Western Michigan at Ball State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, September 10th 2022 (2:00 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -6.5 (51.5)
Western Michigan 37 - Ball State: 30 (Mid-American)

Broncos (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (32 - 25)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WMU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ BALL -2)
Projected Score: WMU: 24 - BALL: 20 (44)
WMU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WMU Travel: 143 miles

Cardinals (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (28 - 41)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Western Michigan at Michigan State	+22.0	54.5	L 13 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Western Michigan at Ball State	-6.5	51.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Western Michigan vs Pittsburgh	+10.0	46.0	L 13 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/24	Western Michigan at San José State	+6.5	49.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Western Michigan vs New Hampshire	-15.0	52.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-4.5	55.5	L 23 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/15	Western Michigan vs Ohio	-2.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/22	Western Michigan at Miami (OH)	+7.0	44.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	+5.0	48.0	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/9	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+1.0	49.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/16	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	+10.0	49.0	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Western Michigan vs Toledo	+8.5	50.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Ball State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Ball State at Tennessee	+37.0	66.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+6.5	51.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Murray State	-21.0	53.0	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Georgia Southern	+9.5	67.0	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.5	58.5	W 44 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+7.5	63.0	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State vs UConn	-9.5	47.5	W 25 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	57.5	L 16 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State at Kent State	+7.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Tue 11/8	Ball State at Toledo	+11.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Ball State vs Ohio	+3.5	57.5	L 18 - 32	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+2.5	45.0	L 17 - 18	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.31	50%	24.9	52%	3.54	214	47%	254	4.16	.22	39%	17.4	43%	35%	3.72	58.9	1.2	1.3
BALL	.13	41%	15.8	41%	3.03	130	41%	208	3.68	.25	49%	29.8	47%	54%	3.93	40.8	0.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	13	24.9	18.3	49.9%	4.16	1.2	25	468	214	254	4.7	58%	42%	52%	47%	13%	.31
BALL Defense	13	29.8	21.6	49.4%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	54%	13%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	13	17.4	21.7	38.9%	3.72	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	35%	22%	.22
BALL Offense	13	15.8	24.4	40.5%	3.68	0.9	19	337	130	208	3.8	48%	51%	41%	41%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	13	35:17	24.8	46%	46%	6.8	58.9	1.2	1.3	7.5	3.3	2	28.2
Ball State	13	27:39	19.1	40%	52%	4.9	40.8	0.9	1.5	5.3	1.8	1	30.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	13	58%	52%	45.4	214.1	4.7	31	.28	3.54	67%	8%	0.93
BALL Defense	13	54%	47%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.27	78%	9%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.82	71%	16%	1.17
BALL Offense	13	48%	41%	34.2	129.6	3.8	17	.14	3.03	75%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	13	42%	47%	17.9	28.3	253.6	9	14.2	23	6	.4	1.7	25%	35%	.47	6%	2.2
BALL Defense	13	45%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.4	1.3	27%	31%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.23	1.8	35%	26%	.22	6%	2
BALL Offense	13	51%	41%	20.5	33.8	207.6	6.1	10.1	18	7	.14	1.4	33%	29%	.17	6%	1.8

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #121
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.2 #129
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: Ball State: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -17.3 Ball State: -14.9

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 24
Ball State 20

Projected Total Points: 44

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Western Michigan	42	Ball State	0	Western Michigan -9.5	Western Michigan	43.5	Under
2024	10/05	Ball State	42	Western Michigan	45	Western Michigan -10	Ball State	57.5	Over
2023	09/30	Western Michigan	42	Ball State	24	Western Michigan -1.5	Western Michigan	50.0	Over
2022	09/10	Ball State	30	Western Michigan	37	Western Michigan -6.5	Western Michigan	51.5	Over
2021	10/09	Western Michigan	20	Ball State	45	Western Michigan -13	Ball State	57.5	Over
2020	12/12	Ball State	30	Western Michigan	27	Western Michigan -2	Ball State	66.5	Under
2019	11/05	Western Michigan	35	Ball State	31	Western Michigan -6.5	Ball State	64.0	Over
2018	11/13	Ball State	42	Western Michigan	41	Western Michigan -10	Ball State	58.0	Over
2017	09/30	Western Michigan	55	Ball State	3	Western Michigan -13	Western Michigan	53.5	Over
2016	11/01	Ball State	20	Western Michigan	52	Western Michigan -16	Western Michigan	64.5	Over
2015	11/05	Western Michigan	54	Ball State	7	Western Michigan -13.5	Western Michigan	62.0	Under
2014	10/11	Ball State	38	Western Michigan	42	Ball State -6	Western Michigan	0
2013	10/19	Western Michigan	17	Ball State	38	Ball State -21	NA	0
2012	10/13	Ball State	30	Western Michigan	24
2011	10/29	Western Michigan	45	Ball State	35
2010	10/09	Ball State	16	Western Michigan	45
2009	11/24	Western Michigan	17	Ball State	22
2008	11/25	Ball State	45	Western Michigan	22
2007	10/20	Western Michigan	23	Ball State	27
2006	10/21	Ball State	27	Western Michigan	41
2005	10/08	Western Michigan	57	Ball State	60
2004	09/25	Ball State	41	Western Michigan	14
2003	11/08	Western Michigan	28	Ball State	20
2002	11/02	Ball State	17	Western Michigan	7
2001	11/24	Western Michigan	31	Ball State	35
2000	11/03	Ball State	3	Western Michigan	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	12	5	8 Overs
Western Michigan	14	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	7 - 5	4 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 13	5 - 7	2 - 3	3 - 4

(#) WMU at (#) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	BALL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#85
OffenseOff	#111	#86
DefenseDef	#20	#76
Spec TeamsST	#94	#87
TalentTal	#97	#121
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Michigan Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BALL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#127	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#91	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#34	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#56
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#87	#11
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Western Michigan 6.5 (51.5)
Western Michigan won at Ball State this year (37-30)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Ball State last year (42-0)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2024 (45-42)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (42-24)

WMU's OC Eric Evans (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD