Troy at Missouri - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO

Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 5.4 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Missouri -28 (SP+ MIZ -19)
Projected Score: TROY: 12 - MIZ: 40 (52)
MIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
TROY Travel: 610 miles

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (46 - 29)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Troy at Missouri	+28

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Missouri's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Missouri vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41
Sat 9/12	Missouri at Kansas	-13.5
Sat 9/19	Missouri vs Troy	-28
Sat 9/26	Missouri at Mississippi State	-8.5
Sat 10/3	Missouri vs Florida	-10.5
Sat 10/10	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+3.5
Sat 10/17	Missouri at Ole Miss	+6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Missouri at Arkansas	-11
Sat 11/7	Missouri vs Texas	+1.5
Sat 11/14	Missouri at Georgia	+12
Sat 11/21	Missouri vs Kentucky	-17
Sat 11/28	Missouri vs Oklahoma	+0.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#110 (.1)	38% (114)	23.5	39% (112)	2.82 (90)	98	38% (106)	209	3.67 (72)	#48 (.12)	40% (48)	23.9	41% (57)	39% (41)	3.17 (30)	52.1	1.3	1.3
MIZ	#50 (.2)	45% (42)	30.2	48% (21)	3.12 (37)	228	42% (64)	188	3.85 (56)	#11 (.04)	35% (7)	18.9	36% (8)	35% (12)	3.36 (40)	51.2	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	23.5	23.4	38.2%	3.67	1.3	17	307	98	209	2.8	47%	51%	39%	38%	20%	.1
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	34.6%	3.36	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	36%	35%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	23.9	25.9	39.9%	3.17	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	41%	39%	16%	.12
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	44.8%	3.85	1.3	23	417	228	188	5.3	55%	43%	48%	42%	13%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	29:55	17.3	39%	47%	5.6	52.1	1.3	1.3	6.1	2.6	3	31
Missouri	13	31:51	23.1	45%	59%	5.5	51.2	1.3	0.9	6.9	2.8	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	47% (85)	39% (112)	35.1	98	2.8	17 (88)	.02 (117)	2.82 (90)	78% (24)	12% (126)	0.87 (114)
MIZ Defense	13	47% (41)	36% (8)	-	-	-	-	.01 (20)	2.64 (23)	69% (50)	12% (10)	0.95 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	54% (115)	41% (57)	-	-	-	-	.09 (65)	3.01 (96)	66% (31)	11% (38)	0.96 (67)
MIZ Offense	13	55% (31)	48% (21)	42.8	228.5	5.3	31 (4)	.23 (15)	3.12 (37)	89% (1)	9% (47)	1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	51% (57)	38% (106)	17.9	30.9	209.2	6.8	11.7	20 (42)	12 (88)	.17 (111)	1.7 (26)	34% (114)	28% (98)	.28 (78)	7% (117)	2.2 (22)
MIZ Defense	13	51% (98)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (75)	.1 (14)	1.6 (82)	35% (20)	28% (35)	.27 (60)	7% (14)	2.1 (82)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	44% (20)	39% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (75)	.17 (34)	1.7 (120)	34% (28)	28% (40)	.23 (44)	6% (75)	2.1 (103)
MIZ Offense	13	43% (108)	42% (64)	17.6	27.8	188.4	6.8	10.7	15 (50)	11 (108)	.18 (108)	1.4 (115)	29% (35)	31% (61)	.28 (77)	4% (15)	2.1 (29)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -11.64 #102
Troy's Offense Rating: 3.72 #111
Troy's Defense Rating: 20.36 #90
2026 Talent Rating: 446.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Troy's 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 5.4
Troy's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #87
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #95
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 516.43
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -11.64 Missouri: 19.81

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -4.8 Missouri: 14.4

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 19.81 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 17.84 #23
Missouri's Defense Rating: 2.62 #9
2026 Talent Rating: 896.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Missouri's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #47
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 40
Troy 12

Projected Total Points: 52

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	10/05	Missouri	42	Troy	10	Missouri -25.5	Missouri	65.0	Under
2005	09/17	Missouri	52	Troy	21
2004	09/09	Troy	24	Missouri	14
2002	09/28	Missouri	44	Troy	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	3	1	0 Overs
Troy	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#102) TROY at (#14) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#102	#14
SP+SP+	#87	#21
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#120	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#21

Troy Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Troy on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#114	#7
ExplosiveExp	#39	#73
PPAPPA	#110	#11
PowerPwr	#111	#9
SP+SP+	#95	#10
Pts POPPO	#72	#40
HavocHav	#128	#8

Troy Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#112	#8
Run ExplRExp	#114	#66
PPAExp	#117	#20
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#90	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#126	#37
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#26	#82
PPAExp	#111	#14
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#126	#10
DB HavocDB	#117	#14

Missouri on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#42	#48
ExplosiveExp	#86	#86
PPAPPA	#50	#48
PowerPwr	#23	#90
SP+SP+	#47	#84
Pts POPPO	#56	#30
HavocHav	#23	#54

Missouri Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#57
Run ExplRExp	#26	#67
PPAExp	#15	#65
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#96
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#58
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#120
PPAExp	#108	#34
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#47	#38
DB HavocDB	#15	#75

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TROY's OC Sean Reagan (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tucker Kilcrease	130	222	59%	1537	9	6	6.9
Evan Crenshaw	1	1	100%	11	0	0	11.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Lovett	89	339	2	3.8	22
Tucker Kilcrease	116	126	5	1.1	34
Dennis Palmer	10	40	0	4.0	11
Trevor Pearson	12	38	0	3.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Lovett	13	86	0	6.6	26
Marquez Dortch	7	63	0	9.0	19
Jackson Worley	7	57	1	8.1	13
Donnie Smith	1	11	0	11.0	11

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Dontae Wright (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Powe	75	1	0	0	1
TJ Thompson	44	3	1	0	0
Elijah Davis	44	6	3	2	0
Donnie Smith	44	14	11	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donnie Smith	44	14	11	7	2
Jamel Fils-Aime	24	4	3	1	0
Elijah Davis	44	6	3	2	0
Ty Clemons (Tr)	6	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donnie Smith	44	14	11	7	2
Luke Hodge	42	3	0	2	2
Justin Powe	75	1	0	0	1

MIZ's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matt Zollers	47	88	53%	503	4	2	5.7
Austin Simmons (Tr)	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	256	1649	16	6.4	72
Jamal Roberts	124	753	6	6.1	63
Austin Simmons (Tr)	22	71	1	3.2	14
Sam Horn	1	6	0	6.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cayden Lee (Tr)	44	635	3	14.4	62
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	29	484	2	16.7	82
Donovan Olugbode	30	401	2	13.4	34
Brett Norfleet	31	254	5	8.2	27

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Trotter	84	13	2	7	1
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Santana Banner	59	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darris Smith	15	6	5	11	2
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Josiah Trotter	84	13	2	7	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	7
Chris Graves	33	1	0	4
Santana Banner	59	1	0	3