SMU at Tulsa - 2020 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, November 14th 2020 (7:00 PM EST)
SMU -2.0 (64.0)
Tulsa 28 - SMU: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (7 - 3) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 31 (40 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA coming off BYE
SMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ TLSA -1)

Projected Score: SMU: 32 - TLSA: 31 (63)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
SMU Travel: 234 miles
Golden Hurricane (6 - 3) (7 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 SMU at Texas State-24.570.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 SMU at North Texas-15.071.5W 65 - 35OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-38.563.5W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Memphis-1.575.0W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16 SMU at Tulane-6.566.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/24 SMU vs Cincinnati-1.556.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Navy-14.0
Sat 11/7 SMU at Temple-17.063.5W 47 - 23OY
Sat 11/14 SMU at Tulsa-2.064.0L 24 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 SMU at East Carolina-12.072.0L 38 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 SMU vs Houston+2.068.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Tulsa's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+23.567.0L 7 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Tulsa at UCF+19.570.0W 34 - 26UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 Tulsa at South Florida-11.551.5W 42 - 13OY
Fri 10/30 Tulsa vs East Carolina-17.059.5W 34 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Tulsa vs SMU+2.064.0W 28 - 24UY
Thu 11/19 Tulsa vs Tulane-5.555.5W 30 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Tulsa at Navy-12.046.0W 19 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+14.044.5L 24 - 27OY
Thu 12/31 Tulsa vs Mississippi State-2.548.0L 26 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2645%38.646%3.0317844%3183.75.2443%30.943%43%4.6861.71.21.6
TLSA.1241%27.142%2.9415840%2533.34.0336%21.636%36%2.7781.821.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1038.640.345.3%3.751.2254961783184.746%54%46%44%14%.26
TLSA Defense921.62636%2.771.8 - - - - - 53%47%36%36%19%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1030.932.743%4.681.6 - - - - - 53%47%43%43%18%.24
TLSA Offense927.130.740.9%3.34222410158253450%49%42%40%17%.12

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1029:222547%41%6.961.71.21.67.52.5131.2
Tulsa928:2222.141%53%981.821.87.42.4230.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1046%46%37.6177.84.724.143.0383%9%0.98
TLSA Defense953%36% - - - - -.042.769%13%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1053%43% - - - - .172.967%12%1.09
TLSA Offense950%42%39.4157.6413.032.9463%10%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1054%44%24.637.63188.512.9236.361.733%37%.496%2.3
TLSA Defense947%36% - - - - - - 6.111.434%24%.076%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1047%43% - - - - - - 7.311.734%36%.416%2
TLSA Offense949%40%19.234252.77.413.11511.211.732%33%.387%2.2

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2020 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #43
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #24
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Tulsa: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 5.9   Tulsa: 6.8




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2020 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #39
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #22

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.3
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.7

SMU's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 32
Tulsa 31


Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 33
Tulsa 31

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
SMU 32
Tulsa 30

Total Points: 62
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Tulsa's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28SMU69Tulsa10SMU -20.5SMU55.0Over
202210/29Tulsa34SMU45SMU -1SMU63.5Over
202111/27SMU31Tulsa34SMU -6Tulsa63.0Over
202011/14Tulsa28SMU24SMU -2.0Tulsa64.0Under
201910/05SMU43Tulsa37SMU -12Tulsa63.5Over
201811/24Tulsa27SMU24SMU -2.5Tulsa52.5Under
201710/27SMU38Tulsa34SMU -11.5Tulsa76.5Under
201610/07Tulsa43SMU40Tulsa -11SMU68.0Over
201510/31SMU31Tulsa40Tulsa -1.5Tulsa75.5Under
201411/08Tulsa38SMU28Tulsa -9.5Tulsa0
201211/24SMU35Tulsa27
201110/29Tulsa38SMU7
201010/09SMU21Tulsa18
200910/31Tulsa13SMU27
200810/11SMU31Tulsa37
200710/27Tulsa29SMU23
200611/18SMU34Tulsa24
200510/22Tulsa20SMU13
200411/06SMU41Tulsa35
200310/25Tulsa35SMU16
200111/17Tulsa14SMU24
200011/10SMU24Tulsa20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa1175 Overs
SMU1134 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 64 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 166 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) SMU at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #39
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #55 #79
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #22
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 11
SMU 2.0 (64.0)
Tulsa won vs SMU this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulsa in 2023 (69-10)
SMU beat Tulsa in 2022 (45-34)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD