Ohio at Western Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 15th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -2 (61.5)
Ohio 33 - Western Michigan: 14  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Tim Albin (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (24 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15 MPH
WMU 3rd straight Home Game
WMU is playing their 7th straight game
OHIO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ OHIO -12.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 28 - WMU: 28 (56)
WMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
OHIO Travel: 275 miles
Broncos (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (32 - 25)
Avg Score : 19 - 24 (23 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Florida Atlantic+6.051.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Penn State+28.055.0L 10 - 46ON
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Iowa State+20.048.0L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Fordham-16.573.5W 59 - 52ON
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Kent State+13.065.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Akron-10.058.5W 55 - 34OY
Sat 10/15 Ohio at Western Michigan+2.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Ohio vs Northern Illinois+2.565.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Ohio vs Buffalo+2.561.0W 45 - 24OY
Tue 11/8 Ohio at Miami (OH)-2.552.0W 37 - 21OY
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Ball State-3.557.5W 32 - 18UY
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Bowling Green-5.552.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 12/3 Ohio vs Toledo+3.554.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 12/30 Ohio vs Wyoming-3.043.0W 30 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Western Michigan at Michigan State+22.054.5L 13 - 35UY
Sat 9/10 Western Michigan at Ball State-6.551.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/17 Western Michigan vs Pittsburgh+10.046.0L 13 - 34ON
Sat 9/24 Western Michigan at San José State+6.549.0L 6 - 34UN
Sat 10/1 Western Michigan vs New Hampshire-15.052.5W 44 - 7UY
Sat 10/8 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-4.555.5L 23 - 45ON
Sat 10/15 Western Michigan vs Ohio-2.061.5L 14 - 33UN
Sat 10/22 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+7.044.0W 16 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2 Western Michigan at Bowling Green+5.048.0L 9 - 13UY
Wed 11/9 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois+1.049.0L 21 - 24UN
Wed 11/16 Western Michigan at Central Michigan+10.049.0W 12 - 10UY
Fri 11/25 Western Michigan vs Toledo+8.550.5W 20 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2344%31.842%2.9414347%2783.83.2243%28.341%46%3.8244.10.92.2
WMU.0634%1934%2.8713635%1662.79.1944%24.147%42%3.3862.91.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1431.824.344.3%3.830.9214221432784.149%50%42%47%15%.23
WMU Defense1224.126.243.8%3.382.3 - - - - - 52%47%47%42%21%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1428.328.843.4%3.822.2 - - - - - 43%56%41%46%18%.22
WMU Offense121922.534.1%2.791.8173021361663.552%46%34%35%23%.06

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1432:0920.742%35%4.944.10.92.25.92.6131.2
Western Michigan1230:2516.631%48%6.762.91.82.36.72.6328.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1449%42%35.2143.44.123.112.9473%10%0.91
WMU Defense1252%47% - - - - .153.1379%14%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1443%41% - - - - .122.8766%12%1.11
WMU Offense1252%34%38.8136.33.514.032.8768%15%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1450%47%21.633.1278.18.412.9285.371.632%34%.425%2
WMU Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.271.731%31%.267%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1456%46% - - - - - - 12.331.533%33%.376%2.1
WMU Offense1246%35%13.927.9165.75.911.91013.181.739%23%.259%2.3

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Western Michigan: -6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -4.6   Western Michigan: -17.3




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -6.15 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3  #121
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.2  #129
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Ohio's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 28
Western Michigan 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 31
Ohio 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 27
Western Michigan 25

Total Points: 52
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

Western Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/11Western Michigan17Ohio13Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan46.5Under
202310/21Ohio20Western Michigan17Ohio -16.5Western Michigan52.0Under
202210/15Western Michigan14Ohio33Western Michigan -2Ohio61.5Under
201911/12Ohio34Western Michigan37Ohio -1.5Western Michigan63.5Over
201811/01Western Michigan14Ohio59Ohio -3Ohio65.0Over
201612/02Ohio23Western Michigan29Western Michigan -17Ohio58.0Under
201510/17Ohio14Western Michigan49Ohio -4Western Michigan53.5Over
201410/25Western Michigan42Ohio21Western Michigan -8Western Michigan0
200810/04Western Michigan41Ohio20
200610/07Ohio27Western Michigan20
200309/27Ohio32Western Michigan39
200009/29Western Michigan23Ohio10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan853 Overs
Ohio434 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 52 - 41 - 1
Road Teams6 - 65 - 31 - 14 - 2

(#) OHIO at (#) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #86 #121
Perf GradeGrade #66 #78
OffenseOff #25 #111
DefenseDef #120 #20
Spec TeamsST #47 #94
TalentTal #119 #97
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #20
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #62 #22
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #60 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #12 #56
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #11
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #111 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #127 #92
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #56 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #121 #124
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #91 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Western Michigan -2.0 (61.5)
Ohio won at Western Michigan this year (33-14)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2023 (20-17)
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2022 (33-14)

  
OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WMU's OC Eric Evans (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD