Lamar at North Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview

Lamar Cardinals at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -27.5 (63.5) (0) Open: -24.5 | 63.5
North Texas 51 - Lamar: 0

Cardinals (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 51 (0 - 51 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: North Texas -7 (SP+ UNT -1)
UNT Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Mean Green (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (55 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
LAM Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Lamar's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Lamar at North Texas	+27.5	63.5	L 0 - 51	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lamar's Schedule

North Texas's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	North Texas vs Lamar	-27.5	63.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	North Texas at Western Michigan	-12.0	56.0	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/13	North Texas vs Washington State	-6.5	57.5	W 59 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/20	North Texas at Army	-2.5	52.5
Sat 9/27	North Texas vs South Alabama	-13
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10	North Texas vs South Florida	-3.5
Sat 10/18	North Texas vs UTSA	-7
Fri 10/24	North Texas at Charlotte	-19
Sat 11/1	North Texas vs Navy	-5.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	North Texas at UAB	-16.5
Sat 11/22	North Texas at Rice	-12.5
Sat 11/29	North Texas vs Temple	-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LAM		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	51	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT	#18 (.4)	46% (49)	47.7	50% (40)	3.45 (28)	159	45% (57)	267	5.7 (6)	#14 (-.06)	33% (26)	13.3	35% (35)	30% (19)	2.25 (23)	48.7	0.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LAM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LAM Offense	1	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNT Defense	3	13.3	5	33.1%	2.25	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	64%	36%	35%	30%	15%	-.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LAM Defense	1	51	51	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNT Offense	3	47.7	55	46.5%	5.7	0.3	24	426	159	267	4.8	41%	57%	50%	45%	12%	.4

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Lamar	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
North Texas	3	28:27	24.3	50%	67%	5.3	48.7	0.3	2.3	6.3	2.3	0	39.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LAM Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
UNT Defense	3	64% (130)	35% (35)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (44)	2.44 (38)	73% (75)	11% (48)	1.01 (82)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LAM Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
UNT Offense	3	41% (121)	50% (40)	33.3	159.3	4.8	9 (17)	.42 (9)	3.45 (28)	57% (114)	8% (56)	1.28 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LAM Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNT Defense	3	36% (7)	30% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (12)	-.13 (12)	1.4 (34)	37% (29)	30% (77)	.19 (55)	3% (118)	1.7 (39)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LAM Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNT Offense	3	57% (20)	45% (57)	23.7	33.7	266.7	7.9	11.3	9 (13)	0 (1)	.42 (40)	1.6 (61)	24% (18)	46% (12)	.8 (10)	4% (45)	1.9 (88)

Lamar's Power Ratings
Lamar's Power Rating: #NR
Lamar's Offense Rating: #NR
Lamar's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Lamar's 2025 Expected Record: -
Lamar's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lamar's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lamar's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Lamar: North Texas: 7.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lamar: North Texas: 1.2

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 7.24 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Lamar Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 51 PPG
Defense on Road: 51

Lamar's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 33
Lamar 26

Total Points: 60

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	North Texas	51	Lamar	0	North Texas	North Texas -27.5	North Texas	63.5	Under
2017	09/02	North Texas	59	Lamar	14	North Texas	North Texas -18	North Texas	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	2	2	0 Overs
Lamar	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#NR) Lamar Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Lamar Highlights

Lamar Deficiencies
Lamar has a really bad Offense
Lamar Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	UNT	LAM
OverallOver	#10	—
OffenseOff	#27	—
DefenseDef	#14	—
Special TeamsST	#39	—
PassingPass	#8	—
RushingRush	#25	—
Run BlockRBLK	#47	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#45	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#46	—
TacklingTkl	#4	—
Run DefenseR Def	#18	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#68	—
Coverage DefCov	#14	—

Rematch from Week 1
North Texas -27.5 (63.5)
North Texas won vs Lamar this year (51-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LAM | UNT
Depth Chart: LAM | UNT
Rosters: LAM | UNT

(#59) North Texas Info
Power Rating: 7.24 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC

North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated
North Texas is Undefeated at Home
North Texas is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

North Texas Deficiencies

Lamar's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aiden McCown	12	25	48%	81	0	1	3.2
Robert Coleman	13	24	54%	88	0	1	3.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaDamian McDowell	11	92	0	8.4	18
Aiden McCown	9	59	1	6.6	13
Xavier Coleman	13	58	0	4.5	11
James Major Bowden	7	30	0	4.3	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Kyndon Fuselier	7	64	9.1	18
Devyn Gibbs	4	35	8.8	22
Jaydn Girard	2	21	10.5	16
Jayden Boyd	2	16	8.0	8

View Lamar's Full Roster

Lamar's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kristian Pugh	6	0	0	0
Brayden Faulkner	6	1	1	0
Paul Omodia	5	0	0	2
Ronnie Hamrick II	5	2	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kristian Pugh	6	0	0	0	0
Jamarion Evans	2	0	0	0	0
Sean Connor	1	0	0	0	0
James Major Bowden	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Paul Omodia	5	0	2
Jordan James	0	0	1
Etelridge McKinney	2	1	0

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Mestemaker	66	94	70%	764	9	0	8.1
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)	5	7	71%	36	0	0	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makenzie McGill	31	170	3	5.5	27
Jayden Becks (Tr)	16	78	2	4.9	16
Kiefer Sibley	13	76	2	5.8	30
Caleb Hawkins	13	68	1	5.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Young	10	160	2	16.0	46
Cameron Dorner	9	121	2	13.4	25
Miles Coleman	11	108	0	9.8	24
Simeon Evans (Tr)	7	90	0	12.9	30

View North Texas's Full Roster

North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Shane Whitter	25	1	0	3
Trey Fields (Tr)	19	2	0	0
Ethan Wesloski	16	4	1	0
Ethan Day (Tr)	12	2	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)	4	3	3	0
Ethan Day (Tr)	12	2	2	1
Zhaiylen Scott	8	1	1	2
Joshua Pierce (Tr)	2	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Quinton Hammonds	10	1	1
Bryan Allen Jr.	4	0	1
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)	8	1	1