New Mexico at Colorado State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 25th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Colorado State -7.5 (36.0)
Colorado State 17 - New Mexico: 0 (Mountain West)

Lobos (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Danny Gonzales (5 - 14)
Avg Score : 13 - 26 (7 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CSU is playing their 8th straight game
UNM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ CSU -5)
Projected Score: UNM: 16 - CSU: 22 (38)
CSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 389 miles

Rams (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 13 - 27 (15 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico vs Maine	-6.0	42.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Fri 9/9	New Mexico vs Boise State	+17.0	43.5	L 14 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico vs UTEP	+2.0	38.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico at LSU	+31.5	44.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 9/30	New Mexico at UNLV	+14.0	44.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	New Mexico vs Wyoming	+3.0	37.0	L 14 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-7.0	38.5	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+9.5	40.0	L 9 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	New Mexico at Utah State	+14.5	42.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	New Mexico at Air Force	+21.0	37.5	L 3 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/18	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+15.0	36.0	L 10 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/25	New Mexico at Colorado State	+7.5	36.0	L 0 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Colorado State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Colorado State at Michigan	+31.0	60.5	L 7 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado State vs Middle Tennessee	-13.5	58.0	L 19 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado State at Washington State	+17.0	51.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Colorado State vs Sacramento State	+4.5	59.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7	Colorado State at Nevada	+3.5	44.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Colorado State vs Utah State	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-6.0	46.0	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/29	Colorado State at Boise State	+25.0	42.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/5	Colorado State at San José State	+24.0	44.5	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Colorado State vs Wyoming	+8.5	42.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Colorado State at Air Force	+22.0	43.0	L 12 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-7.5	36.0	W 17 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	-.06	33%	13.1	39%	2.97	121	25%	106	3.04	.17	43%	26	47%	40%	3.55	51.2	1.2	1.9
CSU	.05	34%	13.2	36%	2.91	89	32%	197	1.96	.16	43%	26.9	44%	43%	4.24	60.4	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	12	13.1	7	33%	3.04	1.2	13	227	121	106	3.3	57%	41%	39%	25%	24%	-.06
CSU Defense	12	26.9	19.8	43.1%	4.24	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	44%	43%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	12	26	28.2	43.2%	3.55	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	40%	17%	.17
CSU Offense	12	13.2	14.8	33.7%	1.96	1.6	15	286	89	197	2.8	46%	54%	36%	32%	24%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	12	28:57	13.1	22%	29%	6.1	51.2	1.2	1.9	5.2	2.1	2	28.8
Colorado State	12	29:28	14.7	23%	39%	6.9	60.4	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.8	2	28.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	12	57%	39%	36.5	121.3	3.3	12	.06	2.97	56%	17%	0.92
CSU Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.1	77%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.17	77%	10%	0.92
CSU Offense	12	46%	36%	32.1	89	2.8	4	.04	2.91	61%	18%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.5	21.3	105.5	5	9.2	3	9	-.15	1.2	35%	18%	.01	6%	1.9
CSU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.4	31%	30%	.25	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	27%	23%	.1	7%	1.9
CSU Offense	12	54%	32%	16.9	26.8	196.8	7.3	11.6	12	11	.08	1.8	39%	23%	.21	6%	2.4

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.9 #132
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 6.0 #133
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: Colorado State: -8.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -26.9 Colorado State: -22.2

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -8.6 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.2 #126
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.8 #131
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 13.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2

New Mexico's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 22
New Mexico 16

Total Points: 38

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado State 23
New Mexico 14

Total Points: 37

Based on Entire Season
Colorado State 21
New Mexico 17

Total Points: 38

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 13.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 14.8
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Colorado State's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	New Mexico	20	Colorado State	17	New Mexico -15.5	Colorado State	53.5	Under
2024	10/26	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	6	Colorado State -3.5	Colorado State	62.0	Under
2022	11/25	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	0	Colorado State -7.5	Colorado State	36.0	Under
2021	10/16	New Mexico	7	Colorado State	36	Colorado State -13	Colorado State	44.5	Under
2019	10/11	New Mexico	21	Colorado State	35	Colorado State -4	Colorado State	66.5	Under
2018	10/13	Colorado State	20	New Mexico	18	New Mexico -1.5	Colorado State	63.0	Under
2017	10/20	New Mexico	24	Colorado State	27	Colorado State -10	New Mexico	61.0	Under
2016	11/19	Colorado State	49	New Mexico	31	Colorado State -5	Colorado State	61.5	Over
2015	11/21	New Mexico	21	Colorado State	28	Colorado State -2	Colorado State	56.5	Under
2014	11/22	Colorado State	58	New Mexico	20	Colorado State -21	Colorado State	0
2013	11/16	New Mexico	42	Colorado State	66	Colorado State -4	Colorado State	0
2012	11/24	Colorado State	24	New Mexico	20
2011	09/03	New Mexico	10	Colorado State	14
2010	10/30	Colorado State	38	New Mexico	14
2009	11/21	New Mexico	29	Colorado State	27
2008	11/15	Colorado State	20	New Mexico	6
2007	11/10	New Mexico	26	Colorado State	23
2006	10/28	Colorado State	19	New Mexico	20
2005	10/28	New Mexico	25	Colorado State	35
2004	10/30	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	26
2003	11/07	New Mexico	37	Colorado State	34
2001	11/17	New Mexico	17	Colorado State	24
2000	10/06	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	17	10	1 Overs
New Mexico	6	1	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 10	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 13	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4

(#) UNM at (#) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#132	#126
Perf GradeGrade	#134	#117
OffenseOff	#136	#133
DefenseDef	#117	#40
Spec TeamsST	#71	#121
TalentTal	#122	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#40
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#133	#77
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#132	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#123	#19
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#122	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#131
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 59° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Colorado State -7.5 (36.0)
Colorado State won vs New Mexico this year (17-0)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat New Mexico last year (17-6)
Colorado State beat New Mexico in 2022 (17-0)

UNM's OC Derek Warehime (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD