Oklahoma State at Tulsa - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
at H. A. Chapman Stadium - Tulsa, OK

 
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#131)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Tulsa -3.5  (SP+ TLSA -5)
Projected Score: OKST: 24 - TLSA: 27 (51)
TLSA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OKST Travel: 63 miles
Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oklahoma State at Tulsa+3.5
Sat 9/12 Oklahoma State vs Oregon+31.5
Sat 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Murray State-15.5
Sat 9/26 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oklahoma State vs UCF+3.5
Sat 10/17 Oklahoma State at Houston+17.5
Sat 10/24 Oklahoma State vs Colorado-2
Sat 10/31 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+15
Sat 11/7 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+17
Sat 11/14 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+32.5
Sat 11/21 Oklahoma State at Arizona State+14.5
Sat 11/28 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Tulsa's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Tulsa at Arkansas+13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#133 (.01)35% (129)14.236% (128)2.59 (127)11835% (126)1742.96 (125)#130 (.28)45% (109)33.343% (76)48% (130)4 (100)47.31.41.1
TLSA#105 (.11)40% (97)23.242% (88)2.87 (79)17638% (105)2233.34 (106)#60 (.15)43% (81)28.942% (65)44% (100)3.78 (77)38.21.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1214.210.235.4%2.961.4162931181743.547%52%36%35%19%.01
TLSA Defense1228.927.242.5%3.780.9 - - - - - 56%43%42%44%13%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1233.341.444.8%41.1 - - - - - 52%46%43%48%15%.28
TLSA Offense1223.227.340.4%3.341.6223991762234.451%47%42%38%17%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1228:5215.635%40%5.347.31.41.15.61.8125.8
Tulsa1228:3322.238%57%5.138.21.60.95.31.9027.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1247% (94)36% (128)33.6118.43.510 (107)-.04 (134)2.59 (127)69% (87)11% (116)0.89 (100)
TLSA Defense1256% (127)42% (65) - - - - .06 (47)2.92 (76)67% (36)9% (99)0.94 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1252% (102)43% (76) - - - - .16 (99)2.98 (86)67% (39)10% (46)1.07 (118)
TLSA Offense1251% (56)42% (88)40.41764.418 (107).05 (101)2.87 (79)60% (127)11% (111)1.03 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1252% (43)35% (126)17.530.4174.15.7107 (128)10 (60).07 (128)1.4 (126)36% (133)23% (131).15 (122)8% (121)2 (80)
TLSA Defense1243% (14)44% (100) - - - - - - 7 (55).28 (84)1.5 (52)29% (115)31% (92).28 (65)4% (131)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1246% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 6 (100).44 (133)1.7 (112)30% (103)31% (89).37 (106)5% (118)2 (56)
TLSA Offense1247% (82)38% (105)20.134.1222.56.511.115 (86)10 (108).15 (114)1.5 (104)32% (80)28% (89).26 (87)6% (78)1.9 (106)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -1.35  #65
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.19  #60
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.54  #75
2026 Talent Rating: 806.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2  #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -1.35   Tulsa: -4.515

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -15.1   Tulsa: -10.0




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -4.515  #73
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 7.48  #85
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 16.51  #64
2026 Talent Rating: 606.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Tulsa's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Tulsa's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0  #104
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 534.71
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 27
Oklahoma State 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/19Oklahoma State12Tulsa19Oklahoma State -10.5Tulsa54.5Under
202409/14Tulsa10Oklahoma State45Oklahoma State -17.5Oklahoma State62.5Under
202109/11Oklahoma State28Tulsa23Oklahoma State -11.5Tulsa51.0Push
202009/19Oklahoma State16Tulsa7Oklahoma State -23.5Tulsa67.0Under
201909/14Tulsa21Oklahoma State40Oklahoma State -14Oklahoma State64.0Under
201708/31Oklahoma State59Tulsa24Oklahoma State -19.5Oklahoma State71.5Over
201109/17Tulsa33Oklahoma State59
201009/18Oklahoma State65Tulsa28
200409/11Oklahoma State38Tulsa21
200009/08Tulsa26Oklahoma State36
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa131 Overs
Oklahoma State934 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 51 - 51 - 30 - 2
Road Teams5 - 55 - 12 - 03 - 1

(#65) OKST at (#73) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #73
SP+SP+ #121 #104
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #54 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #101
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #129 #81
ExplosiveExp #116 #44
PPAPPA #133 #60
PowerPwr #60 #64
SP+SP+ #131 #107
Pts POPPO #125 #77
HavocHav #125 #121
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #65
Run ExplRExp #100 #58
PPAExp #134 #47
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #127 #76
Stuff RateStuff #89 #76
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #100
Pass ExplPExl #126 #52
PPAExp #128 #84
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #99
DB HavocDB #121 #131
Tulsa on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatTLSA OffOKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #97 #109
ExplosiveExp #59 #124
PPAPPA #105 #130
PowerPwr #85 #75
SP+SP+ #105 #100
Pts POPPO #106 #100
HavocHav #104 #86
Tulsa Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffOKST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #88 #76
Run ExplRExp #47 #118
PPAExp #101 #99
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #79 #86
Stuff RateStuff #125 #46
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatTLSA OffOKST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #130
Pass ExplPExl #104 #112
PPAExp #114 #133
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #111 #46
DB HavocDB #78 #118
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat Oklahoma State last year (19-12)
Oklahoma State beat Tulsa in 2024 (45-10)

  
OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)31946569%43693499.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)2311424256.251
Chris Barnes (Tr)13143011.078
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)2412005.024
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)578951.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)7012641018.184
Miles Coleman (Tr)47550211.759
Chris Barnes (Tr)39547314.070
Israel Polk (Tr)33525815.975

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)1139260
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Malik Charles283310
Billy Walton III (Tr)62200
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Maurion Horn (Tr)40003
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212

TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes18631659%21591266.8
Dexter Williams II (Tr)6712554%787636.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Viron Ellison Jr.11746243.920
Baylor Hayes9518832.024
Dexter Williams II (Tr)4115333.716
Damari Alston (Tr)3212814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
David Wells Jr. (Tr)44466410.656
Grayson Tempest22272112.451
Josh Smith9201122.343
Micah Tease12196116.334

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
William Alexander661010
Elijah Green592007
Devin Robinson506002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis (Tr)256320
Dax Collins101100
Tai Newhouse392110
Zach Williams731007
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
Elijah Green592007
Caldra Williford (Tr)161004