Kentucky at Oklahoma - 2026 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Oklahoma Sooners

Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium - Norman, OK (SEC)

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Stein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#81)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

OKLA 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -21 (SP+ OKLA -17)
Projected Score: UK: 12 - OKLA: 33 (44)
OKLA Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
UK Travel: 743 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Sooners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (32 - 20)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#18)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-27.5
Sat 9/12	Kentucky vs Alabama	+12.5
Sat 9/19	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+22.5
Sat 9/26	Kentucky vs South Alabama	-19.5
Sat 10/3	Kentucky at South Carolina	+7.5
Sat 10/10	Kentucky vs LSU	+12.5
Sat 10/17	Kentucky at Oklahoma	+21
Sat 10/24	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	+9.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Kentucky at Tennessee	+17
Sat 11/14	Kentucky vs Florida	+3
Sat 11/21	Kentucky at Missouri	+17
Sat 11/28	Kentucky vs Louisville	+6.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oklahoma vs UTEP	-39.5
Sat 9/12	Oklahoma at Michigan	-0.5
Sat 9/19	Oklahoma vs New Mexico	-24.5
Sat 9/26	Oklahoma at Georgia	+7
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Oklahoma vs Texas	-2.5
Sat 10/17	Oklahoma vs Kentucky	-21
Sat 10/24	Oklahoma at Mississippi State	-15.5
Sat 10/31	Oklahoma vs South Carolina	-16
Sat 11/7	Oklahoma at Florida	-10.5
Sat 11/14	Oklahoma vs Ole Miss	-2.5
Sat 11/21	Oklahoma vs Texas A&M	-1
Sat 11/28	Oklahoma at Missouri	-1

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	#115 (.08)	42% (81)	23	45% (53)	3.05 (51)	139	40% (96)	202	3.84 (57)	#85 (.18)	44% (97)	26.4	44% (84)	45% (112)	3.98 (99)	41	1.8	1.2
OKLA	#108 (.1)	40% (103)	26.2	38% (115)	2.71 (111)	119	41% (71)	236	3.77 (62)	#5 ()	32% (3)	15.5	30% (2)	34% (9)	2.62 (7)	61.2	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	12	23	10.8	41.6%	3.84	1.8	20	341	139	202	3.9	51%	47%	45%	40%	18%	.08
OKLA Defense	13	15.5	15	32.1%	2.62	1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	30%	34%	23%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	12	26.4	31.8	43.7%	3.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	45%	15%	.18
OKLA Offense	13	26.2	26.4	39.7%	3.77	1.2	19	355	119	236	3.6	45%	53%	38%	41%	17%	.1

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	12	30:38	19.7	40%	52%	4.9	41	1.8	1.2	5.8	2.1	0	29.6
Oklahoma	13	29:44	18.5	39%	57%	6.8	61.2	1.2	1	9.5	3.5	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	12	51% (52)	45% (53)	35.9	139.3	3.9	19 (70)	.06 (98)	3.05 (51)	70% (84)	11% (111)	0.82 (124)
OKLA Defense	13	44% (14)	30% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (6)	2.03 (2)	65% (25)	16% (1)	1.08 (121)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	12	52% (94)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.09 (63)	2.89 (71)	68% (44)	10% (57)	0.9 (41)
OKLA Offense	13	45% (103)	38% (115)	33.3	118.7	3.6	18 (60)	(124)	2.71 (111)	64% (113)	10% (79)	0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	12	47% (85)	40% (96)	19.1	30.6	201.9	6.6	10.6	15 (128)	14 (60)	.19 (101)	1.6 (59)	31% (62)	26% (113)	.02 (134)	7% (95)	1.7 (131)
OKLA Defense	13	54% (125)	34% (9)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (100)	.09 (10)	1.5 (48)	37% (7)	26% (20)	.22 (35)	6% (47)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	12	46% (37)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.31 (99)	1.5 (64)	30% (91)	31% (85)	.31 (76)	5% (110)	2 (53)
OKLA Offense	13	53% (33)	41% (71)	20.4	33.2	235.8	7.1	11.6	17 (75)	11 (88)	.2 (95)	1.5 (86)	33% (104)	28% (93)	.25 (92)	7% (105)	2.2 (12)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 6.14 #53
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 15.36 #49
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 14.22 #58
2026 Talent Rating: 836.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #25
Kentucky's 2026 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Kentucky's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #66
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 6.14 Oklahoma: 24.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 1.8 Oklahoma: 18.3

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 24.8 #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 21.13 #18
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -0.20 #4
2026 Talent Rating: 996.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #13
Oklahoma's 2026 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Oklahoma's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3 #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 33
Kentucky 12

Projected Total Points: 44

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	0	0	0 Overs
Kentucky	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#53) UK at (#11) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#53	#11
SP+SP+	#66	#14
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#50	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	#25	#13

Kentucky Notes(3/3) Vibes: Excited for Stein/Off. Big portal class
(3/3) 15 portals on offense will be tremendous boost
(2/2) New HC Stein fresh air, but OC/DC are ? hires
(2/2) QB Minchey is exciting. Could excel w/ Stein
(2/2) RBs have a lot of promise over prod. Could see it
(2/2) WR rebuild w 6 portals. Need some surprise hits
(2/2) OL mix of 2 really great adds with lots of projects
(2/2) DL parts to build, mix of 9 exp'd guys (5 adds)
(2/2) LBs need work. Lot of projecting success here
(2/2) DBs were awful LY. 6 portals, Bryant (S) good one
Kentucky Injury Report

Oklahoma Notes(2/17) Vibes: Cautious, CFP run saved BV, must fix Off
(2/2) DBs coach Jay Valai left for NFL (big loss)
(1/29) Lost 25 portals that went to P4 schools
(1/29) QB Mateer is fun but limited passer. Gamer
(1/29) OC Arbuckle/QB Mateer 3rd yr together
(1/29) RBs awful LY, only 1 portal, a PT Col St add?
(1/29) WR loaded with Sategna + 2 big portal adds
(1/29) OL bad LY, 4 starters back + 3 portal starters
(1/29) DL still looks really good, DT big 3 man rotation
(1/29) DBs best in CFB? CB duo Guillory/Bowen great
Oklahoma Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#81	#3
ExplosiveExp	#128	#109
PPAPPA	#115	#5
PowerPwr	#49	#4
SP+SP+	#80	#4
Pts POPPO	#57	#7
HavocHav	#110	#3

Kentucky Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#2
Run ExplRExp	#124	#121
PPAExp	#98	#6
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#51	#2
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#96	#9
Pass ExplPExl	#59	#48
PPAExp	#101	#10
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#111	#1
DB HavocDB	#95	#47

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#103	#97
ExplosiveExp	#64	#57
PPAPPA	#108	#85
PowerPwr	#18	#58
SP+SP+	#51	#48
Pts POPPO	#62	#99
HavocHav	#94	#93

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#84
Run ExplRExp	#86	#41
PPAExp	#124	#63
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#111	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#53
TackleTak	-	NR

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#86	#64
PPAExp	#95	#99
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#57
DB HavocDB	#105	#110

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UK's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	20	26	77%	196	0	0	7.5
JacQai Long (Tr)	6	18	33%	31	0	0	1.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jason Patterson	57	225	1	3.9	29
CJ Baxter Jr.	54	196	0	3.6	18
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	7	84	1	12.0	34
Jovantae Barnes (Tr)	19	45	1	2.4	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shane Carr (Tr)	47	655	3	13.9	44
Willie Rodriguez	23	310	1	13.5	53
Xavier Daisy (Tr)	18	177	1	9.8	21
DJ Miller	13	175	2	13.5	56

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Bryant	76	2	0	0	1
Jordan Castell (Tr)	54	0	0	2	0
Grant Godfrey	34	2	1	1	0
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2
Lorenzo Cowan	13	5	3	0	0
Tavion Gadson	28	4	3	3	0
Jamarrion Harkless (Tr)	13	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	18	1	0	2	4
Grant Grayton	16	0	0	0	3
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer	247	397	62%	2885	14	11	7.3
Whitt Newbauer	2	4	50%	6	0	0	1.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Blaylock	120	482	4	4.0	25
John Mateer	149	431	8	2.9	51
Xavier Robinson	83	421	4	5.1	65
Lloyd Avant (Tr)	90	417	5	4.6	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Sategna	65	949	8	14.6	87
Trell Harris (Tr)	59	847	5	14.4	75
Parker Livingstone (Tr)	29	516	6	17.8	83
Rocky Beers (Tr)	31	388	7	12.5	48

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Todd Bates (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Bishop Thomas (Tr)	48	4	2	5	1
Peyton Bowen	46	1	0	1	7
Cole Sullivan (Tr)	44	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Wein	39	15	7	6	1
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Kenny Ozowalu (Tr)	16	6	3	3	1
Jayden Jackson	28	5	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Peyton Bowen	46	1	0	1	7
Courtland Guillory	41	1	0	1	7
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4