Massachusetts at New Mexico State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Massachusetts Minutemen at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (3:00 PM EST)
New Mexico State -7 (58.5)
New Mexico State 44 - Massachusetts: 27

Minutemen (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Walt Bell (1 - 18)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UMASS 2nd straight Road Game
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
UMASS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ NMSU -5)
Projected Score: UMASS: 16 - NMSU: 31 (47)
NMSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UMASS Travel: 1989 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Aggies (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Doug Martin (23 - 67)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UMASS Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Massachusetts at Pittsburgh	+38.0	56.0	L 7 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/11	Massachusetts vs Boston College	+39.0	57.0	L 28 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan	+22.0	56.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina	+36.0	66.0	L 3 - 53	U	N
Sat 10/2	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+26.5	56.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/9	Massachusetts vs UConn	+3.0	57.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Massachusetts at Florida State	+35.0	59.0	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/30	Massachusetts at Liberty	+35.5	56.0	L 17 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/6	Massachusetts vs Rhode Island	-2.5	55.5	L 22 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/13	Massachusetts vs Maine	+6.0	58.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/20	Massachusetts at Army	+37.5	56.0	L 17 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Massachusetts at New Mexico State	+7.0	58.5	L 27 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	New Mexico State vs UTEP	+9.5	59.0	L 3 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/4	New Mexico State at San Diego State	+31.0	51.0	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+19.5	55.5	L 25 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	New Mexico State vs South Carolina State	-3.5	54.5	W 43 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/25	New Mexico State vs Hawai'i	+17.0	63.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico State at San José State	+25.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/9	New Mexico State at Nevada	+28.5	64.5	L 28 - 55	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+18.0	62.5	L 34 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico State vs Utah State	+18.0	72.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico State at Alabama	+50.0	67.0	L 3 - 59	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+35.5	61.0	L 16 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/27	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	58.5	W 44 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	-.11	25%	11.1	21%	2.18	67	31%	122	0.56	.39	52%	38.6	52%	51%	3.79	54	1.8	0.5
NMSU	-.12	27%	21.6	43%	2.11	0	23%	0	1.11	.38	39%	27.6	46%	33%	3.15	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	4	11.1	9.3	25.5%	0.56	1.8	11	189	67	122	2.3	51%	49%	21%	31%	21%	-.11
NMSU Defense	0	27.6	17.7	39.1%	3.15	0	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	46%	33%	0%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	4	38.6	42.5	51.5%	3.79	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	51%	17%	.39
NMSU Offense	0	21.6	23.2	27.3%	1.11	0	0	0	0	0	0	32%	59%	43%	23%	0%	-.12

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	4	26:45	10.5	26%	44%	5.3	54	1.8	0.5	7.8	2.3	0	25.1
New Mexico State	0	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	25.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	4	51%	21%	29.3	67.3	2.3	0	-.22	2.18	38%	15%	1.06
NMSU Defense	0	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.69	2.97	100%	0%	2.13

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	4	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.04	88%	13%	1.15
NMSU Offense	0	32%	43%	0	0	0	0	-.1	2.11	50%	0%	0.49

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	4	49%	31%	13.5	25	121.5	4.9	9	1	5	.01	1.5	38%	21%	.11	6%	1.9
NMSU Defense	0	46%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.07	1.4	43%	25%	.46	0%	3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	4	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.46	1.6	31%	39%	.41	5%	1.7
NMSU Offense	0	59%	23%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.8	27%	0%	-.53	0%	0

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2021 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -29.3 #131
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #127
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: New Mexico State: -9.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -29.3 New Mexico State: -24.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -9.6 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #147
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.2 #129
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #112
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.7 #130

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 31
Massachusetts 16

Projected Total Points: 47

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	08/26	New Mexico State	30	Massachusetts	41	New Mexico State -7	Massachusetts	45.5	Over
2022	10/29	Massachusetts	13	New Mexico State	23	New Mexico State -1	New Mexico State	39.0	Under
2021	11/27	New Mexico State	44	Massachusetts	27	New Mexico State -7	New Mexico State	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	2	2	2 Overs
Massachusetts	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#) UMASS at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UMASS	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#129
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#135
OffenseOff	#133	#130
DefenseDef	#134	#136
Spec TeamsST	#132	#109
TalentTal	#126	#147
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Massachusetts Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	#63	#133
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#104	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UMASS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#131
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	#133	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#135
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
New Mexico State -7.0 (58.5)
New Mexico State won vs Massachusetts this year (44-27)

Previous Matchups
Massachusetts beat New Mexico State in 2023 (41-30)

UMASS's OC Angelo Mirando (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Tommy Restivo (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC Doug Martin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Frank Spaziani (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD