Temple at North Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Temple logo Temple Owls at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Friday, November 28th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
North Texas -20.0 (65.5) (-1300)  Open: -19.5 | 66.5
North Texas 52 - Temple: 25  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 30 (32 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.7 MPH
Our Line: North Texas -16  (SP+ UNT -19)

Projected Score: TEM: 24 - UNT: 40 (65)
UNT Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
TEM Travel: 1301 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mean Green (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 2.4 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Temple's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Temple at Massachusetts-3.051.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Temple vs Howard-28.047.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Temple vs Oklahoma+23.550.5L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/20 Temple at Georgia Tech+24.552.5L 24 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Temple vs UTSA+6.558.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Temple vs Navy+10.052.5L 31 - 32OY
Sat 10/18 Temple at Charlotte-10.047.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 10/25 Temple at Tulsa-4.552.5W 38 - 37ON
Sat 11/1 Temple vs East Carolina+5.558.5L 14 - 45ON
Sat 11/8 Temple at Army+7.545.5L 13 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Temple vs Tulane+7.554.5L 13 - 37UN
Fri 11/28 Temple at North Texas+20.065.5L 25 - 52ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Temple's Schedule
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Texas vs Lamar-27.563.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-12.056.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-6.557.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army-2.550.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama-13.563.5W 36 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida-2.568.5L 36 - 63ON
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA-4.064.5W 55 - 17OY
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-25.560.5W 54 - 20OY
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy-6.568.5W 31 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-17.569.5W 53 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-18.557.0W 56 - 24OY
Fri 11/28 North Texas vs Temple-20.065.5W 52 - 25OY
Fri 12/5 North Texas at Tulane-1.566.5L 21 - 34UN
Sat 12/27 North Texas vs San Diego State-7.555.5W 49 - 47ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 5, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEM#128 (.04)32% (132)27.832% (133)2.58 (127)9333% (127)2163.57 (97)#100 (.23)41% (63)29.743% (67)40% (63)4.18 (106)45.121.3
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)45.140% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)26.547% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEM Offense1227.831.832.4%3.57216309932162.945%55%32%33%20%.04
UNT Defense1326.52244.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEM Defense1229.728.741.2%4.181.3 - - - - - 57%42%43%40%12%.23
UNT Offense1345.145.742.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Temple1230:1215.632%42%5.645.121.33.81.2128.2
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEM Offense1245% (107)32% (133)32.193.32.910 (122)-.04 (128)2.58 (127)71% (86)13% (123)0.94 (81)
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEM Defense1257% (128)43% (67) - - - - .23 (119)3.18 (94)78% (100)7% (126)1.17 (126)
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEM Offense1255% (30)33% (127)20.234.32166.310.716 (87)14 (115).13 (116)1.7 (38)39% (132)23% (129).18 (112)7% (105)2.1 (48)
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEM Defense1242% (8)40% (63) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (84)1.6 (79)30% (100)29% (48).29 (62)5% (105)1.9 (41)
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)

Temple's Power Ratings
Temple's Power Rating: -13.99  #115
Temple's Offense Rating: 13.54  #66
Temple's Defense Rating: 27.53  #135
2025 Talent Rating: 522.00  #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Temple's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Temple's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #88
Temple's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #68
Temple's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Temple: -13.99   North Texas: 6.505

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Temple: -5.1   North Texas: 13.8




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 6.505  #80
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.55  #65
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.34  #100
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 2.4
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Temple Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Temple's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 40
Temple 24


Projected Total Points: 65
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28North Texas52Temple25North Texas -20.0North Texas65.5Over
202411/30Temple17North Texas24North Texas -10.5Temple63.5Under
202310/14North Texas45Temple14North Texas -8North Texas65.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas321 Overs
Temple012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 13 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 20 - 30 - 10 - 2

(#115) TEM at (#80) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEMUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #115 #80
SP+SP+ #88 #22
Perf GradeGrade #79 #9
OffenseOff #39 #3
DefenseDef #121 #39
Spec TeamsST #94 #55
TalentTal #114 #91
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Temple Notes
(10/20) QB Evan Simon has 16 TDs and 0 INTs thru 7 games!
(10/19) Only losses to Navy & paycheck games, Off been good
(10/12) Box score W in Navy L, OG'd mids by 120 yds. Oof
(10/12) Fringe bowl team, incredible job by staff
(9/24) Keeler looks like a HC that plays to cover
(8/30) Blasted UMass, Off good, QB Simon 6 TDs!
(7/13) QB1? Chiccitt (RMU), Simon, McCoy (Tx St)
(3/24) HC Keeler incredible hire for Temple
(3/24) RB bad LY, Ducker (SHSU) added, Smith exp'd
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. Jones/Adams some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, 2 more w/ exp. Need better
(3/24) Def awful LY, 8 portal adds. New DC
Temple Injury Report
North Texas Notes
(12/6) Caleb Hawkins inj in MWC title game was huge
(12/2) Hired HC Neal Brown after Morris leaves for Ok St
(11/28) 600+ yds of Off in Temple W. NT in the AAC Title Game
(10/24) 37-0 closing run vs Char, Mestemaker 600+ yds
(10/10) UNT has allowed 200+ yds rushing 3 straight games
(10/9) NT Fatafehi Vailea II out for season, big loss
(10/9) DBs much better than F7, DL issues esp vs run
(10/8) Best Tackling grade via PFF into USF game
(9/19) Off on a tear, rFr QB Mestemaker brilliant start
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
North Texas Injury Report
Temple on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #39 #39
SuccessSuc #132 #98
ExplosiveExp #29 #62
PPAPPA #128 #98
PowerPwr #66 #100
SP+SP+ #68 #78
Pts POPPO #97 #93
HavocHav #125 #133
Temple Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUNT Def
Run GameRun #76 #75
Run SuccessRSuc #133 #106
Run ExplRExp #81 #54
PPAExp #128 #102
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLY #127 #111
Stuff RateStuff #111 #116
TackleTak -  #3
Temple Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUNT Def
Pass GamePass #73 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #127 #79
Pass ExplPExl #38 #94
PPAExp #116 #98
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #42 #83
F7 HavocF7 #123 #128
DB HavocDB #105 #128
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffTEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #121
SuccessSuc #70 #63
ExplosiveExp #4 #108
PPAPPA #45 #100
PowerPwr #65 #135
SP+SP+ #1 #109
Pts POPPO #69 #106
HavocHav #47 #126
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffTEM Def
Run GameRun #4 #106
Run SuccessRSuc #109 #67
Run ExplRExp #4 #126
PPAExp #44 #119
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLY #111 #94
Stuff RateStuff #107 #109
TackleTak -  #66
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffTEM Def
Pass GamePass #11 #119
Pass SuccessPSuc #39 #63
Pass ExplPExl #60 #79
PPAExp #64 #84
Pass Block/RushP Blk #17 #86
F7 HavocF7 #51 #126
DB HavocDB #71 #105
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

TEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 14
North Texas -20.0 (65.5)
North Texas won vs Temple this year (52-25)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Temple last year (52-25)
North Texas beat Temple in 2024 (24-17)
North Texas beat Temple in 2023 (45-14)

  
TEM's OC Tyler Walker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Simon19031461%20982526.7
Gevani McCoy (Tr)243373%256207.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevyon Ducker15780975.255
Hunter Smith (Tr)6240326.572
Evan Simon7519122.534
Keveun Mason2816716.029
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jovanni Bermudez39501412.838
Kajiya Hollawayne39489612.546
Peter Clarke30483616.150
Colin Chase (Tr)40414410.442

View Temple's Full Roster

TEM's DC Brian Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Curly Ordonez698113
Avery Powell (Tr)541001
Jaylen Castleberry (Tr)451007
Eric Stuart442010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Stewart3211541
Sekou Kromah145301
Curly Ordonez698113
Charles Calhoun113120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Castleberry (Tr)451007
Ben Osueke300007
Curly Ordonez698113

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker31946569%43693499.4
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins2311424256.251
Makenzie McGill7538955.227
Ashton Gray5837756.551
Kiefer Sibley4527456.145
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young7012641018.184
Cameron Dorner55886816.177
Miles Coleman47550211.759
Landon Sides34449113.260

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski1139260
Trey Fields (Tr)1007162
Will Jones II (Tr)824012
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Ethan Day (Tr)547580
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Joshua Pierce (Tr)142210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)483016
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)434104