Auburn at Mississippi State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo   Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Saturday, December 12th 2020 (7:30 PM EST)
Auburn -5.5 (50.5)
Auburn 24 - Mississippi State: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 5) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST coming off BYE
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ AUB -9)
Projected Score: AUB: 28 - MSST: 28 (56)
AUB Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
AUB Travel: 200 miles
Bulldogs (4 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Auburn vs Kentucky-6.047.0W 29 - 13UY
Sat 10/3 Auburn at Georgia+8.044.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 10/10 Auburn vs Arkansas-13.546.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 10/17 Auburn at South Carolina-2.554.0L 22 - 30UN
Sat 10/24 Auburn at Ole Miss-3.574.0W 35 - 28UY
Sat 10/31 Auburn vs LSU+2.063.5W 48 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Auburn vs Tennessee-10.551.0W 30 - 17UY
Sat 11/28 Auburn at Alabama+24.565.0L 13 - 42UN
Sat 12/5 Auburn vs Texas A&M+6.049.0L 20 - 31ON
Sat 12/12 Auburn at Mississippi State-5.550.5W 24 - 10UY
Fri 1/1 Auburn vs Northwestern+3.543.5L 19 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at LSU+14.557.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-16.568.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State at Kentucky+3.557.5L 2 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+4.556.0L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Alabama+32.0
Sat 11/7 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt-18.545.0W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Georgia+25.544.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+10.070.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Mississippi State vs Auburn+5.550.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 12/19 Mississippi State vs Missouri+1.549.0W 51 - 32OY
Thu 12/31 Mississippi State vs Tulsa+2.548.0W 28 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.1744%26.845%3.0319941%2064.27.0638%20.737%37%2.4755.21.32.5
MSST.2646%30.449%3.4622141%1794.29.2146%30.245%46%3.8644.51.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1326.827.244.1%4.271.3214061992064.753%45%45%41%16%.17
MSST Defense1330.227.946.2%3.862.2 - - - - - 51%47%45%46%23%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1320.726.637.6%2.472.5 - - - - - 46%53%37%37%23%.06
MSST Offense1330.433.946.1%4.291.8214002211795.459%40%49%41%20%.26

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1329:0421.340%47%7.155.21.32.58.52.7331.2
Mississippi State1331:4021.539%39%5.544.51.82.26.92.3227.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1353%45%42.2199.34.731.123.0376%12%0.91
MSST Defense1351%45% - - - - .092.9377%14%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1346%37% - - - - -.032.6266%15%0.91
MSST Offense1359%49%40.7220.65.427.273.4677%13%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1345%41%17.530.5206.56.811.8206.251.631%36%.354%1.8
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 10.361.832%38%.3610%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1353%37% - - - - - - 9.141.635%30%.329%1.9
MSST Offense1340%41%14.324.2179.57.412.51910.251.631%36%.418%1.7

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2020 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #27
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #45
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #28

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Mississippi State: 3.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.4   Mississippi State: 2.2




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 3.6 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2  #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 28
Mississippi State 28

Projected Total Points: 56
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Auburn27Mississippi State13Auburn -6.5Auburn40.0Push
202211/05Mississippi State39Auburn33Mississippi State -12.5Auburn50.5Over
202111/13Auburn34Mississippi State43Auburn -6Mississippi State51.0Over
202012/12Mississippi State10Auburn24Auburn -5.5Auburn50.5Under
201909/28Auburn56Mississippi State23Auburn -7.5Auburn47.0Over
201810/06Mississippi State23Auburn9Auburn -3Mississippi State45.0Under
201709/30Auburn49Mississippi State10Auburn -7.5Auburn51.5Over
201610/08Mississippi State14Auburn38Mississippi State -1.5Auburn55.0Under
201509/26Auburn9Mississippi State17Auburn -3.5Mississippi State58.5Under
201410/11Mississippi State38Auburn23Auburn -3Mississippi State0
201309/14Auburn24Mississippi State20Auburn -6Mississippi State0
201209/08Mississippi State28Auburn10
201109/10Auburn41Mississippi State34
201009/09Mississippi State14Auburn17
200909/12Auburn49Mississippi State24
200809/13Mississippi State2Auburn3
200709/15Auburn14Mississippi State19
200609/09Mississippi State0Auburn34
200509/10Auburn28Mississippi State0
200409/11Mississippi State14Auburn43
200310/18Auburn45Mississippi State13
200209/19Mississippi State14Auburn42
200110/06Auburn16Mississippi State14
200010/06Mississippi State17Auburn10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State854 Overs
Auburn1664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams10 - 146 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#) AUB at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #58
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #12 #24
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #28
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

AUB 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 15
Auburn 5.5 (50.5)
Auburn won at Mississippi State this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Mississippi State in 2023 (27-13)

  
AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD