Kentucky at Oklahoma - 2026 Matchup Preview
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Oklahoma SoonersOklahoma logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium - Norman, OK

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Stein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKLA 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -20  (SP+ OKLA -17)

Projected Score: UK: 12 - OKLA: 32 (44)
OKLA Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
UK Travel: 743 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Sooners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (32 - 20)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Kentucky vs Youngstown State-26
Sat 9/12 Kentucky vs Alabama+12.5
Sat 9/19 Kentucky at Texas A&M+23
Sat 9/26 Kentucky vs South Alabama-17
Sat 10/3 Kentucky at South Carolina+9
Sat 10/10 Kentucky vs LSU+12
Sat 10/17 Kentucky at Oklahoma+20
Sat 10/24 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Kentucky at Tennessee+15.5
Sat 11/14 Kentucky vs Florida+4
Sat 11/21 Kentucky at Missouri+17
Sat 11/28 Kentucky vs Louisville+5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oklahoma vs UTEP-35.5
Sat 9/12 Oklahoma at Michigan-2
Sat 9/19 Oklahoma vs New Mexico-24.5
Sat 9/26 Oklahoma at Georgia+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oklahoma vs Texas-1
Sat 10/17 Oklahoma vs Kentucky-20
Sat 10/24 Oklahoma at Mississippi State-11
Sat 10/31 Oklahoma vs South Carolina-13.5
Sat 11/7 Oklahoma at Florida-8
Sat 11/14 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-2
Sat 11/21 Oklahoma vs Texas A&M+0.5
Sat 11/28 Oklahoma at Missouri-0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#115 (.08)42% (81)2345% (53)3.05 (51)13940% (96)2023.84 (57)#85 (.18)44% (97)26.444% (84)45% (112)3.98 (99)411.81.2
OKLA#108 (.1)40% (103)26.238% (115)2.71 (111)11941% (71)2363.77 (62)#5 ()32% (3)15.530% (2)34% (9)2.62 (7)61.21.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense122310.841.6%3.841.8203411392023.951%47%45%40%18%.08
OKLA Defense1315.51532.1%2.621 - - - - - 44%54%30%34%23%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1226.431.843.7%3.981.2 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%15%.18
OKLA Offense1326.226.439.7%3.771.2193551192363.645%53%38%41%17%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1230:3819.740%52%4.9411.81.25.82.1029.6
Oklahoma1329:4418.539%57%6.861.21.219.53.5131.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1251% (52)45% (53)35.9139.33.919 (70).06 (98)3.05 (51)70% (84)11% (111)0.82 (124)
OKLA Defense1344% (14)30% (2) - - - - -.06 (6)2.03 (2)65% (25)16% (1)1.08 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1252% (94)44% (84) - - - - .09 (63)2.89 (71)68% (44)10% (57)0.9 (41)
OKLA Offense1345% (103)38% (115)33.3118.73.618 (60) (124)2.71 (111)64% (113)10% (79)0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1247% (85)40% (96)19.130.6201.96.610.615 (128)14 (60).19 (101)1.6 (59)31% (62)26% (113).02 (134)7% (95)1.7 (131)
OKLA Defense1354% (125)34% (9) - - - - - - 9 (100).09 (10)1.5 (48)37% (7)26% (20).22 (35)6% (47)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1246% (37)45% (112) - - - - - - 12 (38).31 (99)1.5 (64)30% (91)31% (85).31 (76)5% (110)2 (53)
OKLA Offense1353% (33)41% (71)20.433.2235.87.111.617 (75)11 (88).2 (95)1.5 (86)33% (104)28% (93).25 (92)7% (105)2.2 (12)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.58  #51
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 13.98  #42
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 15.40  #57
2026 Talent Rating: 826.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 25%  #23
Kentucky's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kentucky's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #66
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 3.58   Oklahoma: 22.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 1.8   Oklahoma: 18.3




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 22.605  #12
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 18.44  #19
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.53  #5
2026 Talent Rating: 970.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 51  #15
Oklahoma's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3  #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9  #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 32
Kentucky 12


Projected Total Points: 44
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma000 Overs
Kentucky000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#51) UK at (#12) OKLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUKOKLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #51 #12
SP+SP+ #66 #14
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #45 #17
Blue ChipsBC% #23 #15
Kentucky on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
UK OffOKLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #81 #3
ExplosiveExp #128 #109
PPAPPA #115 #5
PowerPwr #42 #5
SP+SP+ #80 #4
Pts POPPO #57 #7
HavocHav #110 #3
Kentucky Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
UK OffOKLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #53 #2
Run ExplRExp #124 #121
PPAExp #98 #6
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #51 #2
Stuff RateStuff #51 #2
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
UK OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #96 #9
Pass ExplPExl #59 #48
PPAExp #101 #10
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #111 #1
DB HavocDB #95 #47
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffUK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #103 #97
ExplosiveExp #64 #57
PPAPPA #108 #85
PowerPwr #19 #57
SP+SP+ #51 #48
Pts POPPO #62 #99
HavocHav #94 #93
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #115 #84
Run ExplRExp #86 #41
PPAExp #124 #63
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #111 #71
Stuff RateStuff #118 #53
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #71 #112
Pass ExplPExl #86 #64
PPAExp #95 #99
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79 #57
DB HavocDB #105 #110
Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UK's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kenny Minchey (Tr)202677%196007.5
JacQai Long (Tr)61833%31001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jason Patterson5722513.929
CJ Baxter Jr.5419603.618
Kenny Minchey (Tr)784112.034
Jovantae Barnes (Tr)194512.410
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Willie Rodriguez23310113.553
Josh Kattus17195211.534
Xavier Daisy (Tr)1817719.821
DJ Miller13175213.556

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Bryant762001
Jordan Castell (Tr)540020
Grant Godfrey342110
Mi'Quise Grace317462
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mi'Quise Grace317462
Tavion Gadson284330
Lorenzo Cowan135300
Jamarrion Harkless (Tr)132340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terhyon Nichols181024
Grant Grayton160003
Mi'Quise Grace317462

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer24739762%288514117.3
Whitt Newbauer2450%6001.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock12048244.025
John Mateer14943182.951
Xavier Robinson8342145.165
Lloyd Avant (Tr)9041754.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna65949814.687
Trell Harris (Tr)59847514.475
Parker Livingstone (Tr)29516617.883
Rocky Beers (Tr)31388712.548

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Jay Valai (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis7611444
Bishop Thomas (Tr)484251
Peyton Bowen461017
Cole Sullivan (Tr)445201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Wein3915761
Kip Lewis7611444
Jayden Jackson285320
Kenny Ozowalu (Tr)166331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Bowen461017
Courtland Guillory411017
Kip Lewis7611444