Missouri at Boston College - 2021 Matchup Preview

(#23)Missouri Tigers at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -1 (58.5)
Boston College 41 - Missouri: 34

Tigers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 29 - 34 (24 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC is playing their 4th straight game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ MIZ -2)
Projected Score: MIZ: 23 - BC: 34 (57)
BC Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
MIZ Travel: 1131 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Missouri vs Central Michigan	-13.5	59.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Missouri at Kentucky	+5.5	56.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/18	Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State	-34.5	59.0	W 59 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Missouri at Boston College	+1.0	58.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/2	Missouri vs Tennessee	-2.5	66.5	L 24 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/9	Missouri vs North Texas	-18.5	69.0	W 48 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/16	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+11.5	59.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-16.0	62.5	W 37 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/6	Missouri at Georgia	+40.0	59.0	L 6 - 43	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Missouri vs South Carolina	-1.0	56.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Missouri vs Florida	+9.5	69.0	W 24 - 23	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Missouri at Arkansas	+14.5	63.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Wed 12/22	Missouri vs Army	+7.0	54.0	L 22 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Boston College's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Boston College vs Colgate	-42.5	56.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Boston College at Massachusetts	-39.0	57.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/18	Boston College at Temple	-15.0	55.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Boston College vs Missouri	-1.0	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Boston College at Clemson	+14.5	46.5	L 13 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	51.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/23	Boston College at Louisville	+4.0	57.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Boston College at Syracuse	+6.5	51.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/5	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+1.0	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Boston College at Georgia Tech	-2.0	55.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Boston College vs Florida State	-3.0	55.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/27	Boston College vs Wake Forest	+5.5	64.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Mon 12/27	Boston College vs East Carolina	-3.0	52.5

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.22	44%	29.1	45%	3.13	180	43%	234	3.88	.29	45%	33.8	46%	43%	4.56	59.2	1	1.2
BC	.17	41%	24.7	44%	2.77	166	38%	185	3.59	.17	42%	22.2	45%	39%	3.19	49.7	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	29.1	24.4	44.2%	3.88	1	22	414	180	234	5.1	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.22
BC Defense	12	22.2	22.8	42.3%	3.19	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	33.8	36.2	44.6%	4.56	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	46%	43%	17%	.29
BC Offense	12	24.7	24.8	41.1%	3.59	1.5	19	350	166	185	4.2	59%	41%	44%	38%	18%	.17

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	30:18	21.7	44%	58%	6.4	59.2	1	1.2	6.4	2.2	2	27.1
Boston College	12	30:12	19.3	40%	57%	5.4	49.7	1.5	1.4	4.7	1.7	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	48%	45%	35.7	180.2	5.1	22	.15	3.13	82%	10%	0.93
BC Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.15	69%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	58%	46%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.11	75%	12%	1.09
BC Offense	12	59%	44%	39.6	165.6	4.2	21	.09	2.77	61%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	52%	43%	23.2	35	233.5	6.7	10.1	19	11	.28	1.5	32%	27%	.24	6%	1.9
BC Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.24	1.7	29%	31%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	42%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.7	30%	32%	.39	6%	2.1
BC Offense	12	41%	38%	14.1	25.3	184.8	7.3	13.1	13	11	.29	1.8	31%	32%	.32	6%	2.2

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2021 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #69
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #52
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Boston College: 2.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 3.1 Boston College: 0.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.95 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #75
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Missouri's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 34
Missouri 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 38
Missouri 21

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 30
Missouri 25

Total Points: 55

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Boston College's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Missouri	27	Boston College	21	Missouri -14.5	Boston College	51.5	Under
2021	09/25	Boston College	41	Missouri	34	Boston College -1	Boston College	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	1	2	1 Overs
Missouri	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) MIZ at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#75
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#27
OffenseOff	#57	#36
DefenseDef	#97	#36
Spec TeamsST	#16	#10
TalentTal	#45	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#45	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#19	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#75	#92
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#92
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#58
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Boston College -1.0 (58.5)
Boston College won vs Missouri this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Boston College last year (27-21)

MIZ's OC Eliah Drinkwitz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Steve Wilks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD