Ole Miss at Texas A&M - 2022 Matchup Preview

(#8)Ole Miss Rebels at Texas A&M Aggies(#3)

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -3 (55.5)
Ole Miss 31 - Texas A&M: 28 (SEC)

Rebels (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (15 - 8)
Avg Score : 34 - 26 (34 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Road Game
MISS is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ MISS -7)
Projected Score: MISS: 26 - TA&M: 24 (50)
MISS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MISS Travel: 474 miles

Aggies (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (34 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (25 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ole Miss vs Troy	-21.5	56.5	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Central Arkansas	-36.5	61.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss at Georgia Tech	-17.0	63.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Tulsa	-21.0	66.5	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-6.5	55.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-17.0	59.5	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss vs Auburn	-15.5	55.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+0.0	64.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	-3.0	55.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+11.0	65.5	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Arkansas	+0.0	67.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Thu 11/24	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-2.5	63.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Wed 12/28	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-4.5	73.0	L 25 - 42	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas A&M vs Sam Houston	-36.5	54.0	W 31 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/10	Texas A&M vs App State	-18.0	54.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/17	Texas A&M vs Miami	-6.5	45.5	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-1.5	51.0	W 23 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Texas A&M at Mississippi State	+4.0	45.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	Texas A&M at Alabama	+24.0	48.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Texas A&M at South Carolina	-3.0	44.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/29	Texas A&M vs Ole Miss	+3.0	55.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Texas A&M vs Florida	-1.5	53.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/12	Texas A&M at Auburn	+1.5	48.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/19	Texas A&M vs Massachusetts	-32.0	46.0	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/26	Texas A&M vs LSU	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.27	48%	33.5	49%	3.11	257	45%	240	4.04	.16	44%	25.5	44%	44%	3.72	63.2	1.5	2.3
TA&M	.14	40%	22.8	45%	3.03	142	36%	219	3.78	.12	40%	21.2	43%	35%	3.04	49.1	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	33.5	34.4	47.5%	4.04	1.5	25	496	257	240	5.4	60%	40%	49%	45%	16%	.27
TA&M Defense	12	21.2	17.7	40%	3.04	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	60%	40%	43%	35%	16%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	25.5	28.6	43.9%	3.72	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	44%	16%	.16
TA&M Offense	12	22.8	24.6	40.1%	3.78	1.5	19	362	142	219	4.7	46%	54%	45%	36%	19%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:23	25.2	47%	49%	6.8	63.2	1.5	2.3	5.7	2.5	0	27.3
Texas A&M	12	27:50	19.4	36%	36%	6.3	49.1	1.5	1.9	5.5	1.6	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	60%	49%	47.2	256.5	5.4	33	.27	3.11	74%	10%	1.1
TA&M Defense	12	60%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.08	76%	10%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.22	74%	10%	0.86
TA&M Offense	12	46%	45%	30.6	142.3	4.7	12	.14	3.03	69%	11%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	40%	45%	18.4	29.7	239.8	8.1	13.1	22	11	.3	1.6	29%	36%	.33	5%	1.9
TA&M Defense	12	40%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.14	1.6	35%	27%	.27	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.5	29%	30%	.22	6%	1.8
TA&M Offense	12	54%	36%	18.3	32.6	219.4	6.7	12	18	6	.18	1.6	34%	28%	.26	7%	2.2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #45

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Texas A&M: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.2 Texas A&M: 9.1

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas A&M's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #38
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #75
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Ole Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 26
Texas A&M 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 25
Texas A&M 23

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 27
Texas A&M 25

Total Points: 52

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Texas A&M's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Ole Miss	38	Texas A&M	35	Ole Miss -3.0	Push	52.5	Over
2022	10/29	Texas A&M	28	Ole Miss	31	Ole Miss -3	NA	55.5	Over
2021	11/13	Ole Miss	29	Texas A&M	19	Texas A&M -1	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2019	10/19	Ole Miss	17	Texas A&M	24	Texas A&M -6	Texas A&M	54.5	Under
2018	11/10	Texas A&M	38	Ole Miss	24	Texas A&M -13	Texas A&M	68.0	Under
2017	11/18	Ole Miss	24	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	70.0	Under
2016	11/12	Texas A&M	28	Ole Miss	29	Texas A&M -11	Ole Miss	62.0	Under
2015	10/24	Ole Miss	23	Texas A&M	3	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	65.5	Under
2014	10/11	Texas A&M	20	Ole Miss	35	Texas A&M -1	Ole Miss	0
2013	10/12	Ole Miss	38	Texas A&M	41	Texas A&M -4	Ole Miss	0
2012	10/06	Ole Miss	27	Texas A&M	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	5	3	2 Overs
Ole Miss	6	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 7	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 4	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2

(#) MISS at (#) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#14	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#48	#100
OffenseOff	#56	#92
DefenseDef	#45	#105
Spec TeamsST	#39	#38
TalentTal	#23	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Texas A&M Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#27	#127
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#81

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#92	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#36	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#39	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#116	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Ole Miss 3.0 (55.5)
Ole Miss won at Texas A&M this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Texas A&M in 2023 (38-35)
Ole Miss beat Texas A&M in 2022 (31-28)

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TA&M's OC Darrell Dickey (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD