UTEP at New Mexico State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 28th 2021 (9:30 PM EDT)
UTEP -9.5 (59.0)
UTEP 30 - New Mexico State: 3

Miners (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (7 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (23 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ UTEP -20)
Projected Score: UTEP: 30 - NMSU: 31 (61)
UTEP Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UTEP Travel: 38 miles

Aggies (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Doug Martin (23 - 67)
Avg Score : 23 - 40 (25 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTEP Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTEP's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	UTEP at New Mexico State	-9.5	59.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/4	UTEP vs Bethune-Cookman	-20.5	52.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Fri 9/10	UTEP at Boise State	+25.0	56.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	UTEP vs New Mexico	+2.5	53.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UTEP vs Old Dominion	-5.5	48.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/9	UTEP at Southern Miss	-1.0	46.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+6.5	55.5	W 19 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	UTEP at Florida Atlantic	+11.0	49.0	L 25 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/6	UTEP vs UTSA	+12.0	53.5	L 23 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/13	UTEP at North Texas	+1.0	55.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/20	UTEP vs Rice	-9.0	47.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Fri 11/26	UTEP at UAB	+13.5	49.5	L 25 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/18	UTEP vs Fresno State	+11.5	51.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	New Mexico State vs UTEP	+9.5	59.0	L 3 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/4	New Mexico State at San Diego State	+31.0	51.0	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+19.5	55.5	L 25 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	New Mexico State vs South Carolina State	-3.5	54.5	W 43 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/25	New Mexico State vs Hawai'i	+17.0	63.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico State at San José State	+25.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/9	New Mexico State at Nevada	+28.5	64.5	L 28 - 55	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+18.0	62.5	L 34 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico State vs Utah State	+18.0	72.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico State at Alabama	+50.0	67.0	L 3 - 59	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+35.5	61.0	L 16 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/27	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	58.5	W 44 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	.24	38%	25.1	35%	2.7	140	43%	252	3.53	.14	39%	25.2	39%	40%	3.81	74.8	1.8	1.3
NMSU	.12	42%	22.6	45%	3.14	101	41%	270	3.11	.4	50%	40.4	51%	50%	3.94	60.2	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	#121 (.07)	37% (124)		38% (118)	2.8 (106)	121	36% (117)	200	2.81 (132)	#46 (.13)	40% (42)		40% (42)	39% (46)	3.85 (78)	50.9	1.6	1.5
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Offense	13	25.1	22.7	38.3%	3.53	1.8	18	392	140	252	3.8	53%	46%	35%	43%	19%	.24
NMSU Defense	12	40.4	33.6	49.9%	3.94	2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	51%	50%	17%	.4

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Defense	13	25.2	26.7	39.1%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	40%	17%	.14
NMSU Offense	12	22.6	24.8	41.9%	3.11	1.3	22	370	101	270	3.3	38%	62%	45%	41%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTEP	13	31:53	18	32%	79%	8.5	74.8	1.8	1.3	5.5	1.9	0	27
New Mexico State	12	30:31	21.9	38%	45%	6.9	60.2	1.3	2	6	1.6	0	26

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense	13	53%	35%	37	140	3.8	18	.05	2.7	65%	11%	1.02
NMSU Defense	12	51%	51%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.53	67%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.71	63%	10%	0.97
NMSU Offense	12	38%	45%	30.8	100.6	3.3	15	.18	3.14	78%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense	13	46%	43%	15.4	28.2	252.2	9	16.4	19	14	.52	1.9	34%	29%	.39	8%	2.4
NMSU Defense	12	48%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.63	1.8	27%	40%	.75	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense	13	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.6	33%	25%	.24	7%	2.1
NMSU Offense	12	62%	41%	24.7	43.2	269.7	6.3	10.9	15	10	.11	1.4	35%	28%	.2	8%	1.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: NR
UTEP's Offense Rating: NR
UTEP's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTEP's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTEP's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.2 #91
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #83

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: New Mexico State: -9.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -4.2 New Mexico State: -24.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -9.6 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #147
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.2 #129
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #112
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.7 #130

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.7

UTEP's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 31
UTEP 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico State 37
UTEP 30

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
UTEP 31
New Mexico State 25

Total Points: 56

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 40.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.6

New Mexico State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	UTEP	31	New Mexico State	34	UTEP -4	New Mexico State	44.5	Over
2024	11/30	New Mexico State	35	UTEP	42	New Mexico State -3.5	UTEP	51.5	Over
2023	10/18	UTEP	7	New Mexico State	28	New Mexico State -3	New Mexico State	48.5	Under
2022	09/10	UTEP	20	New Mexico State	13	UTEP -17	New Mexico State	46.5	Under
2021	08/28	New Mexico State	3	UTEP	30	UTEP -9.5	UTEP	59.0	Under
2019	11/23	New Mexico State	44	UTEP	35	New Mexico State -8	New Mexico State	56.0	Over
2018	09/22	UTEP	20	New Mexico State	27	New Mexico State -4.5	New Mexico State	50.5	Under
2017	09/23	New Mexico State	41	UTEP	14	New Mexico State -17.5	New Mexico State	59.0	Under
2016	09/03	UTEP	38	New Mexico State	22	UTEP -3.5	UTEP	58.0	Over
2015	09/19	New Mexico State	47	UTEP	50	UTEP -4	New Mexico State	59.5	Over
2014	09/13	UTEP	42	New Mexico State	24	UTEP -11	UTEP	0
2013	09/14	New Mexico State	21	UTEP	42	UTEP -6.5	UTEP	0
2012	09/15	UTEP	41	New Mexico State	28
2011	09/17	New Mexico State	10	UTEP	16
2010	09/18	UTEP	42	New Mexico State	10
2009	09/19	New Mexico State	12	UTEP	38
2008	09/20	UTEP	33	New Mexico State	34
2007	09/15	New Mexico State	29	UTEP	24
2006	09/30	UTEP	44	New Mexico State	38
2005	09/03	New Mexico State	17	UTEP	34
2004	10/02	UTEP	45	New Mexico State	0
2002	10/05	New Mexico State	49	UTEP	14
2000	09/29	UTEP	41	New Mexico State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	8	7	5 Overs
UTEP	15	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	5 - 7	4 - 3	1 - 4
Road Teams	11 - 12	7 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 4

(#) UTEP at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTEP	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#129
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#135
OffenseOff	#63	#130
DefenseDef	#59	#136
Spec TeamsST	#84	#109
TalentTal	#121	#147
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UTEP Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

UTEP on Offense


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTEP Run Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	#121	#133
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

UTEP Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UTEP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#133	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#10

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#89
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°

Rematch from Week 1
UTEP 9.5 (59.0)
UTEP won at New Mexico State this year (30-3)

Previous Matchups
UTEP beat New Mexico State last year (42-35)
New Mexico State beat UTEP in 2023 (28-7)
UTEP beat New Mexico State in 2022 (20-13)

UTEP's OC Dave Warner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC Doug Martin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Frank Spaziani (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD