Notre Dame at Navy - 2022 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo   Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Notre Dame -17 (40.5)
Notre Dame 35 - Navy: 32

 
Fighting Irish (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY is playing their 8th straight game
ND is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9  (SP+ ND -17.5)
Projected Score: ND: 33 - NAVY: 26 (59)
ND Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
ND Travel: 532 miles
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (104 - 74)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Notre Dame at Ohio State+17.058.5L 10 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 Notre Dame vs Marshall-20.548.0L 21 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Notre Dame vs California-13.541.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/24 Notre Dame at North Carolina+2.555.0W 45 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Notre Dame vs BYU-4.051.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 10/15 Notre Dame vs Stanford-16.553.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 10/22 Notre Dame vs UNLV-26.046.5W 44 - 21ON
Sat 10/29 Notre Dame at Syracuse+1.048.0W 41 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Notre Dame vs Clemson+3.543.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Notre Dame vs Navy-17.040.5W 35 - 32ON
Sat 11/19 Notre Dame vs Boston College-20.042.0W 44 - 0OY
Sat 11/26 Notre Dame at USC+4.063.5L 27 - 38ON
Fri 12/30 Notre Dame vs South Carolina-5.050.5W 45 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Navy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Delaware-13.048.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/10 Navy vs Memphis+4.547.5L 13 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Navy at East Carolina+16.548.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+14.038.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Tulsa+4.545.5W 53 - 21OY
Fri 10/14 Navy at SMU+12.559.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Houston+3.051.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/29 Navy vs Temple-14.541.5W 27 - 20ON
Sat 11/5 Navy at Cincinnati+18.543.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Notre Dame+17.040.5L 32 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at UCF+14.553.0W 17 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-2.532.0L 17 - 20ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND.2643%4241%2.8614446%2824.33.139%17.638%40%2.949.41.22.1
NAVY.1237%31.538%2.8922627%573.87.2142%2541%44%3.8735.20.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense134238.243.4%4.331.2224261442824.145%55%41%46%17%.26
NAVY Defense122524.242.4%3.871.3 - - - - - 54%46%41%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1317.61739%2.92.1 - - - - - 48%52%38%40%17%.1
NAVY Offense1231.53836.6%3.870.717283226573.984%15%38%27%14%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1329:5322.242%53%5.649.41.22.16.53.2428.5
Navy1234:4716.737%69%4.435.20.71.35.11.3230.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1345%41%34.7143.74.123.132.8667%11%0.97
NAVY Defense1254%41% - - - - .132.6871%11%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1348%38% - - - - .092.8773%12%1.02
NAVY Offense1284%38%58.12263.919.152.8978%13%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1355%46%22.234.6282.58.212.73010.371.732%34%.436%2.1
NAVY Defense1246%44% - - - - - - 7.321.632%34%.445%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 15.111.434%26%.226%2.1
NAVY Offense1215%27%48.156.8714.263-.031.830%23%.131%1.9

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Notre Dame's 2022 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #56
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #36

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame:    Navy: -3.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 10.3   Navy: -7.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -3.6 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #233
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #94
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #106
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 33
Navy 26

Projected Total Points: 59
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Notre Dame49Navy10Notre Dame -30.5Notre Dame54.5Over
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27Navy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy446 Overs
Notre Dame2184 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#) ND at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #94
Perf GradeGrade #18 #109
OffenseOff #16 #87
DefenseDef #44 #121
Spec TeamsST #6 #30
TalentTal #10 #233
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #58 #74
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #73 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #44
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Run GameRun #128 #53
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffND Def
Pass GamePass #112 #50
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #136 #39
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in M&T Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Notre Dame 17.0 (40.5)
Notre Dame won at Navy this year (35-32)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (49-10)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2024 (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)

  
ND's OC Tommy Rees (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC Vacant (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD