Missouri at Mississippi State - 2020 Matchup Preview

Missouri Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, December 19th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Missouri -1.5 (49.0)
Mississippi State 51 - Missouri: 32 (SEC)

Tigers (5 - 5) (5 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST 2nd straight Home Game
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ MSST -2)
Projected Score: MIZ: 26 - MSST: 25 (51)
MIZ Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MIZ Travel: 427 miles

Bulldogs (4 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	Missouri vs Alabama	+29.0	56.0	L 19 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/3	Missouri at Tennessee	+10.0	48.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/10	Missouri at LSU	+14.0	53.0	W 45 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Missouri vs Kentucky	+3.5	47.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Missouri at Florida	+13.5	64.0	L 17 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Missouri at South Carolina	-5.0	57.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	+2.0	52.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/5	Missouri vs Arkansas	-2.0	55.5	W 50 - 48	O	N
Sat 12/12	Missouri vs Georgia	+14.0	54.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/19	Missouri at Mississippi State	-1.5	49.0	L 32 - 51	O	N
Wed 12/30	Missouri vs Iowa	+14.0	48.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	Mississippi State at LSU	+14.5	57.0	W 44 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/3	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-16.5	68.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/10	Mississippi State at Kentucky	+3.5	57.5	L 2 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/17	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	+4.5	56.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Mississippi State at Alabama	+32.0
Sat 11/7	Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt	-18.5	45.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Mississippi State at Georgia	+25.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+10.0	70.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12	Mississippi State vs Auburn	+5.5	50.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/19	Mississippi State vs Missouri	+1.5	49.0	W 51 - 32	O	Y
Thu 12/31	Mississippi State vs Tulsa	+2.5	48.0	W 28 - 26	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.13	42%	30.2	42%	2.84	152	40%	223	3.19	.05	36%	18.9	37%	32%	2.86	67.4	1.2	1.8
MSST	.26	46%	30.4	49%	3.46	221	41%	179	4.29	.21	46%	30.2	45%	46%	3.86	44.5	1.8	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	12	30.2	17.5	42.3%	3.19	1.2	20	374	152	223	3.8	51%	47%	42%	40%	18%	.13
MSST Defense	13	30.2	27.9	46.2%	3.86	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	46%	23%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	12	18.9	17	35.6%	2.86	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	32%	22%	.05
MSST Offense	13	30.4	33.9	46.1%	4.29	1.8	21	400	221	179	5.4	59%	40%	49%	41%	20%	.26

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	12	29:54	20.3	36%	54%	6.9	67.4	1.2	1.8	7.7	2.1	5	27.7
Mississippi State	13	31:40	21.5	39%	39%	5.5	44.5	1.8	2.2	6.9	2.3	2	27.2

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	12	51%	42%	39.7	151.7	3.8	14	.06	2.84	77%	12%	0.83
MSST Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.93	77%	14%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	12	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.65	64%	13%	0.96
MSST Offense	13	59%	49%	40.7	220.6	5.4	27	.27	3.46	77%	13%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	12	47%	40%	18.8	31.3	222.6	7.1	11.8	17	8	.22	1.5	33%	32%	.23	7%	1.5
MSST Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.36	1.8	32%	38%	.36	10%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	12	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.08	1.8	35%	29%	.26	9%	2.1
MSST Offense	13	40%	41%	14.3	24.2	179.5	7.4	12.5	19	10	.25	1.6	31%	36%	.41	8%	1.7

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2020 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #68
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #88
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #51

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Mississippi State: 3.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 0.3 Mississippi State: 2.2

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 3.6 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #79
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 26
Mississippi State 25

Projected Total Points: 51

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Missouri	49	Mississippi State	27	Missouri -7.5	Missouri	50.5	Over
2024	11/23	Mississippi State	20	Missouri	39	Missouri -9.5	Missouri	58.0	Over
2020	12/19	Mississippi State	51	Missouri	32	Missouri -1.5	Mississippi State	49.0	Over
2015	11/05	Missouri	13	Mississippi State	31	Mississippi State -7.5	Mississippi State	41.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	2	2	4 Overs
Missouri	2	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1

(#) MIZ at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#58
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#47	#24
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 16
Missouri 1.5 (49.0)
Mississippi State won vs Missouri this year (51-32)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Mississippi State last year (49-27)
Missouri beat Mississippi State in 2024 (39-20)

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD