Tulsa at UCF - 2020 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCF -19.5 (70.0)
Tulsa 34 - UCF: 26  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (6 - 3) (7 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: -6  (SP+ UCF -7)
Projected Score: TLSA: 20 - UCF: 29 (49)
UCF Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
TLSA Travel: 1004 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (6 - 4) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+23.567.0L 7 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Tulsa at UCF+19.570.0W 34 - 26UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 Tulsa at South Florida-11.551.5W 42 - 13OY
Fri 10/30 Tulsa vs East Carolina-17.059.5W 34 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Tulsa vs SMU+2.064.0W 28 - 24UY
Thu 11/19 Tulsa vs Tulane-5.555.5W 30 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Tulsa at Navy-12.046.0W 19 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+14.044.5L 24 - 27OY
Thu 12/31 Tulsa vs Mississippi State-2.548.0L 26 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
UCF's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 UCF at Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina-28.078.0W 51 - 28ON
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Tulsa-19.570.0L 26 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF at Memphis-3.076.5L 49 - 50ON
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Tulane-21.071.0W 51 - 34ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Houston-3.081.0W 44 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Temple-29.072.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Cincinnati+4.566.0L 33 - 36OY
Fri 11/27 UCF at South Florida-26.070.5W 58 - 46ON
Tue 12/22 UCF vs BYU+6.080.0L 23 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1339%23.236%2.5113840%2813.49.1639%28.939%38%3.9779.11.61.9
UCF.2945%24.345%2.7822443%3174.0337%23.640%31%3.2173.81.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21939.1%3.491.6224201382813.349%50%36%40%25%.13
UCF Defense1323.615.736.9%3.211.9 - - - - - 52%46%40%31%27%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.739.3%3.971.9 - - - - - 57%41%39%38%18%.16
UCF Offense1324.332.645%41.2265402243175.249%49%45%43%16%.29

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1230:3921.943%57%9.179.11.61.96.71.4027.1
UCF1326:2925.540%58%8.573.81.21.910.92.9328.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1249%36%41.9138.33.318.012.5171%14%1.01
UCF Defense1352%40% - - - - -.012.5967%16%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1257%39% - - - - .052.865%11%1.06
UCF Offense1349%45%43223.85.234.232.7868%11%1.2

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1250%40%21.237281.37.613.3209.251.738%34%.2511%1.7
UCF Defense1346%31% - - - - - - 13.081.740%28%.1411%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1241%38% - - - - - - 5.321.734%31%.397%2
UCF Offense1349%43%20.835.2316.7915.2368.371.834%37%.365%1.8

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2020 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #39
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #22

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    UCF: 9.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 6.8   UCF: 13.6




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.3 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2020 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #20
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #8
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 29
Tulsa 20

Projected Total Points: 49
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/03UCF26Tulsa34UCF -19.5Tulsa70.0Under
201911/08Tulsa34UCF31UCF -17Tulsa68.5Under
201611/19UCF20Tulsa35UCF -1.5Tulsa64.0Under
201511/07Tulsa45UCF30Tulsa -11Tulsa61.5Over
201411/14UCF31Tulsa7UCF -18.5UCF0
201212/01Tulsa33UCF27
201211/17Tulsa23UCF21
201111/03UCF17Tulsa24
200810/26Tulsa49UCF19
200710/20UCF44Tulsa23
200712/01UCF44Tulsa25
200512/03UCF27Tulsa44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF311 Overs
Tulsa943 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #20
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #79 #61
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #22
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
UCF -19.5 (70.0)
Tulsa won at UCF this year (34-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TLSA's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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TLSA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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