Boston College at Massachusetts - 2021 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Boston College -39 (57.0)
Boston College 45 - Massachusetts: 28

Eagles (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ BC -30)
Projected Score: BC: 31 - UMASS: 23 (54)
BC Win prob: 100% | Cover: 61%
BC Travel: 70 miles

Minutemen (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Walt Bell (1 - 18)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Boston College vs Colgate	-42.5	56.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Boston College at Massachusetts	-39.0	57.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/18	Boston College at Temple	-15.0	55.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Boston College vs Missouri	-1.0	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Boston College at Clemson	+14.5	46.5	L 13 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	51.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/23	Boston College at Louisville	+4.0	57.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Boston College at Syracuse	+6.5	51.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/5	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+1.0	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Boston College at Georgia Tech	-2.0	55.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Boston College vs Florida State	-3.0	55.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/27	Boston College vs Wake Forest	+5.5	64.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Mon 12/27	Boston College vs East Carolina	-3.0	52.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Massachusetts at Pittsburgh	+38.0	56.0	L 7 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/11	Massachusetts vs Boston College	+39.0	57.0	L 28 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan	+22.0	56.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina	+36.0	66.0	L 3 - 53	U	N
Sat 10/2	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+26.5	56.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/9	Massachusetts vs UConn	+3.0	57.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Massachusetts at Florida State	+35.0	59.0	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/30	Massachusetts at Liberty	+35.5	56.0	L 17 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/6	Massachusetts vs Rhode Island	-2.5	55.5	L 22 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/13	Massachusetts vs Maine	+6.0	58.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/20	Massachusetts at Army	+37.5	56.0	L 17 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Massachusetts at New Mexico State	+7.0	58.5	L 27 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.2	44%	25.4	42%	2.51	102	46%	284	3.67	.22	47%	32.8	49%	45%	3.41	67.3	1.3	1.9
UMASS	-.11	25%	11.1	21%	2.18	67	31%	122	0.56	.39	52%	38.6	52%	51%	3.79	54	1.8	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	11	25.4	25	44.1%	3.67	1.3	22	386	102	284	3.1	45%	55%	42%	46%	16%	.2
UMASS Defense	4	38.6	34.7	51.5%	3.79	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	51%	17%	.39

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	11	32.8	34	47%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	49%	45%	15%	.22
UMASS Offense	4	11.1	12.8	25.5%	0.56	1.8	11	189	67	122	2.3	51%	49%	21%	31%	21%	-.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	11	30:28	21.7	44%	64%	7.7	67.3	1.3	1.9	4.7	2.2	0	29
Massachusetts	4	26:45	10.5	26%	44%	5.3	54	1.8	0.5	7.8	2.3	0	25.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	11	45%	42%	32.8	101.7	3.1	11	-.03	2.51	80%	10%	0.73
UMASS Defense	4	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.04	88%	13%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	11	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.08	71%	9%	1
UMASS Offense	4	51%	21%	29.3	67.3	2.3	0	-.22	2.18	38%	15%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	11	55%	46%	22	35.5	284.2	8	12.9	23	8	.39	1.7	31%	35%	.45	6%	2.1
UMASS Defense	4	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.46	1.6	31%	39%	.41	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	11	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.34	1.5	28%	36%	.35	6%	1.9
UMASS Offense	4	49%	31%	13.5	25	121.5	4.9	9	1	5	.01	1.5	38%	21%	.11	6%	1.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #75
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: Massachusetts: -12.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 0.9 Massachusetts: -29.3

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -12.15 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2021 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -29.3 #131
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #127
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 31
Massachusetts 23

Projected Total Points: 54

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Massachusetts	28	Boston College	45	Boston College -39	Massachusetts	57.0	Over
2018	09/01	Boston College	55	Massachusetts	21	Boston College -20.5	Boston College	62.5	Over
2016	09/10	Massachusetts	7	Boston College	26	Boston College -16.5	Boston College	37.5	Under
2014	08/30	Massachusetts	7	Boston College	30	Boston College -12.5	Boston College	0
2011	09/24	Boston College	45	Massachusetts	17
2007	09/29	Boston College	24	Massachusetts	14
2004	10/02	Boston College	29	Massachusetts	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	0	1	2 Overs
Boston College	7	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1

(#) BC at (#) UMASS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	UMASS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#131
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#136
OffenseOff	#36	#133
DefenseDef	#36	#134
Spec TeamsST	#10	#132
TalentTal	#50	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

Massachusetts Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	UMASS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#131
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	#75	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#135
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#63	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#104	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Boston College 39.0 (57.0)
Boston College won at Massachusetts this year (45-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BC's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UMASS's OC Angelo Mirando (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Tommy Restivo (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD