Arizona State at Arizona - 2026 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

 
Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ is playing their 6th straight game
ASU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Arizona -7  (SP+ ARIZ -8)

Projected Score: ASU: 22 - ARIZ: 29 (51)
ARIZ Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 101 miles
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arizona State vs Morgan State-27.5
Sat 9/12 Arizona State at Texas A&M+22
Sat 9/19 Arizona State vs Kansas-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Arizona State vs Baylor-4.5
Sat 10/10 Arizona State vs Hawai'i-12
Sat 10/17 Arizona State at Texas Tech+25.5
Sat 10/24 Arizona State vs Kansas State-0
Sat 10/31 Arizona State at BYU+14
Sat 11/7 Arizona State vs Colorado-14
Sat 11/14 Arizona State at UCF-3.5
Sat 11/21 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State-14.5
Sat 11/28 Arizona State at Arizona+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Arizona's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-32
Sat 9/12 Arizona at BYU+9.5
Sat 9/19 Arizona vs Northern Illinois-28
Sat 9/26 Arizona at Washington State-6.5
Sat 10/3 Arizona vs Cincinnati-7.5
Sat 10/10 Arizona at West Virginia-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Arizona vs Iowa State-6.5
Sat 10/31 Arizona at Texas Tech+21
Sat 11/7 Arizona vs TCU-2.5
Sat 11/14 Arizona vs Utah+6
Sat 11/21 Arizona at Kansas State+0.5
Sat 11/28 Arizona vs Arizona State-7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#91 (.14)40% (99)25.843% (75)2.86 (82)19339% (101)2243.37 (103)#35 (.1)41% (58)24.542% (63)40% (51)3.46 (51)57.81.61.2
ARIZ#58 (.19)43% (63)31.542% (87)3.1 (41)15343% (52)2553.61 (79)#37 (.1)39% (33)19.345% (97)34% (10)3.38 (44)52.212.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1325.824.640.2%3.371.6214171932245.151%47%43%39%17%.14
ARIZ Defense1319.315.639%3.382.4 - - - - - 51%46%45%34%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1324.525.240.8%3.461.2 - - - - - 45%54%42%40%19%.1
ARIZ Offense1331.534.942.6%3.611224081532554.346%54%42%43%15%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1331:3321.133%58%7.257.81.61.26.62.6027.7
Arizona1330:5722.341%63%5.652.212.46.21.6233.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1351% (54)43% (75)38192.95.118 (78).11 (72)2.86 (82)63% (118)10% (87)0.97 (63)
ARIZ Defense1351% (85)45% (97) - - - - .11 (73)2.85 (60)72% (79)11% (34)0.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1345% (16)42% (63) - - - - .03 (28)2.72 (36)71% (63)11% (40)0.92 (47)
ARIZ Offense1346% (101)42% (87)35.4152.74.320 (88).14 (53)3.1 (41)74% (54)9% (53)1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1347% (89)39% (101)19.333.1223.76.811.620 (86)9 (20).25 (68)1.6 (46)32% (79)28% (88).26 (86)7% (105)1.9 (99)
ARIZ Defense1346% (35)34% (10) - - - - - - 22 (12).17 (35)1.6 (101)32% (52)26% (21).22 (39)9% (2)2.1 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1354% (123)40% (51) - - - - - - 8 (55).17 (32)1.5 (39)32% (58)28% (56).2 (28)8% (11)2.1 (98)
ARIZ Offense1354% (28)43% (52)21.634.4255.27.411.829 (14)8 (88).24 (73)1.5 (93)32% (70)31% (59).38 (40)6% (63)2.1 (51)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 3.94  #49
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 10.24  #71
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 11.30  #33
2026 Talent Rating: 822.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Arizona State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #60
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.94   Arizona: 10.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.9   Arizona: 12.0




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.885  #43
Arizona's Offense Rating: 14.59  #40
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.82  #54
2026 Talent Rating: 778.00  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Arizona's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0  #28
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #29
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 29
Arizona State 22


Projected Total Points: 51
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Arizona State7Arizona23Arizona -2.0Arizona48.5Under
202411/30Arizona7Arizona State49Arizona State -7.5Arizona State52.5Over
202311/25Arizona State23Arizona59Arizona -12.5Arizona48.5Over
202211/25Arizona38Arizona State35Arizona -4Arizona State66.5Over
202111/27Arizona State38Arizona15Arizona State -20Arizona State52.5Over
202012/11Arizona7Arizona State70Arizona State -9Arizona State57.0Over
201911/30Arizona State24Arizona14Arizona State -13.5Arizona60.5Under
201811/24Arizona40Arizona State41Arizona State -1.5Arizona66.0Over
201711/25Arizona State42Arizona30Arizona -2Arizona State76.0Under
201611/25Arizona56Arizona State35Arizona State -6Arizona65.0Over
201511/21Arizona State52Arizona37Arizona State -7Arizona State66.5Over
201411/28Arizona42Arizona State35Arizona -2.5Arizona0
201311/30Arizona State58Arizona21Arizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201211/23Arizona34Arizona State41
201111/19Arizona State27Arizona31
201012/02Arizona29Arizona State30
200911/28Arizona State17Arizona20
200812/06Arizona31Arizona State10
200712/01Arizona State20Arizona17
200611/25Arizona14Arizona State28
200511/25Arizona State23Arizona20
200411/26Arizona34Arizona State27
200311/28Arizona State28Arizona7
200111/23Arizona State21Arizona34
200011/23Arizona17Arizona State30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona1068 Overs
Arizona State1573 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 64 - 23 - 4
Road Teams12 - 136 - 74 - 32 - 4

(#49) ASU at (#43) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #49 #43
SP+SP+ #60 #28
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #46 #61
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #65
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #99 #33
ExplosiveExp #60 #41
PPAPPA #91 #37
PowerPwr #71 #54
SP+SP+ #59 #25
Pts POPPO #103 #44
HavocHav #99 #5
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #97
Run ExplRExp #63 #35
PPAExp #72 #73
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #82 #60
Stuff RateStuff #88 #81
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #101 #10
Pass ExplPExl #46 #101
PPAExp #68 #35
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #34
DB HavocDB #105 #2
Arizona on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatARIZ OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #63 #58
ExplosiveExp #44 #53
PPAPPA #58 #35
PowerPwr #40 #33
SP+SP+ #29 #44
Pts POPPO #79 #51
HavocHav #57 #15
Arizona Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #87 #63
Run ExplRExp #43 #47
PPAExp #53 #28
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #41 #36
Stuff RateStuff #71 #34
TackleTak - NR
Arizona Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatARIZ OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #52 #51
Pass ExplPExl #93 #39
PPAExp #73 #32
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #53 #40
DB HavocDB #63 #11
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Arizona State last year (23-7)
Arizona State beat Arizona in 2024 (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)

  
ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cutter Boley (Tr)19830166%216015127.2
Kanyon Floyd11100%190019.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquis Gillis (Tr)183114576.375
David Avit (Tr)12568785.534
Jason Brown Jr.1513719.144
Kyson Brown1810605.934
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller (Tr)44807818.370
Reed Harris (Tr)39673517.357
Derek Eusebio22341215.568
Jalen Moss16273117.151

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Jessiah Mcgrew (Tr)670004
Adrian Wilson571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)246440
Jalen Thompson (Tr)296381
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
Ramere Davis (Tr)91110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Montana Warren402028
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Adrian Wilson571016

ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita27542964%32282967.5
Mason Bray1250%220011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwan Roberts (Tr)9051245.754
Kedrick Reescano8439694.750
Quincy Craig6536425.654
Noah Fifita11522231.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Spivey23381716.670
Chris Hunter27372213.835
Gio Richardson21299214.260
Rodney Gallagher2824308.726

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taye Brown939231
Lee Molette III (Tr)653003
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)587314
Chase Kennedy428470
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Kennedy428470
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)587314
Taye Brown939231
Jay'Vion Cole233104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrese Boss (Tr)360005
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)587314
Jay'Vion Cole233104