Tulsa at Navy - 2022 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, October 8th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tulsa -4.5 (45.5)
Navy 53 - Tulsa: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Philip Montgomery (38 - 46)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ TLSA -1)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - NAVY: 32 (55)
TLSA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TLSA Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (104 - 74)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa at Wyoming-6.547.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Tulsa vs Northern Illinois-6.563.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs Jacksonville State-12.064.0W 54 - 17OY
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Ole Miss+21.066.5L 27 - 35UY
Sat 10/1 Tulsa vs Cincinnati+10.059.0L 21 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Tulsa at Navy-4.545.5L 21 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Tulsa at Temple-13.553.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Tulsa vs SMU+1.063.5L 34 - 45ON
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs Tulane+6.556.0L 13 - 27UN
Thu 11/10 Tulsa at Memphis+7.062.0L 10 - 26UN
Fri 11/18 Tulsa vs South Florida-14.057.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 11/26 Tulsa at Houston+13.066.5W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Navy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Delaware-13.048.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/10 Navy vs Memphis+4.547.5L 13 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Navy at East Carolina+16.548.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+14.038.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Tulsa+4.545.5W 53 - 21OY
Fri 10/14 Navy at SMU+12.559.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Houston+3.051.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/29 Navy vs Temple-14.541.5W 27 - 20ON
Sat 11/5 Navy at Cincinnati+18.543.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Notre Dame+17.040.5L 32 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at UCF+14.553.0W 17 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-2.532.0L 17 - 20ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1443%23.242%2.9119244%2503.51.1741%28.944%39%3.7571.51.81.4
NAVY.1237%31.538%2.8922627%573.87.2142%2541%44%3.8735.20.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1323.21942.9%3.511.8234421922504.654%46%42%44%20%.14
NAVY Defense122524.242.4%3.871.3 - - - - - 54%46%41%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1328.930.741.2%3.751.4 - - - - - 52%48%44%39%20%.17
NAVY Offense1231.53836.6%3.870.717283226573.984%15%38%27%14%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1330:5122.639%47%7.571.51.81.45.61.9227.7
Navy1234:4716.737%69%4.435.20.71.35.11.3230.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1354%42%42.21924.620.082.9162%12%0.84
NAVY Defense1254%41% - - - - .132.6871%11%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1352%44% - - - - .142.8972%12%0.97
NAVY Offense1284%38%58.12263.919.152.8978%13%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1346%44%18.731.5250.37.913.41816.221.529%32%.259%1.8
NAVY Defense1246%44% - - - - - - 7.321.632%34%.445%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 11.211.733%31%.377%2.2
NAVY Offense1215%27%48.156.8714.263-.031.830%23%.131%1.9

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #88
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #44
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    Navy: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -6.1   Navy: -7.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #233
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #94
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #106
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 32
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulsa23Navy42Navy -14Navy52.5Over
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21Tulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20Tulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19Tulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45Tulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29Navy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31Navy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40Navy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44Navy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy986 Overs
Tulsa213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 83 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSANAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #88 #94
Perf GradeGrade #88 #109
OffenseOff #78 #87
DefenseDef #88 #121
Spec TeamsST #99 #30
TalentTal #84 #233
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #77 #74
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #44 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #105 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #128 #90
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #112 #60
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #136 #123
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Tulsa 4.5 (45.5)
Navy won vs Tulsa this year (53-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa last year (42-23)

  
TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC Vacant (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD