Oklahoma at Michigan - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo Oklahoma Sooners at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan Stadium - Ann Arbor, MI

 
Sooners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (32 - 20)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (31 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Oklahoma -2  (SP+ OKLA -6)
Projected Score: OKLA: 24 - MICH: 22 (45)
OKLA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
OKLA Travel: 883 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oklahoma vs UTEP-35.5
Sat 9/12 Oklahoma at Michigan-2
Sat 9/19 Oklahoma vs New Mexico-24.5
Sat 9/26 Oklahoma at Georgia+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oklahoma vs Texas-1
Sat 10/17 Oklahoma vs Kentucky-20
Sat 10/24 Oklahoma at Mississippi State-11
Sat 10/31 Oklahoma vs South Carolina-13.5
Sat 11/7 Oklahoma at Florida-8
Sat 11/14 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-2
Sat 11/21 Oklahoma vs Texas A&M+0.5
Sat 11/28 Oklahoma at Missouri-0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Michigan vs Oklahoma+2

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#108 (.1)40% (103)26.238% (115)2.71 (111)11941% (71)2363.77 (62)#5 ()32% (3)15.530% (2)34% (9)2.62 (7)61.21.21
MICH#54 (.19)44% (47)27.549% (13)3.29 (16)21140% (89)1873.64 (75)#52 (.12)42% (78)20.441% (58)44% (105)3.79 (80)39.11.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense1326.23139.7%3.771.2193551192363.645%53%38%41%17%.1
MICH Defense1320.413.342.3%3.791.4 - - - - - 46%52%41%44%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1315.514.532.1%2.621 - - - - - 44%54%30%34%23%
MICH Offense1327.529.244.4%3.641.3203982111875.554%44%49%40%12%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1329:4418.539%57%6.861.21.219.53.5131.2
Michigan1329:4720.244%39%4.439.11.31.45.82.2031.1
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1345% (103)38% (115)33.3118.73.618 (60) (124)2.71 (111)64% (113)10% (79)0.92 (86)
MICH Defense1346% (23)41% (58) - - - - .07 (49)2.68 (28)59% (11)10% (52)0.88 (23)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1344% (14)30% (2) - - - - -.06 (6)2.03 (2)65% (25)16% (1)1.08 (121)
MICH Offense1354% (33)49% (13)38.2211.25.533 (23).23 (17)3.29 (16)77% (32)8% (27)0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1353% (33)41% (71)20.433.2235.87.111.617 (75)11 (88).2 (95)1.5 (86)33% (104)28% (93).25 (92)7% (105)2.2 (12)
MICH Defense1352% (116)44% (105) - - - - - - 13 (4).22 (57)1.3 (3)30% (98)33% (111).4 (114)7% (38)2 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1354% (125)34% (9) - - - - - - 9 (100).09 (10)1.5 (48)37% (7)26% (20).22 (35)6% (47)2 (65)
MICH Offense1344% (103)40% (89)15.526.2186.87.11211 (106)10 (20).2 (96)1.5 (107)30% (51)30% (74).25 (91)4% (20)1.7 (132)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 21.91  #12
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 18.44  #19
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.53  #5
2026 Talent Rating: 970.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 51%  #15
Oklahoma's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3  #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9  #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 21.91   Michigan: 17.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 18.3   Michigan: 12.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 17.925  #16
Michigan's Offense Rating: 20.68  #15
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.23  #17
2026 Talent Rating: 928.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 50  #16
Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.5

Oklahoma's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 24
Michigan 22

Projected Total Points: 45
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Oklahoma24Michigan13Oklahoma -3Oklahoma47.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan000 Overs
Oklahoma111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#12) OKLA at (#16) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKLAMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #12 #16
SP+SP+ #14 #25
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #17 #24
Blue ChipsBC% #15 #16
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #103 #78
ExplosiveExp #64 #10
PPAPPA #108 #52
PowerPwr #19 #17
SP+SP+ #51 #15
Pts POPPO #62 #80
HavocHav #94 #46
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #115 #58
Run ExplRExp #86 #23
PPAExp #124 #49
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #111 #28
Stuff RateStuff #118 #85
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #71 #105
Pass ExplPExl #86 #3
PPAExp #95 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79 #52
DB HavocDB #105 #38
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffOKLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #47 #3
ExplosiveExp #119 #109
PPAPPA #54 #5
PowerPwr #15 #5
SP+SP+ #48 #4
Pts POPPO #75 #7
HavocHav #13 #3
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffOKLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #13 #2
Run ExplRExp #62 #121
PPAExp #17 #6
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #16 #2
Stuff RateStuff #9 #2
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #89 #9
Pass ExplPExl #107 #48
PPAExp #96 #10
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #27 #1
DB HavocDB #20 #47
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Michigan last year (24-13)

  
OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer24739762%288514117.3
Whitt Newbauer2450%6001.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock12048244.025
John Mateer14943182.951
Xavier Robinson8342145.165
Lloyd Avant (Tr)9041754.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna65949814.687
Trell Harris (Tr)59847514.475
Parker Livingstone (Tr)29516617.883
Rocky Beers (Tr)31388712.548

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Jay Valai (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis7611444
Bishop Thomas (Tr)484251
Peyton Bowen461017
Cole Sullivan (Tr)445201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Wein3915761
Kip Lewis7611444
Jayden Jackson285320
Kenny Ozowalu (Tr)166331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Bowen461017
Courtland Guillory411017
Kip Lewis7611444

MICH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood20233560%24281197.2
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (Tr)448254%488126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Bryce Underwood8839264.537
Tomas O'Meara118307.537
Smith Snowden (Tr)84015.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh45651414.569
JJ Buchanan (Tr)26427516.460
Zack Marshall16199112.437
Channing Goodwin12148012.339

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
John Henry Daley45181201
Smith Snowden (Tr)372009
Jyaire Hill363105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley45181201
Dominic Nichols196210
Max Alford (Tr)212110
Jyaire Hill363105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
Smith Snowden (Tr)372009
Jyaire Hill363105