Lamar at North Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Lamar logo Lamar Cardinals at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -27.5 (63.5) (0)  Open: -24.5 | 63.5
North Texas 51 - Lamar: 0

 
Cardinals (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 51 (0 - 51 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: North Texas -6.5  (SP+ UNT -14)
UNT Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
Mean Green (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 2.4 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Lamar's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Lamar at North Texas+27.563.5L 0 - 51UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lamar's Schedule
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Texas vs Lamar-27.563.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-12.056.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-6.557.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army-2.550.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama-13.563.5W 36 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida-2.568.5L 36 - 63ON
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA-4.064.5W 55 - 17OY
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-25.560.5W 54 - 20OY
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy-6.568.5W 31 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-17.569.5W 53 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-18.557.0W 56 - 24OY
Fri 11/28 North Texas vs Temple-20.065.5W 52 - 25OY
Fri 12/5 North Texas at Tulane-1.566.5L 21 - 34UN
Sat 12/27 North Texas vs San Diego State-7.555.5W 49 - 47ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAM0%00%000%000%510%0%0000
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)45.140% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)26.547% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAM Offense1000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNT Defense1326.52244.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAM Defense151510%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNT Offense1345.145.742.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lamar10:000NAN%0%0000000100
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAM Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAM Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAM Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAM Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)

Lamar's Power Ratings
Lamar's Power Rating: NR
Lamar's Offense Rating: NR
Lamar's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Lamar's 2025 Expected Record: -
Lamar's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Lamar's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Lamar's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Lamar:    North Texas: 6.505

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lamar:    North Texas: 13.8




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 6.505  #80
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.55  #65
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.34  #100
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 2.4
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Lamar Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 51 PPG
Defense on Road: 51

Lamar's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 34
Lamar 28

Projected Total Points: 62
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30North Texas51Lamar0North Texas -27.5North Texas63.5Under
201709/02North Texas59Lamar14North Texas -18North Texas0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas220 Overs
Lamar001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) LAM at (#80) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLAMUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #80
SP+SP+NR #22
Perf GradeGradeNR #9
OffenseOffNR #3
DefenseDefNR #39
Spec TeamsSTNR #55
TalentTalNR #91
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
North Texas Notes
(12/6) Caleb Hawkins inj in MWC title game was huge
(12/2) Hired HC Neal Brown after Morris leaves for Ok St
(11/28) 600+ yds of Off in Temple W. NT in the AAC Title Game
(10/24) 37-0 closing run vs Char, Mestemaker 600+ yds
(10/10) UNT has allowed 200+ yds rushing 3 straight games
(10/9) NT Fatafehi Vailea II out for season, big loss
(10/9) DBs much better than F7, DL issues esp vs run
(10/8) Best Tackling grade via PFF into USF game
(9/19) Off on a tear, rFr QB Mestemaker brilliant start
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
North Texas Injury Report
Lamar on Offense
CategoryCat
LAM OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #39
SuccessSucNR #98
ExplosiveExpNR #62
PPAPPANR #98
PowerPwrNR #100
SP+SP+NR #78
Pts POPPONR #93
HavocHavNR #133
Lamar Run Game
CategoryCat
LAM OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNR #75
Run SuccessRSucNR #106
Run ExplRExpNR #54
PPAExpNR #102
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #111
Stuff RateStuffNR #116
TackleTak -  #3
Lamar Pass Game
CategoryCat
LAM OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNR #17
Pass SuccessPSucNR #79
Pass ExplPExlNR #94
PPAExpNR #98
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #83
F7 HavocF7NR #128
DB HavocDBNR #128
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffLAM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3NR
SuccessSuc #70NR
ExplosiveExp #4NR
PPAPPA #45NR
PowerPwr #65NR
SP+SP+ #1NR
Pts POPPO #69NR
HavocHav #47NR
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffLAM Def
Run GameRun #4NR
Run SuccessRSuc #109NR
Run ExplRExp #4NR
PPAExp #44NR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLY #111NR
Stuff RateStuff #107NR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffLAM Def
Pass GamePass #11NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #39NR
Pass ExplPExl #60NR
PPAExp #64NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #17NR
F7 HavocF7 #51NR
DB HavocDB #71NR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LAM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 1
North Texas -27.5 (63.5)
North Texas won vs Lamar this year (51-0)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Lamar last year (51-0)

  
LAM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aiden McCown11219458%14361067.4
Robert Coleman6710862%585325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Coleman11454234.838
LaDamian McDowell5532826.054
Aiden McCown7622543.023
James Major Bowden4920314.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyndon Fuselier4541949.331
Izaha Jones24327213.677
Blake Thomas15289319.385
JaCorey Hyder16221213.834

View Lamar's Full Roster

LAM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kristian Pugh60000
Brayden Faulkner61010
Paul Omodia50002
Ronnie Hamrick II52000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kristian Pugh60000
Etelridge McKinney21000
Josh Robinson10000
James Major Bowden10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Paul Omodia50002
Jordan James00001
Edward Gilds20000

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker31946569%43693499.4
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins2311424256.251
Makenzie McGill7538955.227
Ashton Gray5837756.551
Kiefer Sibley4527456.145
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young7012641018.184
Cameron Dorner55886816.177
Miles Coleman47550211.759
Landon Sides34449113.260

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski1139260
Trey Fields (Tr)1007162
Will Jones II (Tr)824012
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Ethan Day (Tr)547580
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Joshua Pierce (Tr)142210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)483016
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)434104