Eastern Michigan at Toledo - 2021 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Toledo Rockets

Tuesday, November 2nd 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -9 (54.5)
Eastern Michigan 52 - Toledo: 49 (Mid-American)

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (32 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

EMU coming off BYE
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: -10 (SP+ TOL -15)
Projected Score: EMU: 18 - TOL: 35 (53)
TOL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
EMU Travel: 41 miles

Rockets (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (39 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
TOL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-34.0	54.5	W 35 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/11	Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin	+26.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/18	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	-22.0	56.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Eastern Michigan vs Texas State	-7.5	62.0	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+0.0	62.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/9	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	58.0	W 13 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	+1.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green	-4.5	49.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+9.0	54.5	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Tue 11/9	Eastern Michigan vs Ohio	-6.0	61.5	L 26 - 34	U	N
Tue 11/16	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	66.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+8.5	64.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Eastern Michigan vs Liberty	+9.5	58.5	L 20 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Toledo's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Toledo vs Norfolk State	-39.5	56.0	W 49 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/11	Toledo at Notre Dame	+16.5	55.0	L 29 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Toledo vs Colorado State	-14.5	59.0	L 6 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/25	Toledo at Ball State	-4.5	56.5	W 22 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Toledo at Massachusetts	-26.5	56.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-13.0	51.5	L 20 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/16	Toledo at Central Michigan	-5.0	53.0	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/23	Toledo vs Western Michigan	+1.5	54.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Toledo vs Eastern Michigan	-9.0	54.5	L 49 - 52	O	N
Wed 11/10	Toledo at Bowling Green	-10.5	50.0	W 49 - 17	O	Y
Tue 11/16	Toledo at Ohio	-7.5	57.5	W 35 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Toledo vs Akron	-28.5	57.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Fri 12/17	Toledo vs Middle Tennessee	-10.0	50.0	L 24 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	.22	47%	24.1	44%	2.46	124	50%	276	4.95	.27	53%	29.8	57%	48%	4.04	43.8	2	2
TOL	.26	46%	30.8	41%	2.67	168	49%	326	3.57	.11	39%	13.3	36%	43%	3.33	74.8	2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	6	24.1	24.5	46.9%	4.95	2	22	400	124	276	3.4	50%	49%	44%	50%	18%	.22
TOL Defense	6	13.3	7.7	39.3%	3.33	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	36%	43%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	6	29.8	34.7	53%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	57%	48%	12%	.27
TOL Offense	6	30.8	45.8	45.6%	3.57	2	27	494	168	326	4.2	47%	53%	41%	49%	19%	.26

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	6	29:13	21.8	42%	79%	4.8	43.8	2	2	4.3	1.5	0	34.4
Toledo	6	33:33	27.2	48%	46%	9.5	74.8	2	1.5	6	1.8	1	32.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	6	50%	44%	36.5	124	3.4	11	.06	2.46	67%	12%	0.87
TOL Defense	6	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.63	42%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	6	58%	57%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.51	83%	8%	0.76
TOL Offense	6	47%	41%	40.5	168	4.2	7	.02	2.67	68%	13%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	6	49%	50%	21	33.2	276.2	8.3	13.2	12	6	.4	1.5	29%	36%	.45	6%	2
TOL Defense	6	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.26	1.5	31%	30%	.28	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	6	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.34	1.4	25%	27%	.21	4%	2
TOL Offense	6	53%	49%	23.8	36.5	325.8	8.9	13.7	18	7	.47	1.8	32%	42%	.53	6%	2

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8 #101
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #81
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #123

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: Toledo: 5.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.8 Toledo: 6.9

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 5.95 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2021 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9 #56
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #21

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 35
Eastern Michigan 18

Projected Total Points: 53

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	29	Toledo -10	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2023	11/08	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	23	Toledo -19.5	Toledo	45.5	Over
2022	10/29	Eastern Michigan	24	Toledo	27	Toledo -4	Eastern Michigan	54.0	Under
2021	11/02	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	52	Toledo -9	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2020	11/18	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	45	Toledo -6.5	Toledo	62.5	Over
2019	10/26	Toledo	37	Eastern Michigan	34	Toledo -2.5	Toledo	52.0	Over
2018	10/13	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	26	Toledo -2	Eastern Michigan	62.0	Under
2017	10/07	Toledo	20	Eastern Michigan	15	Toledo -13.5	Eastern Michigan	60.0	Under
2016	10/08	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo	35	Toledo -17.5	Eastern Michigan	65.5	Under
2015	10/17	Toledo	63	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo -28	Toledo	63.0	Over
2014	11/28	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo	52	Toledo -21.5	Toledo	0
2013	11/02	Toledo	55	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo -28	Toledo	0
2012	10/13	Eastern Michigan	47	Toledo	52
2011	10/08	Toledo	54	Eastern Michigan	16
2010	10/30	Eastern Michigan	7	Toledo	42
2009	11/20	Toledo	47	Eastern Michigan	21
2008	09/13	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	41
2007	11/03	Toledo	52	Eastern Michigan	28
2006	10/21	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	13
2005	10/08	Toledo	30	Eastern Michigan	3
2004	09/18	Eastern Michigan	32	Toledo	42
2003	10/11	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	14
2002	09/07	Eastern Michigan	13	Toledo	65
2001	11/17	Toledo	28	Eastern Michigan	7
2000	10/06	Eastern Michigan	14	Toledo	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Toledo	22	6	6 Overs
Eastern Michigan	3	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	8 - 4	4 - 2	4 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 13	4 - 8	2 - 4	2 - 4

(#) EMU at (#) TOL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	TOL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#56
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#45
OffenseOff	#37	#97
DefenseDef	#119	#9
Spec TeamsST	#31	#100
TalentTal	#115	#86
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Toledo Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TOL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#9
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#21
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	#68	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	#23	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#59	#40
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	EMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#97	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#17	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#60	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#118	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo -9.0 (54.5)
Eastern Michigan won at Toledo this year (52-49)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2024 (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Neal Neathery (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TOL's OC Mike Hallett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD