Tulsa at UCF - 2020 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCF -19.5 (70.0)
Tulsa 34 - UCF: 26  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (6 - 3) (7 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (25 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: -6  (SP+ UCF -7)
Projected Score: TLSA: 25 - UCF: 30 (55)
UCF Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
TLSA Travel: 1004 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (6 - 4) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 33 (37 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+23.567.0L 7 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Tulsa at UCF+19.570.0W 34 - 26UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 Tulsa at South Florida-11.551.5W 42 - 13OY
Fri 10/30 Tulsa vs East Carolina-17.059.5W 34 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Tulsa vs SMU+2.064.0W 28 - 24UY
Thu 11/19 Tulsa vs Tulane-5.555.5W 30 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Tulsa at Navy-12.046.0W 19 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+14.044.5L 24 - 27OY
Thu 12/31 Tulsa vs Mississippi State-2.548.0L 26 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
UCF's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 UCF at Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina-28.078.0W 51 - 28ON
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Tulsa-19.570.0L 26 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF at Memphis-3.076.5L 49 - 50ON
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Tulane-21.071.0W 51 - 34ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Houston-3.081.0W 44 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Temple-29.072.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Cincinnati+4.566.0L 33 - 36OY
Fri 11/27 UCF at South Florida-26.070.5W 58 - 46ON
Tue 12/22 UCF vs BYU+6.080.0L 23 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1241%27.142%2.9415840%2533.34.0336%21.636%36%2.7781.821.8
UCF.3349%42.252%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%33.246%47%4.247512.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense927.125.240.9%3.34222410158253450%49%42%40%17%.12
UCF Defense1033.229.346.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense921.617.636%2.771.8 - - - - - 53%47%36%36%19%.03
UCF Offense1042.23748.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa928:2222.141%53%981.821.87.42.4230.1
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense950%42%39.4157.6413.032.9463%10%0.89
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense953%36% - - - - -.042.769%13%0.86
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense949%40%19.234252.77.413.11511.211.732%33%.387%2.2
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense947%36% - - - - - - 6.111.434%24%.076%1.9
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2020 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #39
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #22

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    UCF: 9.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 6.8   UCF: 13.6




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.3 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2020 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #20
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #8
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.6

Tulsa's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 30
Tulsa 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 29
Tulsa 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
UCF 30
Tulsa 29

Total Points: 59
UCF Scoring
Offense: 42.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

UCF's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/03UCF26Tulsa34UCF -19.5Tulsa70.0Under
201911/08Tulsa34UCF31UCF -17Tulsa68.5Under
201611/19UCF20Tulsa35UCF -1.5Tulsa64.0Under
201511/07Tulsa45UCF30Tulsa -11Tulsa61.5Over
201411/14UCF31Tulsa7UCF -18.5UCF0
201212/01Tulsa33UCF27
201211/17Tulsa23UCF21
201111/03UCF17Tulsa24
200810/26Tulsa49UCF19
200710/20UCF44Tulsa23
200712/01UCF44Tulsa25
200512/03UCF27Tulsa44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF311 Overs
Tulsa943 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #20
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #79 #61
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #22
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 74° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.028
Rematch from Week 5
UCF -19.5 (70.0)
Tulsa won at UCF this year (34-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TLSA's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
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UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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