Texas A&M at Mississippi State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo   Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Saturday, October 17th 2020 (4:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -4.5 (56.0)
Texas A&M 28 - Mississippi State: 14  (SEC)

 
Aggies (9 - 1) (7 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ TA&M -17.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 33 - MSST: 29 (62)
TA&M Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 484 miles
Bulldogs (4 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Texas A&M vs Vanderbilt-31.046.5W 17 - 12UN
Sat 10/3 Texas A&M at Alabama+18.054.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/10 Texas A&M vs Florida+5.559.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/17 Texas A&M at Mississippi State-4.556.0W 28 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-10.5
Sat 11/7 Texas A&M at South Carolina-9.558.5W 48 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Texas A&M vs LSU-16.060.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 12/5 Texas A&M at Auburn-6.049.0W 31 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Texas A&M at Tennessee-13.550.0W 34 - 13UY
Sat 1/2 Texas A&M vs North Carolina-7.067.5W 41 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at LSU+14.557.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-16.568.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State at Kentucky+3.557.5L 2 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+4.556.0L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Alabama+32.0
Sat 11/7 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt-18.545.0W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Georgia+25.544.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+10.070.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Mississippi State vs Auburn+5.550.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 12/19 Mississippi State vs Missouri+1.549.0W 51 - 32OY
Thu 12/31 Mississippi State vs Tulsa+2.548.0W 28 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1848%33.850%3.0215944%2354.19.1340%2143%35%3.0655.31.51.4
MSST.2646%30.449%3.4622141%1794.29.2146%30.245%46%3.8644.51.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.83847.6%4.191.5223951592354.845%53%50%44%20%.18
MSST Defense1330.227.946.2%3.862.2 - - - - - 51%47%45%46%23%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense132130.240.4%3.061.4 - - - - - 46%51%43%35%22%.13
MSST Offense1330.433.946.1%4.291.8214002211795.459%40%49%41%20%.26

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1333:0622.140%64%6.755.31.51.47.52.8030.2
Mississippi State1331:4021.539%39%5.544.51.82.26.92.3227.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1345%50%33159.24.824.143.0279%11%0.86
MSST Defense1351%45% - - - - .092.9377%14%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1346%43% - - - - .082.5181%13%0.96
MSST Offense1359%49%40.7220.65.427.273.4677%13%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1353%44%2134.8235.46.811.22210.241.431%35%.329%1.7
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 10.361.832%38%.3610%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.171.737%32%.259%1.9
MSST Offense1340%41%14.324.2179.57.412.51910.251.631%36%.418%1.7

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2020 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8  #9
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.0  #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M:    Mississippi State: 3.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 19.8   Mississippi State: 2.2




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 3.6 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2  #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 33
Mississippi State 29

Projected Total Points: 62
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Texas A&M31Mississippi State9Texas A&M -17.5Texas A&M57.5Under
202410/19Mississippi State24Texas A&M34Texas A&M -21Mississippi State55.5Over
202311/11Texas A&M51Mississippi State10Texas A&M -16.5Texas A&M40.5Over
202210/01Mississippi State42Texas A&M24Mississippi State -4Mississippi State45.0Over
202110/02Texas A&M22Mississippi State26Texas A&M -7Mississippi State45.5Over
202010/17Mississippi State14Texas A&M28Texas A&M -4.5Texas A&M56.0Under
201910/26Texas A&M49Mississippi State30Texas A&M -10.5Texas A&M50.0Over
201810/27Mississippi State28Texas A&M13Mississippi State -1.5Mississippi State42.5Under
201710/28Texas A&M14Mississippi State35Mississippi State -3.5Mississippi State55.5Under
201611/05Mississippi State35Texas A&M28Texas A&M -13Mississippi State61.0Over
201510/03Texas A&M30Mississippi State17Texas A&M -6Texas A&M62.5Under
201410/04Mississippi State48Texas A&M31Texas A&M -1Mississippi State0
201311/09Texas A&M51Mississippi State41Texas A&M -19Mississippi State0
201211/03Mississippi State13Texas A&M38
200012/30Mississippi State43Texas A&M41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State786 Overs
Texas A&M855 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 59 - 46 - 23 - 2
Road Teams5 - 104 - 92 - 32 - 6

(#) TA&M at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #58
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #6 #24
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TA&M OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #13
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffTA&M Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Texas A&M 4.5 (56.0)
Texas A&M won at Mississippi State this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State last year (31-9)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2024 (34-24)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2023 (51-10)

  
TA&M's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD