Mississippi State at LSU - 2020 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo   Mississippi State Bulldogs at LSU Tigers  LSU logo
Saturday, September 26th 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
LSU -14.5 (57.0)
Mississippi State 44 - LSU: 34  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (4 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4  (SP+ LSU -3)
Projected Score: MSST: 23 - LSU: 28 (51)
LSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MSST Travel: 253 miles
Tigers (5 - 5) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at LSU+14.557.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-16.568.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State at Kentucky+3.557.5L 2 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+4.556.0L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Alabama+32.0
Sat 11/7 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt-18.545.0W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Georgia+25.544.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+10.070.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Mississippi State vs Auburn+5.550.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 12/19 Mississippi State vs Missouri+1.549.0W 51 - 32OY
Thu 12/31 Mississippi State vs Tulsa+2.548.0W 28 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
LSU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 LSU vs Mississippi State-14.557.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 10/3 LSU at Vanderbilt-21.049.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 10/10 LSU vs Missouri-14.053.0L 41 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 LSU vs South Carolina-4.554.0W 52 - 24OY
Sat 10/31 LSU at Auburn-2.063.5L 11 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 LSU at Arkansas-1.564.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/28 LSU at Texas A&M+16.060.5L 7 - 20UY
Sat 12/5 LSU vs Alabama+29.064.5L 17 - 55ON
Sat 12/12 LSU at Florida+23.065.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 12/19 LSU vs Ole Miss+0.074.5W 53 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.2646%30.449%3.4622141%1794.29.2146%30.245%46%3.8644.51.82.2
LSU.4758%22.856%3.4116759%4024.74.1238%19.841%35%3.0962.40.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1330.425.846.1%4.291.8214002211795.459%40%49%41%20%.26
LSU Defense1519.816.938.1%3.091.4 - - - - - 44%54%41%35%23%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1330.23146.2%3.862.2 - - - - - 51%47%45%46%23%.21
LSU Offense1522.825.758.3%4.740.8285681674024.941%57%56%59%16%.47

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1331:4021.539%39%5.544.51.82.26.92.3227.2
LSU1530:1327.949%70%6.262.40.81.47.92.7229.5
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1359%49%40.7220.65.427.273.4677%13%1.09
LSU Defense1544%41% - - - - .042.8353%13%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1351%45% - - - - .092.9377%14%0.95
LSU Offense1541%56%34.2166.84.932.233.4174%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1340%41%14.324.2179.57.412.51910.251.631%36%.418%1.7
LSU Defense1554%35% - - - - - - 17.191.836%26%.1711%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 10.361.832%38%.3610%2
LSU Offense1557%59%28.437.8401.610.614.1617.661.625%50%.617%1.8

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2  #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    LSU: 5.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 2.2   LSU: 5.6




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 5.3 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2020 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6  #44
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #37
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 28
Mississippi State 23

Projected Total Points: 51
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Mississippi State14LSU41LSU -9.5LSU54.0Over
202209/17LSU31Mississippi State16Mississippi State -3LSU53.0Under
202109/25Mississippi State25LSU28LSU -1.5LSU54.5Under
202009/26LSU34Mississippi State44LSU -14.5Mississippi State57.0Over
201910/19Mississippi State13LSU36LSU -17.5LSU62.0Under
201810/20LSU19Mississippi State3LSU -6LSU45.5Under
201709/16Mississippi State37LSU7LSU -7.5Mississippi State53.5Under
201609/17LSU23Mississippi State20LSU -13Mississippi State47.0Under
201509/12Mississippi State19LSU21LSU -3Mississippi State52.5Under
201409/20LSU29Mississippi State34LSU -7Mississippi State0
201310/05Mississippi State26LSU59LSU -9.5LSU0
201211/10LSU37Mississippi State17
201109/15Mississippi State6LSU19
201009/18LSU29Mississippi State7
200909/26Mississippi State26LSU30
200809/27LSU34Mississippi State24
200708/30Mississippi State0LSU45
200609/30LSU48Mississippi State17
200510/01Mississippi State7LSU37
200409/25LSU51Mississippi State0
200309/27Mississippi State6LSU41
200209/28LSU31Mississippi State13
200110/20Mississippi State0LSU42
200010/20LSU45Mississippi State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU2162 Overs
Mississippi State357 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 71 - 33 - 4
Road Teams13 - 117 - 44 - 33 - 1

(#) MSST at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #44
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #24 #7
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
LSU -14.5 (57.0)
Mississippi State won at LSU this year (44-34)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2023 (41-14)

  
MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD