East Carolina at Tulsa - 2020 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Friday, October 30th 2020 (9:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -17 (59.5)
Tulsa 34 - East Carolina: 30  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU coming off BYE
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ TLSA -14)

Projected Score: ECU: 30 - TLSA: 23 (53)
TLSA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
ECU Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (6 - 3) (7 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs UCF+28.078.0L 28 - 51OY
Sat 10/3 East Carolina at Georgia State-1.570.5L 29 - 49ON
Sat 10/10 East Carolina at South Florida+5.558.5W 44 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 East Carolina vs Navy+3.055.5L 23 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 East Carolina at Tulsa+17.059.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/7 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.563.5L 21 - 38UN
Fri 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati+27.556.5L 17 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Temple-6.554.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/28 East Carolina vs SMU+12.072.0W 52 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Tulsa's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+23.567.0L 7 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Tulsa at UCF+19.570.0W 34 - 26UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 Tulsa at South Florida-11.551.5W 42 - 13OY
Fri 10/30 Tulsa vs East Carolina-17.059.5W 34 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Tulsa vs SMU+2.064.0W 28 - 24UY
Thu 11/19 Tulsa vs Tulane-5.555.5W 30 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Tulsa at Navy-12.046.0W 19 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+14.044.5L 24 - 27OY
Thu 12/31 Tulsa vs Mississippi State-2.548.0L 26 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1442%32.738%2.5514143%2893.18.2847%20.145%48%4.3751.31.41.9
TLSA.1339%23.236%2.5113840%2813.49.1639%28.939%38%3.9779.11.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1232.730.842.4%3.181.4244301412893.846%51%38%43%25%.14
TLSA Defense1228.927.239.3%3.971.9 - - - - - 57%41%39%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1220.120.846.8%4.371.9 - - - - - 52%47%45%48%18%.28
TLSA Offense1223.227.339.1%3.491.6224201382813.349%50%36%40%25%.13

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1229:342439%43%5.951.31.41.97.52.7226.4
Tulsa1230:3921.943%57%9.179.11.61.96.71.4027.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246%38%37.4141.33.812-.062.5570%14%0.79
TLSA Defense1257%39% - - - - .052.865%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1252%45% - - - - .19367%12%1.14
TLSA Offense1249%36%41.9138.33.318.012.5171%14%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1251%43%22.537.6288.87.712.82210.361.736%35%.3311%1.9
TLSA Defense1241%38% - - - - - - 5.321.734%31%.397%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1247%48% - - - - - - 11.411.631%35%.366%1.9
TLSA Offense1250%40%21.237281.37.613.3209.251.738%34%.2511%1.7

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6  #97
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #85
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Tulsa: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -7.6   Tulsa: 6.8




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2020 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #39
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #22

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 30
Tulsa 23


Projected Total Points: 53
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/16East Carolina41Tulsa27East Carolina -16.5Tulsa54.5Over
202411/14Tulsa31East Carolina38East Carolina -16Tulsa63.5Over
202311/25East Carolina27Tulsa29East Carolina -4.5Tulsa44.5Over
202010/30Tulsa34East Carolina30Tulsa -17East Carolina59.5Over
201911/30East Carolina24Tulsa49Tulsa -7Tulsa64.0Over
201611/05Tulsa45East Carolina24Tulsa -10Tulsa76.5Under
201510/17East Carolina30Tulsa17East Carolina -11East Carolina77.0Under
201411/28Tulsa32East Carolina49East Carolina -17.5Tulsa0
201311/09East Carolina58Tulsa24East Carolina -14East Carolina0
201009/05East Carolina51Tulsa49
200911/15Tulsa17East Carolina44
200812/06Tulsa24East Carolina27
200610/14East Carolina10Tulsa31
200511/12Tulsa45East Carolina13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa665 Overs
East Carolina832 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 75 - 43 - 32 - 1
Road Teams7 - 74 - 51 - 23 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #39
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #71 #79
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #22
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Tulsa -17.0 (59.5)
Tulsa won vs East Carolina this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Tulsa last year (41-27)
East Carolina beat Tulsa in 2024 (38-31)
Tulsa beat East Carolina in 2023 (29-27)

  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD