Florida at Missouri - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO

Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
FLA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -10.5 (SP+ MIZ -11)
Projected Score: FLA: 19 - MIZ: 30 (49)
MIZ Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
FLA Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (46 - 29)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-22
Sat 9/12	Florida vs Campbell	-33
Sat 9/19	Florida at Auburn	+6
Sat 9/26	Florida vs Ole Miss	+8.5
Sat 10/3	Florida at Missouri	+10.5
Sat 10/10	Florida vs South Carolina	-2.5
Sat 10/17	Florida at Texas	+14.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Florida at Georgia	+19.5
Sat 11/7	Florida vs Oklahoma	+8
Sat 11/14	Florida at Kentucky	-4
Sat 11/21	Florida vs Vanderbilt	+4.5
Fri 11/27	Florida at Florida State	+1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Missouri's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Missouri vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41
Sat 9/12	Missouri at Kansas	-13.5
Sat 9/19	Missouri vs Troy	-28
Sat 9/26	Missouri at Mississippi State	-8.5
Sat 10/3	Missouri vs Florida	-10.5
Sat 10/10	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+3.5
Sat 10/17	Missouri at Ole Miss	+6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Missouri at Arkansas	-11
Sat 11/7	Missouri vs Texas	+1.5
Sat 11/14	Missouri at Georgia	+12
Sat 11/21	Missouri vs Kentucky	-17
Sat 11/28	Missouri vs Oklahoma	+0.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#87 (.14)	42% (83)	21.6	47% (36)	3.26 (18)	137	38% (112)	205	4 (41)	#84 (.18)	43% (90)	24	43% (71)	44% (109)	3.46 (53)	43.7	1.5	1.4
MIZ	#50 (.2)	45% (42)	30.2	48% (21)	3.12 (37)	228	42% (64)	188	3.85 (56)	#11 (.04)	35% (7)	18.9	36% (8)	35% (12)	3.36 (40)	51.2	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	12	21.6	13	41.6%	4	1.5	19	341	137	205	4.3	47%	52%	47%	38%	15%	.14
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	34.6%	3.36	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	36%	35%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	12	24	30.4	43.3%	3.46	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	15%	.18
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	44.8%	3.85	1.3	23	417	228	188	5.3	55%	43%	48%	42%	13%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	12	29:46	19	34%	42%	5.1	43.7	1.5	1.4	5	2.1	0	27.7
Missouri	13	31:51	23.1	45%	59%	5.5	51.2	1.3	0.9	6.9	2.8	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	12	47% (87)	47% (36)	32	136.8	4.3	10 (122)	.14 (55)	3.26 (18)	76% (42)	10% (74)	0.8 (129)
MIZ Defense	13	47% (41)	36% (8)	-	-	-	-	.01 (20)	2.64 (23)	69% (50)	12% (10)	0.95 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	12	53% (106)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.08 (57)	2.79 (50)	79% (115)	9% (86)	0.93 (52)
MIZ Offense	13	55% (31)	48% (21)	42.8	228.5	5.3	31 (4)	.23 (15)	3.12 (37)	89% (1)	9% (47)	1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	12	52% (41)	38% (112)	19.5	31.2	204.6	6.6	10.5	18 (61)	14 (127)	.17 (110)	1.5 (82)	30% (42)	27% (103)	.24 (93)	6% (55)	1.9 (97)
MIZ Defense	13	51% (98)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (75)	.1 (14)	1.6 (82)	35% (20)	28% (35)	.27 (60)	7% (14)	2.1 (82)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	12	45% (27)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (38)	.3 (94)	1.6 (86)	31% (86)	28% (48)	.3 (72)	5% (90)	2.3 (131)
MIZ Offense	13	43% (108)	42% (64)	17.6	27.8	188.4	6.8	10.7	15 (50)	11 (108)	.18 (108)	1.4 (115)	29% (35)	31% (61)	.28 (77)	4% (15)	2.1 (29)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 15.32 #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.17 #24
Florida's Defense Rating: 6.85 #14
2026 Talent Rating: 982.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #63
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #89
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #43

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 15.32 Missouri: 19.81

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 3.5 Missouri: 14.4

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 19.81 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 17.84 #23
Missouri's Defense Rating: 2.62 #9
2026 Talent Rating: 896.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Missouri's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #47
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 30
Florida 19

Projected Total Points: 49

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Missouri	33	Florida	31	Missouri -12.5	Florida	56.5	Over
2022	10/08	Florida	24	Missouri	17	Florida -11	Missouri	53.5	Under
2021	11/20	Missouri	24	Florida	23	Florida -9.5	Missouri	69.0	Under
2020	10/31	Florida	41	Missouri	17	Florida -13.5	Florida	64.0	Under
2019	11/16	Missouri	6	Florida	23	Florida -7.0	Florida	51.0	Under
2018	11/03	Florida	17	Missouri	38	Florida -6	Missouri	59.5	Under
2017	11/04	Missouri	45	Florida	16	Missouri -1.5	Missouri	61.5	Under
2016	10/15	Florida	40	Missouri	14	Florida -13	Florida	51.0	Over
2015	10/10	Missouri	3	Florida	21	Florida -3.5	Florida	38.5	Under
2014	10/18	Florida	13	Missouri	42	Florida -3	Missouri	0
2013	10/19	Missouri	36	Florida	17	Florida -1.5	Missouri	0
2012	11/03	Florida	14	Missouri	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	6	6	2 Overs
Florida	6	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#19) FLA at (#14) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#19	#14
SP+SP+	#63	#21
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#14	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	#12	#21

Florida Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Florida on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#83	#7
ExplosiveExp	#130	#73
PPAPPA	#87	#11
PowerPwr	#24	#9
SP+SP+	#89	#10
Pts POPPO	#41	#40
HavocHav	#61	#8

Florida Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#36	#8
Run ExplRExp	#129	#66
PPAExp	#55	#20
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#18	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#37
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#82	#82
PPAExp	#110	#14
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#74	#10
DB HavocDB	#55	#14

Missouri on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#42	#90
ExplosiveExp	#86	#68
PPAPPA	#50	#84
PowerPwr	#23	#14
SP+SP+	#47	#43
Pts POPPO	#56	#53
HavocHav	#23	#98

Missouri Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#71
Run ExplRExp	#26	#52
PPAExp	#15	#57
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#91
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#86
PPAExp	#108	#94
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#47	#86
DB HavocDB	#15	#90

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Florida in 2023 (33-31)

FLA's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tramell Jones Jr.	21	35	60%	191	2	0	5.5
Aaron Philo (Tr)	21	28	75%	373	1	1	13.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jadan Baugh	220	1170	8	5.3	26
London Montgomery (Tr)	156	742	7	4.8	51
Evan Pryor (Tr)	76	522	3	6.9	46
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	14	61	0	4.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	58	534	3	9.2	48
Vernell Brown III	40	524	0	13.1	60
Micah Mays Jr. (Tr)	18	302	2	16.8	52
Evan Chieca (Tr)	31	255	4	8.2	34

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Aaron Chiles	52	3	1	1	1
Jaden Robinson	51	4	2	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Jayden Woods	27	5	4	3	1
Kamran James	44	5	3	3	2
Brendan Bett	40	4	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4

MIZ's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matt Zollers	47	88	53%	503	4	2	5.7
Austin Simmons (Tr)	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	256	1649	16	6.4	72
Jamal Roberts	124	753	6	6.1	63
Austin Simmons (Tr)	22	71	1	3.2	14
Sam Horn	1	6	0	6.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cayden Lee (Tr)	44	635	3	14.4	62
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	29	484	2	16.7	82
Donovan Olugbode	30	401	2	13.4	34
Brett Norfleet	31	254	5	8.2	27

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Trotter	84	13	2	7	1
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Santana Banner	59	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darris Smith	15	6	5	11	2
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Josiah Trotter	84	13	2	7	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	7
Chris Graves	33	1	0	4
Santana Banner	59	1	0	3