Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts - 2021 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, September 18th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -22 (56.5)
Eastern Michigan 42 - Massachusetts: 28

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (32 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

EMU 2nd straight Road Game
UMASS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ EMU -21.5)
Projected Score: EMU: 30 - UMASS: 22 (52)
EMU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
EMU Travel: 567 miles

Minutemen (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Walt Bell (1 - 18)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-34.0	54.5	W 35 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/11	Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin	+26.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/18	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	-22.0	56.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Eastern Michigan vs Texas State	-7.5	62.0	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+0.0	62.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/9	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	58.0	W 13 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	+1.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green	-4.5	49.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+9.0	54.5	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Tue 11/9	Eastern Michigan vs Ohio	-6.0	61.5	L 26 - 34	U	N
Tue 11/16	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	66.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+8.5	64.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Eastern Michigan vs Liberty	+9.5	58.5	L 20 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Massachusetts at Pittsburgh	+38.0	56.0	L 7 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/11	Massachusetts vs Boston College	+39.0	57.0	L 28 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan	+22.0	56.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina	+36.0	66.0	L 3 - 53	U	N
Sat 10/2	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+26.5	56.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/9	Massachusetts vs UConn	+3.0	57.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Massachusetts at Florida State	+35.0	59.0	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/30	Massachusetts at Liberty	+35.5	56.0	L 17 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/6	Massachusetts vs Rhode Island	-2.5	55.5	L 22 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/13	Massachusetts vs Maine	+6.0	58.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/20	Massachusetts at Army	+37.5	56.0	L 17 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Massachusetts at New Mexico State	+7.0	58.5	L 27 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	.22	47%	24.1	44%	2.46	124	50%	276	4.95	.27	53%	29.8	57%	48%	4.04	43.8	2	2
UMASS	-.11	25%	11.1	21%	2.18	67	31%	122	0.56	.39	52%	38.6	52%	51%	3.79	54	1.8	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	6	24.1	24.5	46.9%	4.95	2	22	400	124	276	3.4	50%	49%	44%	50%	18%	.22
UMASS Defense	4	38.6	34.7	51.5%	3.79	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	51%	17%	.39

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	6	29.8	34.7	53%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	57%	48%	12%	.27
UMASS Offense	4	11.1	12.8	25.5%	0.56	1.8	11	189	67	122	2.3	51%	49%	21%	31%	21%	-.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	6	29:13	21.8	42%	79%	4.8	43.8	2	2	4.3	1.5	0	34.4
Massachusetts	4	26:45	10.5	26%	44%	5.3	54	1.8	0.5	7.8	2.3	0	25.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	6	50%	44%	36.5	124	3.4	11	.06	2.46	67%	12%	0.87
UMASS Defense	4	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.04	88%	13%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	6	58%	57%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.51	83%	8%	0.76
UMASS Offense	4	51%	21%	29.3	67.3	2.3	0	-.22	2.18	38%	15%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	6	49%	50%	21	33.2	276.2	8.3	13.2	12	6	.4	1.5	29%	36%	.45	6%	2
UMASS Defense	4	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.46	1.6	31%	39%	.41	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	6	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.34	1.4	25%	27%	.21	4%	2
UMASS Offense	4	49%	31%	13.5	25	121.5	4.9	9	1	5	.01	1.5	38%	21%	.11	6%	1.9

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8 #101
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #81
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #123

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: Massachusetts: -12.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.8 Massachusetts: -29.3

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -12.15 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2021 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -29.3 #131
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #127
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 30
Massachusetts 22

Projected Total Points: 52

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Massachusetts	14	Eastern Michigan	28	Massachusetts -2.5	Eastern Michigan	49.0	Under
2023	09/16	Eastern Michigan	19	Massachusetts	17	Eastern Michigan -7	Massachusetts	50.0	Under
2022	10/01	Eastern Michigan	20	Massachusetts	13	Eastern Michigan -20	Massachusetts	53.0	Under
2021	09/18	Massachusetts	28	Eastern Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan -22	Massachusetts	56.5	Over
2015	11/14	Eastern Michigan	17	Massachusetts	28	UMass -7.5	Massachusetts	68.5	Under
2014	10/18	Massachusetts	36	Eastern Michigan	14	UMass -11.5	Massachusetts	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	2	5	1 Overs
Eastern Michigan	4	1	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	1 - 1	3 - 1

(#) EMU at (#) UMASS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	UMASS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#131
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#136
OffenseOff	#37	#133
DefenseDef	#119	#134
Spec TeamsST	#31	#132
TalentTal	#115	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Massachusetts Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	UMASS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#131
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	#68	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	#23	#135
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#59	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	EMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#63	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#104	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Eastern Michigan 22.0 (56.5)
Eastern Michigan won at Massachusetts this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2024 (28-14)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2023 (19-17)

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Neal Neathery (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UMASS's OC Angelo Mirando (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Tommy Restivo (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD