Oregon at Oklahoma State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK

Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (48 - 9)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#6)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Oregon -31.5 (SP+ ORE -41)
Projected Score: ORE: 40 - OKST: 9 (49)
ORE Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
ORE Travel: 1472 miles, 2 hrs behind

Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#131)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Oregon at Oklahoma State	-31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oklahoma State at Tulsa	+3.5
Sat 9/12	Oklahoma State vs Oregon	+31.5
Sat 9/19	Oklahoma State vs Murray State	-15.5
Sat 9/26	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+8.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Oklahoma State vs UCF	+3.5
Sat 10/17	Oklahoma State at Houston	+17.5
Sat 10/24	Oklahoma State vs Colorado	-2
Sat 10/31	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+15
Sat 11/7	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+17
Sat 11/14	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	+32.5
Sat 11/21	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	+14.5
Sat 11/28	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+7

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	#13 (.3)	48% (17)	36.9	48% (18)	3.08 (45)	199	49% (13)	254	4.1 (36)	#13 (.05)	36% (12)	17.9	38% (24)	36% (14)	3.9 (92)	49.7	1	1.5
OKST	#133 (.01)	35% (129)	14.2	36% (128)	2.59 (127)	118	35% (126)	174	2.96 (125)	#130 (.28)	45% (109)	33.3	43% (76)	48% (130)	4 (100)	47.3	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	15	36.9	32.8	47.8%	4.1	1	22	452	199	254	5.4	52%	46%	48%	49%	11%	.3
OKST Defense	12	33.3	27.6	44.8%	4	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	43%	48%	15%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	15	17.9	15.6	36.4%	3.9	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	48%	38%	36%	18%	.05
OKST Offense	12	14.2	17	35.4%	2.96	1.4	16	293	118	174	3.5	47%	52%	36%	35%	19%	.01

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	15	30:48	21.9	47%	56%	5.1	49.7	1	1.5	5	2	5	31.1
Oklahoma State	12	28:52	15.6	35%	40%	5.3	47.3	1.4	1.1	5.6	1.8	1	25.8

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	15	52% (46)	48% (18)	36.7	198.6	5.4	35 (16)	.23 (16)	3.08 (45)	71% (73)	8% (26)	1.04 (42)
OKST Defense	12	52% (102)	43% (76)	-	-	-	-	.16 (99)	2.98 (86)	67% (39)	10% (46)	1.07 (118)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	15	49% (57)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	.05 (39)	2.72 (35)	71% (69)	10% (68)	0.98 (79)
OKST Offense	12	47% (94)	36% (128)	33.6	118.4	3.5	10 (107)	-.04 (134)	2.59 (127)	69% (87)	11% (116)	0.89 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	15	46% (93)	49% (13)	20.9	29.1	253.6	8.7	12.2	31 (6)	10 (34)	.42 (16)	1.6 (38)	26% (12)	31% (55)	.39 (36)	3% (6)	2.1 (61)
OKST Defense	12	46% (40)	48% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.44 (133)	1.7 (112)	30% (103)	31% (89)	.37 (106)	5% (118)	2 (56)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	15	48% (69)	36% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (22)	.15 (26)	1.6 (90)	36% (14)	28% (52)	.21 (30)	9% (6)	2 (61)
OKST Offense	12	52% (43)	35% (126)	17.5	30.4	174.1	5.7	10	7 (128)	10 (60)	.07 (128)	1.4 (126)	36% (133)	23% (131)	.15 (122)	8% (121)	2 (80)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 25.40 #9
Oregon's Offense Rating: 23.41 #6
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2026 Talent Rating: 1022.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #5
Oregon's 2026 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9 #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7 #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.40 Oklahoma State: -5.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.9 Oklahoma State: -15.1

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -5.725 #65
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.19 #60
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.54 #75
2026 Talent Rating: 806.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 40
Oklahoma State 9

Projected Total Points: 49

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Oregon	69	Oklahoma State	3	Oregon -28.5	Oregon	55.5	Over
2008	12/30	Oregon	42	Oklahoma State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	0	0	1 Overs
Oregon	2	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#9) ORE at (#65) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORE	OKST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#9	#65
SP+SP+	#4	#121
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#9	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	#5	#65

Oregon Injury Report

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Oregon on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	OKST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#17	#109
ExplosiveExp	#35	#124
PPAPPA	#13	#130
PowerPwr	#6	#75
SP+SP+	#10	#100
Pts POPPO	#36	#100
HavocHav	#4	#86

Oregon Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#18	#76
Run ExplRExp	#42	#118
PPAExp	#16	#99
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#45	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#31	#46
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#13	#130
Pass ExplPExl	#38	#112
PPAExp	#16	#133
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#26	#46
DB HavocDB	#6	#118

Oklahoma State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	ORE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#129	#12
ExplosiveExp	#116	#83
PPAPPA	#133	#13
PowerPwr	#60	#12
SP+SP+	#131	#5
Pts POPPO	#125	#92
HavocHav	#125	#21

Oklahoma State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#128	#24
Run ExplRExp	#100	#79
PPAExp	#134	#39
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#127	#35
Stuff RateStuff	#89	#100
TackleTak	-	NR

Oklahoma State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#126	#14
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#90
PPAExp	#128	#26
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#116	#68
DB HavocDB	#121	#6

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Oklahoma State last year (69-3)

ORE's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dante Moore	296	412	72%	3565	30	10	8.7
Dylan Raiola (Tr)	181	250	72%	2000	18	6	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordon Davison	112	667	15	6.0	67
Dierre Hill Jr.	75	656	5	8.7	71
Dante Moore	73	156	2	2.1	49
Da'Jaun Riggs	17	86	0	5.1	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Iverson Hooks (Tr)	72	927	7	12.9	51
Jeremiah McClellan	38	557	3	14.7	51
Jamari Johnson	32	510	3	15.9	56
Dakorien Moore	34	497	3	14.6	65

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Chris Hampton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Koi Perich (Tr)	82	3	1	0	2
Aaron Flowers	69	1	0	1	3
Teitum Tuioti	68	16	10	7	5
Jerry Mixon	57	4	1	4	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Teitum Tuioti	68	16	10	7	5
Matayo Uiagalelei	34	10	6	7	3
Nasir Wyatt	11	4	3	1	0
A'Mauri Washington	33	5	2	5	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jerry Mixon	57	4	1	4	7
Brandon Finney Jr.	42	3	1	0	7
A'Mauri Washington	33	5	2	5	7

OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)	319	465	69%	4369	34	9	9.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)	63	110	57%	595	3	2	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)	231	1424	25	6.2	51
Chris Barnes (Tr)	13	143	0	11.0	78
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)	24	120	0	5.0	24
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)	57	89	5	1.6	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)	70	1264	10	18.1	84
Miles Coleman (Tr)	47	550	2	11.7	59
Chris Barnes (Tr)	39	547	3	14.0	70
Israel Polk (Tr)	33	525	8	15.9	75

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)	113	9	2	6	0
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)	84	3	0	1	1
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)	54	5	1	2	3
Christian Bodnar (Tr)	44	2	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)	31	10	5	1	0
Malik Charles	28	3	3	1	0
Billy Walton III (Tr)	6	2	2	0	0
Christian Bodnar (Tr)	44	2	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)	54	5	1	2	3
Maurion Horn (Tr)	4	0	0	0	3
Christian Bodnar (Tr)	44	2	2	1	2