Colorado State at Toledo - 2021 Matchup Preview
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -14.5 (59.0)
Colorado State 22 - Toledo: 6

 
Rams (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Addazio (2 - 5)
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (26 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -7  (SP+ TOL -9)
Projected Score: CSU: 22 - TOL: 33 (55)
TOL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CSU Travel: 1118 miles, 2 hrs behind
Rockets (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (39 - 23)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Colorado State vs South Dakota State-2.550.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 9/11 Colorado State vs Vanderbilt-6.552.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/18 Colorado State at Toledo+14.559.0W 22 - 6UY
Sat 9/25 Colorado State at Iowa+24.043.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Colorado State vs San José State-3.544.0W 32 - 14OY
Sat 10/16 Colorado State at New Mexico-13.044.5W 36 - 7UY
Fri 10/22 Colorado State at Utah State-3.058.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Colorado State vs Boise State+2.051.5L 19 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Colorado State at Wyoming-3.041.5L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/13 Colorado State vs Air Force+3.045.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 11/20 Colorado State at Hawai'i-3.054.0L 45 - 50ON
Sat 11/27 Colorado State vs Nevada+3.057.5L 10 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Toledo's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Toledo vs Norfolk State-39.556.0W 49 - 10ON
Sat 9/11 Toledo at Notre Dame+16.555.0L 29 - 32OY
Sat 9/18 Toledo vs Colorado State-14.559.0L 6 - 22UN
Sat 9/25 Toledo at Ball State-4.556.5W 22 - 12UY
Sat 10/2 Toledo at Massachusetts-26.556.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 10/9 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.051.5L 20 - 22UN
Sat 10/16 Toledo at Central Michigan-5.053.0L 23 - 26UN
Sat 10/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan+1.554.5W 34 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-9.054.5L 49 - 52ON
Wed 11/10 Toledo at Bowling Green-10.550.0W 49 - 17OY
Tue 11/16 Toledo at Ohio-7.557.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 11/27 Toledo vs Akron-28.557.5W 49 - 14OY
Fri 12/17 Toledo vs Middle Tennessee-10.050.0L 24 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU.1740%23.738%3.0116443%2523.16.1636%28.339%34%3.7368.51.61.3
TOL.2940%33.445%3.519636%2394.04.0936%21.836%37%3.2290.20.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1223.726.340.3%3.161.6214161642523.854%46%38%43%18%.17
TOL Defense1321.822.536.2%3.221.5 - - - - - 52%48%36%37%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1228.32436.5%3.731.3 - - - - - 54%46%39%34%18%.16
TOL Offense1333.434.540.2%4.040.5214351962395.449%51%45%36%17%.29

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1229:0221.241%40%7.168.51.61.36.93.3130.2
Toledo1328:2020.835%43%1090.20.51.56.82.9529.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1254%38%42.9164.13.814.063.0173%10%0.85
TOL Defense1352%36% - - - - .073.0763%12%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1254%39% - - - - .12.971%13%1.04
TOL Offense1349%45%36.3196.45.429.353.577%11%1.33

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1246%43%19.833251.77.612.71511.31.634%30%.288%1.8
TOL Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 8.181.635%27%.248%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1246%34% - - - - - - 6.231.835%28%.335%2
TOL Offense1351%36%17.430239.1813.8223.241.836%25%.276%2.3

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #87
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #98
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #59

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State:    Toledo: 5.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -2.4   Toledo: 6.9




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 5.95 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2021 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9  #56
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7  #21

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Colorado State's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 33
Colorado State 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 36
Colorado State 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 30
Colorado State 24

Total Points: 54
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.5
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Toledo's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Toledo6Colorado State22Toledo -14.5Colorado State59.0Under
201909/21Colorado State35Toledo41Toledo -6NA67.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo101 Overs
Colorado State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) CSU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCSUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #56
Perf GradeGrade #67 #45
OffenseOff #79 #97
DefenseDef #47 #9
Spec TeamsST #117 #100
TalentTal #93 #86
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Colorado State on Offense
CategoryCat
CSU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #79 #9
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #21
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado State Run Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRun #123 #5
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #4
Colorado State Pass Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePass #38 #12
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #105 #40
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffCSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #47
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #59
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffCSU Def
Run GameRun #17 #60
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #60 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffCSU Def
Pass GamePass #113 #69
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #118 #12
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Toledo -14.5 (59.0)
Colorado State won at Toledo this year (22-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CSU's OC Jon Budmayr (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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CSU's DC Chuck Heater (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC Mike Hallett (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD