Utah State at BYU - 2022 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at BYU Cougars(#25)BYU logo
Thursday, September 29th 2022 (8:00 PM EDT)
BYU -26 (60.0)
BYU 38 - Utah State: 26

 
Aggies (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (20 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU 2nd straight Home Game
BYU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ BYU -12)
Projected Score: USU: 20 - BYU: 36 (56)
BYU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
USU Travel: 104 miles
Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (48 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (36 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Utah State vs UConn-24.059.0W 31 - 20UN
Sat 9/3 Utah State at Alabama+42.063.0L 0 - 55UN
Sat 9/10 Utah State vs Weber State-6.559.5L 7 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Utah State vs UNLV+3.061.5L 24 - 34UN
Thu 9/29 Utah State at BYU+26.060.0L 26 - 38OY
Sat 10/8 Utah State vs Air Force+11.554.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/15 Utah State at Colorado State-14.045.5W 17 - 13UN
Sat 10/22 Utah State at Wyoming+5.044.5L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Utah State vs New Mexico-14.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/12 Utah State at Hawai'i-10.055.0W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/19 Utah State vs San José State-1.051.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 11/25 Utah State at Boise State+17.051.5L 23 - 42ON
Tue 12/27 Utah State vs Memphis+8.057.0L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
BYU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU at South Florida-11.058.5W 50 - 21OY
Sat 9/10 BYU vs Baylor-2.554.5W 26 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU at Oregon+3.558.0L 20 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 BYU vs Wyoming-21.550.0W 38 - 24ON
Thu 9/29 BYU vs Utah State-26.060.0W 38 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 BYU vs Notre Dame+4.051.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/15 BYU vs Arkansas-1.066.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 10/22 BYU at Liberty-7.058.0L 14 - 41UN
Fri 10/28 BYU vs East Carolina-3.064.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 BYU at Boise State+9.554.5W 31 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Utah Tech-23
Sat 11/26 BYU at Stanford-6.057.5W 35 - 26OY
Sat 12/17 BYU vs SMU+4.565.0W 24 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU.0738%22.239%3.1315938%1953.15.1741%31.244%39%4.0577.52.11.7
BYU.346%31.346%3.3317646%2504.33.2548%29.550%47%4.6553.20.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1322.220.237.9%3.152.1203541591953.855%44%39%38%17%.07
BYU Defense1329.529.248.3%4.651 - - - - - 53%47%50%47%13%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1331.23541.2%4.051.7 - - - - - 55%44%44%39%17%.17
BYU Offense1331.335.545.6%4.330.8224261762505.252%47%46%46%13%.3

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1328:4719.833%53%8.577.52.11.75.82.7330.4
BYU1329:0921.945%33%5.753.20.813.71.2327.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1355%39%42.2159.33.814.083.1372%9%0.92
BYU Defense1353%50% - - - - .213.5467%7%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1355%44% - - - - .17371%11%1.1
BYU Offense1352%46%33.7176.45.219.233.3369%8%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1344%38%17.730.6195.26.4111821.131.532%26%.088%1.7
BYU Defense1347%47% - - - - - - 8.311.526%39%.576%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 11.261.731%29%.246%2.2
BYU Offense1347%46%19.830.2249.78.312.6327.41.730%33%.425%2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3  #110
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #75
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    BYU: 1.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -13.3   BYU: -1.4




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 1.8 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2022 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #72
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #35
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #103

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Utah State's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 36
Utah State 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 39
Utah State 15

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
BYU 33
Utah State 25

Total Points: 58
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.2

BYU's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/29BYU38Utah State26BYU -26Utah State60.0Over
202110/01Utah State20BYU34BYU -9BYU66.0Under
201911/02Utah State14BYU42Utah State -3BYU51.0Over
201810/05BYU20Utah State45BYU -1Utah State55.0Over
201709/29Utah State40BYU24Utah State -1Utah State48.5Over
201611/26BYU28Utah State10BYU -17BYU51.5Under
201511/28Utah State28BYU51BYU -2BYU51.0Over
201410/03BYU20Utah State35BYU -21Utah State0
201310/04Utah State14BYU31Utah State -6BYU0
201210/05BYU6Utah State3
201109/30BYU27Utah State24
201010/01Utah State31BYU16
200910/02BYU35Utah State17
200810/03Utah State14BYU34
200609/23BYU38Utah State0
200210/04Utah State34BYU35
200110/05BYU54Utah State34
200010/05BYU38Utah State14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU1455 Overs
Utah State442 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 82 - 72 - 50 - 2
Road Teams8 - 107 - 22 - 05 - 2

(#) USU at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUBYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #72
Perf GradeGrade #121 #33
OffenseOff #109 #6
DefenseDef #115 #99
Spec TeamsST #73 #24
TalentTal #116 #107
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCat
USU OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #99
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #103
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #113 #113
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #57
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCat
USU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #115 #63
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #48 #98
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffUSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #6 #115
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffUSU Def
Run GameRun #70 #111
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #82
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePass #18 #110
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #1 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 5
BYU -26.0 (60.0)
BYU won vs Utah State this year (38-26)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Utah State in 2022 (38-26)

  
USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Ilaisa Tuiaki (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD