UNLV at Utah State - 2022 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Saturday, September 24th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -3 (61.5)
UNLV 34 - Utah State: 24  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (2 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (19 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USU coming off BYE
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ UNLV -1.5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 27 - USU: 25 (52)
UNLV Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UNLV Travel: 425 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 UNLV vs Idaho State-23.050.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 9/10 UNLV at California+12.049.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 UNLV vs North Texas-2.562.5W 58 - 27OY
Sat 9/24 UNLV at Utah State-3.061.5W 34 - 24UY
Fri 9/30 UNLV vs New Mexico-14.044.0W 31 - 20ON
Fri 10/7 UNLV at San José State+6.551.5L 7 - 40UN
Sat 10/15 UNLV vs Air Force+10.050.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/22 UNLV at Notre Dame+26.046.5L 21 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 UNLV at San Diego State+5.047.0L 10 - 14UY
Fri 11/11 UNLV vs Fresno State+9.061.5L 30 - 37OY
Sat 11/19 UNLV at Hawai'i-11.056.5L 25 - 31UN
Sat 11/26 UNLV vs Nevada-12.549.0W 27 - 22UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Utah State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Utah State vs UConn-24.059.0W 31 - 20UN
Sat 9/3 Utah State at Alabama+42.063.0L 0 - 55UN
Sat 9/10 Utah State vs Weber State-6.559.5L 7 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Utah State vs UNLV+3.061.5L 24 - 34UN
Thu 9/29 Utah State at BYU+26.060.0L 26 - 38OY
Sat 10/8 Utah State vs Air Force+11.554.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/15 Utah State at Colorado State-14.045.5W 17 - 13UN
Sat 10/22 Utah State at Wyoming+5.044.5L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Utah State vs New Mexico-14.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/12 Utah State at Hawai'i-10.055.0W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/19 Utah State vs San José State-1.051.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 11/25 Utah State at Boise State+17.051.5L 23 - 42ON
Tue 12/27 Utah State vs Memphis+8.057.0L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV.1840%26.345%3.3413737%2153.57.246%28.551%41%3.6257.31.32.1
USU.0738%22.239%3.1315938%1953.15.1741%31.244%39%4.0577.52.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1226.318.540.4%3.571.3183521372154.147%51%45%37%20%.18
USU Defense1331.226.241.2%4.051.7 - - - - - 55%44%44%39%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1228.528.846%3.622.1 - - - - - 53%46%51%41%16%.2
USU Offense1322.226.337.9%3.152.1203541591953.855%44%39%38%17%.07

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1228:4917.633%53%5.857.31.32.14.62.3227.1
Utah State1328:4719.833%53%8.577.52.11.75.82.7330.4
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1247%45%33.6137.34.118.273.3484%14%1.07
USU Defense1355%44% - - - - .17371%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1253%51% - - - - .173.5577%10%0.8
USU Offense1355%39%42.2159.33.814.083.1372%9%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1251%37%18.930.12157.211.4157.171.533%26%.256%2.1
USU Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 11.261.731%29%.246%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 15.331.728%34%.376%2.2
USU Offense1344%38%17.730.6195.26.4111821.131.532%26%.088%1.7

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2022 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #104
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #96
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #99

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV:    Utah State: -4.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -11.9   Utah State: -13.3




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -4.15 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3  #110
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #75
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 28.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

UNLV's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 27
Utah State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 28
Utah State 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 26
Utah State 26

Total Points: 52
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

Utah State's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15UNLV29Utah State26UNLV -4.5Utah State68.5Under
202410/11Utah State34UNLV50UNLV -19Utah State67.5Over
202209/24Utah State24UNLV34UNLV -3UNLV61.5Under
202110/16UNLV24Utah State28Utah State -7.5UNLV64.0Under
201810/13Utah State59UNLV28Utah State -27Utah State65.0Over
201710/21UNLV28Utah State52UNLV -3.5Utah State60.5Over
201410/25Utah State34UNLV20Utah State -18UNLV0
201311/09UNLV24Utah State28Utah State -13UNLV0
201209/29Utah State35UNLV13
200808/30UNLV27Utah State17
200708/30Utah State16UNLV23
200509/24Utah State31UNLV24
200409/25UNLV21Utah State31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State843 Overs
UNLV543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 74 - 41 - 33 - 1
Road Teams7 - 64 - 41 - 33 - 1

(#) UNLV at (#) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #110
Perf GradeGrade #71 #121
OffenseOff #76 #109
DefenseDef #59 #115
Spec TeamsST #71 #73
TalentTal #118 #116
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #76 #115
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUSU Def
Run GameRun #81 #111
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #59 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #82
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUSU Def
Pass GamePass #85 #110
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #57 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCatUSU OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #59
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #113 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCatUSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #115 #78
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #48 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
UNLV 3.0 (61.5)
UNLV won at Utah State this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Utah State last year (50-34)
UNLV beat Utah State in 2022 (34-24)

  
UNLV's OC Nick Holz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD