Sat, Aug 30 2025
·
Week 1
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🏟 Vanderbilt Stadium
Nashville, TN
·
Turf
·
40,350 cap
Charleston Southern✈ 441 mi-1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Vanderbilt wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Vanderbilt -37.5
O/U 49.5
Bovada
Charleston Southern 2025 Schedule
Charleston Southern's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Charleston Southern at Vanderbilt | +37.5L3–45 | 49.5 | L3–45 | U | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Charleston Southern at Coastal Carolina | +28.5L0–13 | 49.0 | L0–13 | U | Y |
Vanderbilt 2025 Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern | -37.5W45–3 | 49.5 | W45–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/6 | Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech | +2.5W44–20 | 46.5 | W44–20 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/13 | Vanderbilt at South Carolina | +3.0W31–7 | 48.5 | W31–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/20 | Vanderbilt vs Georgia State | -27.5W70–21 | 53.5 | W70–21 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/27 | Vanderbilt vs Utah State | -23.5W55–35 | 57.5 | W55–35 | O | N |
| Sat 10/4 | Vanderbilt at Alabama | +13.5L14–30 | 58.5 | L14–30 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Vanderbilt vs LSU | -1.5W31–24 | 48.5 | W31–24 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/25 | Vanderbilt vs Missouri | -3.0W17–10 | 52.5 | W17–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/1 | Vanderbilt at Texas | +3.5L31–34 | 48.5 | L31–34 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/8 | Vanderbilt vs Auburn | -6.0W45–38 | 46.5 | W45–38 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Vanderbilt vs Kentucky | -7.0W45–17 | 53.5 | W45–17 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/29 | Vanderbilt at Tennessee | +2.0W45–24 | 66.5 | W45–24 | O | Y |
| Wed 12/31 | Vanderbilt vs Iowa | -3.0L27–34 | 47.5 | L27–34 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Charleston Southern Edge
Charleston Southern +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Vanderbilt Edge
Vanderbilt +35.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓