Tulsa at Ole Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Ole Miss Rebels(#13)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, September 24th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -21 (66.5)
Ole Miss 35 - Tulsa: 27

 
Golden Hurricane (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Philip Montgomery (38 - 46)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (27 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.2° (41% Hum)
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ MISS -22)
Projected Score: TLSA: 25 - MISS: 35 (60)
MISS Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
TLSA Travel: 382 miles
Rebels (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (15 - 8)
Avg Score : 34 - 26 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa at Wyoming-6.547.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Tulsa vs Northern Illinois-6.563.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs Jacksonville State-12.064.0W 54 - 17OY
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Ole Miss+21.066.5L 27 - 35UY
Sat 10/1 Tulsa vs Cincinnati+10.059.0L 21 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Tulsa at Navy-4.545.5L 21 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Tulsa at Temple-13.553.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Tulsa vs SMU+1.063.5L 34 - 45ON
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs Tulane+6.556.0L 13 - 27UN
Thu 11/10 Tulsa at Memphis+7.062.0L 10 - 26UN
Fri 11/18 Tulsa vs South Florida-14.057.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 11/26 Tulsa at Houston+13.066.5W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ole Miss vs Troy-21.556.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/10 Ole Miss vs Central Arkansas-36.561.0W 59 - 3OY
Sat 9/17 Ole Miss at Georgia Tech-17.063.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Ole Miss vs Tulsa-21.066.5W 35 - 27UN
Sat 10/1 Ole Miss vs Kentucky-6.555.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 10/8 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-17.059.5W 52 - 28OY
Sat 10/15 Ole Miss vs Auburn-15.555.5W 48 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Ole Miss at LSU+0.064.0L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/29 Ole Miss at Texas A&M-3.055.5W 31 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Ole Miss vs Alabama+11.065.5L 24 - 30UY
Sat 11/19 Ole Miss at Arkansas+0.067.5L 27 - 42ON
Thu 11/24 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-2.563.0L 22 - 24UN
Wed 12/28 Ole Miss vs Texas Tech-4.573.0L 25 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.2141%30.644%3.0913940%2734.61.2340%33.142%38%4.1556.71.51.7
MISS.2748%33.549%3.1125745%2404.04.1644%25.544%44%3.7263.21.52.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1230.626.541.4%4.611.5214121392733.946%54%44%40%17%.21
MISS Defense1325.52143.9%3.722.3 - - - - - 51%49%44%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1233.133.340.2%4.151.7 - - - - - 56%43%42%38%15%.23
MISS Offense1333.53447.5%4.041.5254962572405.460%40%49%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:5221.440%65%6.156.71.51.75.21.3028.1
Ole Miss1326:2325.247%49%6.863.21.52.35.72.5027.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1246%44%35.8138.73.918.143.0976%11%0.98
MISS Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.2274%10%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1256%42% - - - - .23.1581%10%1.08
MISS Offense1360%49%47.2256.55.433.273.1174%10%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1254%40%20.134.6273.27.913.62710.31.831%30%.396%2.4
MISS Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 8.241.529%30%.226%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1243%38% - - - - - - 6.31.734%30%.315%1.9
MISS Offense1340%45%18.429.7239.88.113.12211.31.629%36%.335%1.9

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #88
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #44
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    Ole Miss: 10.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -6.1   Ole Miss: 16.2




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 10.6 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2  #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8  #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #45

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.3

Tulsa's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 35
Tulsa 25

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 37
Tulsa 24

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 33
Tulsa 26

Total Points: 59
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Ole Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24Ole Miss35Tulsa27Ole Miss -21Tulsa66.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss100 Overs
Tulsa011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) TLSA at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #88 #14
Perf GradeGrade #88 #48
OffenseOff #78 #56
DefenseDef #88 #45
Spec TeamsST #99 #39
TalentTal #84 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #45
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #77 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #44 #34
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #105 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #27 #90
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #92 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #50 #60
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #123
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 91° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Ole Miss -21.0 (66.5)
Ole Miss won vs Tulsa this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Tulsa in 2022 (35-27)

  
TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD