Temple at North Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Temple logo Temple Owls at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (3 - 3) (5 - 1 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (33 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: North Texas -10.5  (SP+ UNT -12)
Projected Score: TEM: 28 - UNT: 39 (67)
UNT Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
TEM Travel: 1301 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mean Green (5 - 1) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 43 - 27 (46 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#19)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Temple's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Temple at Massachusetts-3.051.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Temple vs Howard-28.047.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Temple vs Oklahoma+23.550.5L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/20 Temple at Georgia Tech+24.552.5L 24 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Temple vs UTSA+6.558.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Temple vs Navy+10.052.5L 31 - 32OY
Sat 10/18 Temple at Charlotte-11.546.5
Sat 10/25 Temple at Tulsa+1
Sat 11/1 Temple vs East Carolina+7.5
Sat 11/8 Temple at Army+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Temple vs Tulane+7
Sat 11/29 Temple at North Texas+10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Temple's Schedule
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Texas vs Lamar-27.563.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-12.056.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-6.557.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army-2.550.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama-13.563.5W 36 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida-2.568.5L 36 - 63ON
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA-4.067.5
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-17.5
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-12
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-8
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEM#42 (.26)44% (68)30.343% (80)2.63 (110)17344% (59)2094.72 (24)#106 (.23)45% (110)26.251% (128)40% (55)4.88 (133)51.80.21.2
UNT#31 (.29)47% (36)43.350% (23)3.43 (16)16845% (53)2684.89 (17)#73 (.17)43% (89)27.246% (110)37% (30)4.03 (87)45.31.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEM#128 (.04)32% (132)32% (133)2.58 (127)9333% (127)2163.57 (97)#100 (.23)41% (63)43% (67)40% (63)4.18 (106)45.121.3
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEM Offense630.33343.5%4.720.2203821732094.652%48%43%44%15%.26
UNT Defense627.223.843%4.032.3 - - - - - 65%35%46%37%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEM Defense626.227.545.2%4.881.2 - - - - - 51%49%51%40%18%.23
UNT Offense643.345.546.9%4.891.3244361682684.946%53%50%45%12%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Temple632:492044%86%551.80.21.24.72027.3
North Texas628:382448%54%5.545.31.32.35.72.2037.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEM Offense652% (56)43% (80)37.7172.74.68 (87).11 (79)2.63 (110)57% (129)11% (100)0.92 (89)
UNT Defense665% (135)46% (110) - - - - .16 (104)3.1 (108)76% (96)10% (69)0.97 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEM Defense651% (80)51% (128) - - - - .27 (130)3.4 (133)65% (42)10% (69)1.07 (104)
UNT Offense646% (98)50% (23)34.3167.54.921 (3).24 (23)3.43 (16)81% (23)8% (38)1.15 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEM Offense648% (77)44% (59)1828.3209.27.411.615 (13)0 (1).42 (31)1.6 (31)33% (104)30% (74).37 (49)5% (42)1.9 (85)
UNT Defense635% (2)37% (30) - - - - - - 7 (23).19 (50)1.6 (96)28% (117)31% (90).29 (72)4% (127)1.7 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEM Defense649% (58)40% (55) - - - - - - 5 (46).23 (64)1.4 (34)28% (127)30% (74).31 (80)8% (10)1.7 (13)
UNT Offense653% (43)45% (53)23.535.3268.27.611.413 (27)3 (26).35 (38)1.5 (76)28% (29)36% (29).51 (27)4% (33)2 (64)

Temple's Power Ratings
Temple's Power Rating: -9.38  #109
Temple's Offense Rating: 13.13  #58
Temple's Defense Rating: 22.51  #131
2025 Talent Rating: 522.00  #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Temple's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Temple's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.8  #88
Temple's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #72
Temple's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Temple: -9.38   North Texas: 2.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Temple: -5.8   North Texas: 5.7




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 2.87  #95
North Texas's Offense Rating: 10.00  #75
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.96  #101
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7  #52
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #15
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Temple Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Temple's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 39
Temple 28


Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
North Texas 42
Temple 28

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 36
Temple 29

Total Points: 65
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 43.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.5
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Temple17North Texas24North Texas -10.5Temple63.5Under
202310/14North Texas45Temple14North Texas -8North Texas65.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas210 Overs
Temple012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#109) TEM at (#95) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEMUNT
Power RatePwr #109 #95
SP+SP+ #88 #52
Perf GradeGrade #41 #12
OffenseOff #24 #18
DefenseDef #74 #18
Spec TeamsST #73 #34
TalentTal #114 #91
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101

Temple Notes
(10/12) Box score W in Navy L, OG'd mids by 120 yds. Oof
(10/12) Fringe bowl team, incredible job by staff
(9/24) Keeler looks like a HC that plays to cover
(8/30) Blasted UMass, Off good, QB Simon 6 TDs!
(7/13) QB1? Chiccitt (RMU), Simon, McCoy (Tx St)
(3/24) HC Keeler incredible hire for Temple
(3/24) RB bad LY, Ducker (SHSU) added, Smith exp'd
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. Jones/Adams some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, 2 more w/ exp. Need better
(3/24) Def awful LY, 8 portal adds. New DC
(3/24) OC Walker was Montana State OC

North Texas Notes
(10/10) UNT has allowed 200+ yds rushing 3 straight games
(10/9) NT Fatafehi Vailea II out for season, big loss
(10/9) DBs much better than F7, DL issues esp vs run
(10/8) Best Tackling grade via PFF into USF game
(9/19) Off on a tear, rFr QB Mestemaker brilliant start
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
Temple on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUNT Def
Perf GradePerf #24 #18
SuccessSuc #68 #89
ExplosiveExp #56 #31
PPAPPA #42 #73
PowerPwr #58 #101
SP+SP+ #72 #96
Pts POPPO #24 #87
HavocHav #74 #117
Temple Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUNT Def
Run GameRun #79 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #80 #110
Run ExplRExp #89 #77
PPAExp #79 #104
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #108
Stuff RateStuff #113 #129
TackleTak -  #1
Temple Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUNT Def
Pass GamePass #40 #4
Pass SuccessPSuc #59 #30
Pass ExplPExl #31 #96
PPAExp #31 #50
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #41 #86
F7 HavocF7 #100 #69
DB HavocDB #42 #127
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUNT OffTEM Def
Perf GradePerf #18 #74
SuccessSuc #36 #110
ExplosiveExp #31 #54
PPAPPA #31 #106
PowerPwr #75 #131
SP+SP+ #15 #106
Pts POPPO #17 #133
HavocHav #25 #38
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UNT OffTEM Def
Run GameRun #13 #111
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #128
Run ExplRExp #16 #104
PPAExp #23 #130
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLY #16 #133
Stuff RateStuff #34 #126
TackleTak -  #119
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUNT OffTEM Def
Pass GamePass #11 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #53 #55
Pass ExplPExl #76 #34
PPAExp #38 #64
Pass Block/RushP Blk #29 #40
F7 HavocF7 #38 #69
DB HavocDB #33 #10
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Temple last year (24-17)
North Texas beat Temple in 2023 (45-14)

  
TEM's OC Tyler Walker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Simon9415361%11501307.5
Gevani McCoy (Tr)141782%105206.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevyon Ducker9044645.055
Hunter Smith (Tr)3121026.865
Evan Simon4515613.534
Terrez Worthy237113.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Peter Clarke17276316.236
Jovanni Bermudez22267412.130
Kajiya Hollawayne16256216.046
Colin Chase (Tr)1716619.829

View Temple's Full Roster

TEM's DC Brian Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Powell (Tr)330000
Curly Ordonez296112
Eric Stuart251010
Dontae Pollard (Tr)240000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Stewart157421
Sekou Kromah145301
Curly Ordonez296112
Demerick Morris (Tr)61110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Osueke160005
Jaylen Castleberry (Tr)230004
London Hall10002

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker13620467%15731337.7
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins5735676.230
Makenzie McGill7034955.027
Jayden Becks (Tr)218724.116
Kiefer Sibley137625.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Miles Coleman30320110.754
Wyatt Young20294314.746
Cameron Dorner19261213.728
Landon Sides15181112.132

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Whitter552060
Trey Fields (Tr)453132
Ethan Wesloski366220
Will Jones II (Tr)311011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)114300
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Ethan Day (Tr)222230
Ethan Wesloski366220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)180013
Trey Fields (Tr)453132
Quinton Hammonds254102