.41 (127)	1.8 (132)	31% (77)	29% (70)	.32 (77)	6% (73)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Defense	12	45% (28)	40% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.16 (28)	1.4 (19)	31% (81)	25% (16)	.11 (7)	6% (62)	1.7 (5)
COLO Offense	12	50% (59)	35% (122)	17.5	29.7	202.8	6.8	11.6	17 (50)	11 (88)	.22 (84)	1.8 (9)	38% (136)	30% (70)	.32 (62)	6% (72)	2.1 (27)

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: -3.32 #71
UCF's Offense Rating: 6.98 #88
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.30 #56
2026 Talent Rating: 616.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #32
UCF's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCF's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: -3.32 Colorado: -5.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: -1.2 Colorado: -8.3

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -5.315 #83
Colorado's Offense Rating: 6.87 #89
Colorado's Defense Rating: 19.20 #80
2026 Talent Rating: 694.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Colorado's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #96
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 26
Colorado 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	UCF	21	Colorado	48	UCF -12.5	Colorado	60.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	1	1	1 Overs
UCF	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#71) UCF at (#83) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCF	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#71	#83
SP+SP+	#76	#96
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#84	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	#32	#25

UCF Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

UCF on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#107	#87
ExplosiveExp	#11	#111
PPAPPA	#88	#106
PowerPwr	#88	#80
SP+SP+	#98	#88
Pts POPPO	#94	#102
HavocHav	#106	#80

UCF Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#111	#88
Run ExplRExp	#1	#97
PPAExp	#68	#72
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#126	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#57
TackleTak	-	NR

UCF Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#93	#78
Pass ExplPExl	#102	#132
PPAExp	#104	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#107	#80
DB HavocDB	#92	#73

Colorado on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	UCF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#131	#95
ExplosiveExp	#4	#5
PPAPPA	#99	#51
PowerPwr	#89	#56
SP+SP+	#103	#51
Pts POPPO	#95	#55
HavocHav	#129	#54

Colorado Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#116
Run ExplRExp	#27	#28
PPAExp	#103	#84
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#116	#101
Stuff RateStuff	#113	#112
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#54
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#19
PPAExp	#84	#28
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#133	#46
DB HavocDB	#72	#62

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat UCF in 2024 (48-21)

UCF's OC Steve Cooper (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alonza Barnett	216	370	58%	2806	23	8	7.6
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)	164	263	62%	1742	9	6	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landen Chambers (Tr)	242	1273	10	5.3	53
Alonza Barnett	127	589	15	4.6	58
Duke Watson (Tr)	49	158	1	3.2	15
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)	52	114	5	2.2	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Derry	73	1101	13	15.1	75
Duane Thomas Jr.	53	528	0	10.0	41
Dylan Wade	43	523	5	12.2	83
Jonathan Bibbs (Tr)	26	383	3	14.7	68

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lewis Carter	95	4	2	1	1
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)	71	10	3	3	0
Demari Henderson	61	3	1	0	1
Rashad Henry (Tr)	51	3	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bruno Dall (Tr)	44	8	4	6	6
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)	71	10	3	3	0
Lewis Carter	95	4	2	1	1
R.J. Jackson	24	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Bellamy	27	0	0	0	8
Bruno Dall (Tr)	44	8	4	6	6
Antoine Jackson	39	1	0	0	4

COLO's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Julian Lewis	52	94	55%	589	4	0	6.3
Colton Allen	1	1	100%	4	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damian Henderson II (Tr)	91	565	5	6.2	85
Jaquail Smith (Tr)	76	511	5	6.7	45
Micah Welch	96	384	4	4.0	44
Dekalon Taylor	19	83	0	4.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)	88	1297	10	14.7	72
Kamryn Perry	43	976	6	22.7	66
Ernest Campbell (Tr)	37	755	8	20.4	75
DeAndre Moore Jr. (Tr)	38	532	4	14.0	46

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	0	7
Liona Lefau (Tr)	68	2	0	0	3
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	0	5	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Christensen (Tr)	41	11	5	10	2
Santana Hopper (Tr)	25	9	5	4	0
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)	34	7	4	7	1
Dylan Manuel (Tr)	37	7	3	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Eaglin (Tr)	35	0	0	8
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	7
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	5	6