Mississippi State at Kentucky - 2020 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo   Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 10th 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -3.5 (57.5)
Kentucky 24 - Mississippi State: 2  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (4 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ UK -2)
Projected Score: MSST: 26 - UK: 29 (55)
UK Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 397 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (5 - 6) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at LSU+14.557.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-16.568.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State at Kentucky+3.557.5L 2 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+4.556.0L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Alabama+32.0
Sat 11/7 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt-18.545.0W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Georgia+25.544.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+10.070.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Mississippi State vs Auburn+5.550.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 12/19 Mississippi State vs Missouri+1.549.0W 51 - 32OY
Thu 12/31 Mississippi State vs Tulsa+2.548.0W 28 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Kentucky's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Kentucky at Auburn+6.047.0L 13 - 29UN
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Ole Miss-7.063.0L 41 - 42ON
Sat 10/10 Kentucky vs Mississippi State-3.557.5W 24 - 2UY
Sat 10/17 Kentucky at Tennessee+6.045.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/24 Kentucky at Missouri-3.547.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Georgia+17.042.0L 3 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-17.541.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/21 Kentucky at Alabama+31.557.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 11/28 Kentucky at Florida+23.560.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/5 Kentucky vs South Carolina-12.046.0W 41 - 18OY
Sat 1/2 Kentucky vs NC State-3.050.5W 23 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.2646%30.449%3.4622141%1794.29.2146%30.245%46%3.8644.51.82.2
UK.1742%2345%3.2727934%1143.76.1441%26.443%38%3.0150.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1330.425.846.1%4.291.8214002211795.459%40%49%41%20%.26
UK Defense1326.422.641.3%3.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%38%22%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1330.23146.2%3.862.2 - - - - - 51%47%45%46%23%.21
UK Offense132331.742.3%3.761.5193922791146.366%33%45%34%22%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1331:4021.539%39%5.544.51.82.26.92.3227.2
Kentucky1332:0919.439%52%5.850.81.51.85.83.2029.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1359%49%40.7220.65.427.273.4677%13%1.09
UK Defense1354%43% - - - - .16371%13%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1351%45% - - - - .092.9377%14%0.95
UK Offense1366%45%44.1278.86.336.233.2763%13%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1340%41%14.324.2179.57.412.51910.251.631%36%.418%1.7
UK Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 8.131.533%33%.459%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 10.361.832%38%.3610%2
UK Offense1333%34%9.819.8113.75.811.698.021.631%30%.279%2.1

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2  #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Kentucky: 4.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 2.2   Kentucky: 4.4




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 4.7 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2020 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #51
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 29
Mississippi State 26

Projected Total Points: 55
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Mississippi State3Kentucky24Kentucky -5.5Kentucky44.5Under
202210/15Kentucky27Mississippi State17Mississippi State -3.5Kentucky50.5Under
202110/30Mississippi State31Kentucky17Mississippi State -1Mississippi State47.0Over
202010/10Kentucky24Mississippi State2Kentucky -3.5Kentucky57.5Under
201909/21Mississippi State28Kentucky13Mississippi State -5.5Mississippi State48.0Under
201809/22Kentucky28Mississippi State7Mississippi State -9.5Kentucky56.0Under
201710/21Mississippi State45Kentucky7Mississippi State -14Mississippi State54.5Under
201610/22Kentucky40Mississippi State38Mississippi State -1.5Kentucky54.5Over
201510/24Mississippi State42Kentucky16Mississippi State -11.5Mississippi State59.0Under
201410/25Kentucky31Mississippi State45Mississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201310/24Mississippi State28Kentucky22Mississippi State -11Kentucky0
201210/06Kentucky14Mississippi State27
201110/29Kentucky16Mississippi State28
201010/30Mississippi State24Kentucky17
200910/31Kentucky24Mississippi State31
200811/01Mississippi State13Kentucky14
200710/27Kentucky14Mississippi State31
200610/28Mississippi State31Kentucky34
200510/29Kentucky13Mississippi State7
200410/30Mississippi State22Kentucky7
200310/25Kentucky42Mississippi State17
200211/02Mississippi State24Kentucky45
200111/03Mississippi State17Kentucky14
200011/03Kentucky17Mississippi State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky1062 Overs
Mississippi State1457 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 108 - 35 - 13 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 82 - 31 - 5

(#) MSST at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #51
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #24 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Kentucky -3.5 (57.5)
Kentucky won vs Mississippi State this year (24-2)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Mississippi State in 2023 (24-3)

  
MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD