Colorado at Oklahoma State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK (Big 12)

Buffaloes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (16 - 21)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#76)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)

Our Line: Oklahoma State -1 (SP+ COLO -7)
Projected Score: COLO: 24 - OKST: 25 (49)
OKST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
COLO Travel: 520 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#81)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Colorado at Georgia Tech	+12.5
Sat 9/12	Colorado vs Weber State	-22.5
Sat 9/19	Colorado at Northwestern	+7
Sat 9/26	Colorado at Baylor	+8
Sat 10/3	Colorado vs Texas Tech	+26
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Colorado vs Utah	+16.5
Sat 10/24	Colorado at Oklahoma State	+1
Sat 10/31	Colorado vs Kansas State	+6.5
Sat 11/7	Colorado at Arizona State	+10
Sat 11/14	Colorado vs Houston	+6.5
Sat 11/21	Colorado at Cincinnati	+6.5
Sat 11/28	Colorado vs UCF	+3

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oklahoma State at Tulsa	+1.5
Sat 9/12	Oklahoma State vs Oregon	+27
Sat 9/19	Oklahoma State vs Murray State	-21
Sat 9/26	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+5.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Oklahoma State vs UCF	+4
Sat 10/17	Oklahoma State at Houston	+13
Sat 10/24	Oklahoma State vs Colorado	-1
Sat 10/31	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+12.5
Sat 11/7	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+13
Sat 11/14	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	+27.5
Sat 11/21	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	+11.5
Sat 11/28	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+4

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#99 (.12)	35% (131)	20.9	35% (131)	2.68 (116)	127	35% (122)	203	3.48 (95)	#106 (.21)	43% (87)	30.5	44% (88)	43% (78)	4.01 (102)	49.9	1.4	1.3
OKST	#133 (.01)	35% (129)	14.2	36% (128)	2.59 (127)	118	35% (126)	174	2.96 (125)	#130 (.28)	45% (109)	33.3	43% (76)	48% (130)	4 (100)	47.3	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	20.9	16.8	35.2%	3.48	1.4	17	329	127	203	3.6	49%	50%	35%	35%	20%	.12
OKST Defense	12	33.3	27.6	44.8%	4	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	43%	48%	15%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	30.5	35.4	43%	4.01	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	44%	43%	15%	.21
OKST Offense	12	14.2	17	35.4%	2.96	1.4	16	293	118	174	3.5	47%	52%	36%	35%	19%	.01

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	28:49	17.3	38%	33%	5.7	49.9	1.4	1.3	5	1.2	0	28.7
Oklahoma State	12	28:52	15.6	35%	40%	5.3	47.3	1.4	1.1	5.6	1.8	1	25.8

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	49% (75)	35% (131)	35.3	126.7	3.6	15 (70)	.05 (103)	2.68 (116)	67% (97)	14% (133)	1.08 (27)
OKST Defense	12	52% (102)	43% (76)	-	-	-	-	.16 (99)	2.98 (86)	67% (39)	10% (46)	1.07 (118)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	60% (133)	44% (88)	-	-	-	-	.11 (72)	2.97 (81)	67% (37)	9% (80)	1.02 (97)
OKST Offense	12	47% (94)	36% (128)	33.6	118.4	3.5	10 (107)	-.04 (134)	2.59 (127)	69% (87)	11% (116)	0.89 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	50% (59)	35% (122)	17.5	29.7	202.8	6.8	11.6	17 (50)	11 (88)	.22 (84)	1.8 (9)	38% (136)	30% (70)	.32 (62)	6% (72)	2.1 (27)
OKST Defense	12	46% (40)	48% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.44 (133)	1.7 (112)	30% (103)	31% (89)	.37 (106)	5% (118)	2 (56)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	39% (4)	43% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.41 (127)	1.8 (132)	31% (77)	29% (70)	.32 (77)	6% (73)	2.2 (116)
OKST Offense	12	52% (43)	35% (126)	17.5	30.4	174.1	5.7	10	7 (128)	10 (60)	.07 (128)	1.4 (126)	36% (133)	23% (131)	.15 (122)	8% (121)	2 (80)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 5.88 #54
Colorado's Offense Rating: 14.28 #63
Colorado's Defense Rating: 13.40 #50
2026 Talent Rating: 738.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 13% #30
Colorado's 2026 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Colorado's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #96
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 5.88 Oklahoma State: -0.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -8.3 Oklahoma State: -15.1

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -0.08 #37
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 17.39 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 12.45 #46
2026 Talent Rating: 814.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #47
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 25
Colorado 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	Colorado	52	Oklahoma State	0	Colorado -14.5	Colorado	66.5	Under
2016	12/29	Colorado	8	Oklahoma State	38	Colorado -2	Oklahoma State	64.0	Under
2009	11/19	Oklahoma State	31	Colorado	28
2008	11/15	Colorado	17	Oklahoma State	30
2005	10/01	Oklahoma State	0	Colorado	34
2004	10/09	Colorado	14	Oklahoma State	42
2001	10/27	Oklahoma State	19	Colorado	22
2000	10/27	Colorado	37	Oklahoma State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	4	1	0 Overs
Colorado	4	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#54) COLO at (#37) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	OKST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#54	#37
SP+SP+	#96	#121
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#70	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	#30	#47

Colorado Notes(2/14) Vibes: Shaky, '25 awful, Prime health, Seaton left
(2/25) DC left for NFL, Marve (VT DC) hired
(2/13) DTs Christensen & Hopper both v high PFF grades
(2/7) Prime dealing with real health issues
(2/7) QB Julian Lewis is back after a good Fr season
(2/7) 3 portal RBs could help, both Sac St backs?
(2/7) WR adds are really good/productive. Better unit
(2/7) OL 8 portals, 6 w starting exp. Could be decent?
(2/7) Def added 27 portals 11 DL, 5 LB, 11 DBs
(2/7) DL 6 G5 starters added, LBs actually look decent
(2/7) CBs could be good w all the portal adds. S is ?
(2/7) Def could really improve. Sneaky good portals
Colorado Injury Report

Oklahoma State Notes(2/14) Vibes: Excited for Morris Off, program reset
(2/26) WR Young (NT) a star, 5 of 7 portals w 400+ yds.
(2/4) New staff/team w Morris. 54 portals in/66 out
(2/4) QB Mestemaker huge sign/upgrade. Jordan depth
(2/4) RB Hawkins (NT) & Page (Tar) only ones w exp
(2/4) OL 10 portals, can bulid a decent OL w these guys
(2/4) DL 10 portals, 7 have good exp. Good+ unit
(2/4) LB 5 portals, could be a really good unit
(2/4) DB 9 portals, 3 starters from NT (good PDef LY)
(2/4) Requires proof, Pokes could rise fast w staff/roster
Oklahoma State Injury Report

Colorado on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	OKST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#131	#109
ExplosiveExp	#4	#124
PPAPPA	#99	#130
PowerPwr	#63	#46
SP+SP+	#103	#100
Pts POPPO	#95	#100
HavocHav	#129	#86

Colorado Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#76
Run ExplRExp	#27	#118
PPAExp	#103	#99
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#116	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#113	#46
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#130
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#112
PPAExp	#84	#133
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#133	#46
DB HavocDB	#72	#118

Oklahoma State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#129	#87
ExplosiveExp	#116	#111
PPAPPA	#133	#106
PowerPwr	#31	#50
SP+SP+	#131	#88
Pts POPPO	#125	#102
HavocHav	#125	#80

Oklahoma State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#128	#88
Run ExplRExp	#100	#97
PPAExp	#134	#72
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#127	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#89	#57
TackleTak	-	NR

Oklahoma State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#126	#78
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#132
PPAExp	#128	#127
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#116	#80
DB HavocDB	#121	#73

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (52-0)

COLO's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Julian Lewis	52	94	55%	589	4	0	6.3
Dominiq Ponder	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damian Henderson II (Tr)	91	565	5	6.2	85
Jaquail Smith (Tr)	76	511	5	6.7	45
Micah Welch	96	384	4	4.0	44
Dekalon Taylor	19	83	0	4.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)	88	1297	10	14.7	72
Kamryn Perry	43	976	6	22.7	66
Ernest Campbell (Tr)	37	755	8	20.4	75
DeAndre Moore Jr. (Tr)	38	532	4	14.0	46

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Marve (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	0	7
Liona Lefau (Tr)	68	2	0	0	3
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	0	5	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Christensen (Tr)	41	11	5	10	2
Santana Hopper (Tr)	25	9	5	4	0
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)	34	7	4	7	1
Dylan Manuel (Tr)	37	7	3	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Eaglin (Tr)	35	0	0	8
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	7
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	5	6

OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)	319	465	69%	4369	34	9	9.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)	63	110	57%	595	3	2	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)	231	1424	25	6.2	51
Tre Page III (Tr)	112	839	7	7.5	N/A
Chris Barnes (Tr)	13	143	0	11.0	78
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)	24	120	0	5.0	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)	70	1264	10	18.1	84
Miles Coleman (Tr)	47	550	2	11.7	59
Chris Barnes (Tr)	39	547	3	14.0	70
Israel Polk (Tr)	33	525	8	15.9	75

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)	113	9	2	6	0
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)	84	3	0	1	1
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)	54	5	1	2	3
Evan Jackson (Tr)	44	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)	31	10	5	1	0
Malik Charles	28	3	3	1	0
Christian Bodnar (Tr)	44	2	2	1	2
DJ Jackson Jr. (Tr)	22	5	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurion Horn (Tr)	4	0	0	0	3
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)	54	5	1	2	3
Evan Jackson (Tr)	44	2	1	0	2